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220<br />

nicians were certain resulted wrong at autopsy<br />

[24]. Further, even when diagnosis is right, management<br />

errors can arise: 1 in 2 patients with<br />

acute or chronic diseases do not receive evidencebased<br />

therapies and 1 in 3–5 receive unnecessary<br />

and/or potentially dangerous drugs or investigations<br />

[19].<br />

A third of CREs derive from deficits of execution<br />

(slips, lapses, or oversights in carrying out<br />

appropriate management in correctly diagnosed<br />

patients), but almost half are errors of reasoning<br />

or decision quality (failure to elicit, synthesize,<br />

decide, or act on clinical information).<br />

Death or permanent disability result in 25% of<br />

cases, and at least three quarters of them are considered<br />

highly preventable [22].<br />

A cornerstone of research on CREs in IM is<br />

the work by Graber et al. [25]. They analyzed 100<br />

cases and grouped diagnostic errors in three<br />

categories:<br />

––<br />

no-fault errors (in case of masked or unusual<br />

disease presentation or non-collaborative<br />

patient) 7%<br />

––<br />

system-related errors (technical failure and<br />

equipment problems or organizational flaws)<br />

19%<br />

––<br />

cognitive errors (faulty knowledge, data gathering,<br />

or synthesis) 28%.<br />

Coexisting system-related and cognitive errors<br />

were reported in 46% of cases. Further, wrong<br />

diagnosis was characterized by a predominance<br />

of cognitive errors (92% vs 50%), whereas<br />

M. L. Regina et al.<br />

delayed diagnosis by the predominance of<br />

system- related ones (89% vs 36%). Cases where<br />

discrepancy resulted from autopsy were mainly<br />

due to cognitive factors (90% vs 10%). Overall,<br />

228 system-related factors and 320 cognitive factors,<br />

averaging 5.9 per case, were identified [26].<br />

Among cognitive factors, faulty data gathering<br />

(14%) or synthesis (83%) resulted more frequently<br />

involved than faulty knowledge (3%)<br />

[26].<br />

Clinical reasoning can proceed analytically or<br />

non-analytically (Table 17.4) to generate diagnostic<br />

hypotheses, investigations, and treatment.<br />

Analytical reasoning (also called “hypotheticdeductive<br />

model”) is commonly used by younger<br />

physicians or in unfamiliar or unusual cases and<br />

is based on lists of differential diagnoses and<br />

gathering of information to validate such<br />

diagnoses. Non-analytical reasoning is faster and<br />

based on mental heuristics (maxims, shortcuts,<br />

rules of thumb) or pattern recognition. In practice,<br />

physician compare current patient’s symptoms/signs<br />

with previous cases, collected through<br />

clinical experience and/or study and get the right<br />

diagnosis in few seconds [27]. One type does not<br />

exclude the other and they can be mutually used<br />

in the same patient. None of them is error-proof.<br />

If mental heuristics and pattern recognition are<br />

efficient and accurate in many situations, they<br />

can also predispose to errors, as patient’s picture<br />

does not always fit the expected pattern, because<br />

of an atypical presentation, comorbidities, or<br />

Table 17.4 Types of clinical reasoning: a comparison [27]<br />

Non-analytical (system 1) Characteristics Analytical (system 2)<br />

Intuitive (based on pattern Modality<br />

Hypothetic- deductive<br />

recognition and heuristic)<br />

Developed through clinical<br />

experience and study<br />

Development<br />

Generation of list of diagnoses to<br />

be validated<br />

Commonly used by expert/senior<br />

physicians<br />

Application<br />

Commonly used by not expert/<br />

younger physicians<br />

Commonly used in atypical or<br />

unfamilial cases<br />

Minor cognitive load<br />

Automatic, unconscious<br />

Awareness<br />

Major cognitive load<br />

Conscious<br />

Faster<br />

Diagnosis in 10 s<br />

Time<br />

Slower<br />

Diagnosis in minutes/hours<br />

More efficient Efficiency Less efficient (based on memory<br />

work)

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