Jahrbuch Bauhaus Luftfahrt 2016

31
Passagiere werden
von einer Vielzahl von
Faktoren beeinflusst.
Treibende Einflussfaktoren sind die
Grundlage, um zukünftige Passagierprofile
zu entwickeln. Manche Aspekte
sind schwer zu bestimmen, andere
basieren auf einer sehr breiten Datengrundlage.
Factors influencing
passengers.
Essential factors influencing air transport
passengers are the basis for deriving future
passenger profiles. Some outlooks are rather
vague; other developments are very well
supported by data.
GDP growth of
around 2 % until
2050 within Europe
Changing age
structure due to
ageing population
& rising life
expectancy
Increase in
environmental
awareness &
concerns about
personal data
High share of
population living in
urban areas, in
most European
countries at least
60 % until 2050
Increase in
internet usage &
mobile phones
penetration
Increase of the
education level &
high share of
women in tertiary
education
enrolment
Increase in one
person households
& drop in average
children per
household
Changing mobility
patterns, especially
among the younger
generation
Sources: eMarketer (2015), ESPAS (2015), Eurostat (2016), Euromonitor International (2013), ifmo (2013), OECD (2008), OECD (2011), PwC (2015), UN (2015), and
World Business Council For Sustainable Development (2015)
Passagiere der Zukunft in 2035
Der Environmental Traveller und der Digital Native Business Traveller
sind zwei zukünftige Passagiertypen. Sie unterscheiden sich in
Reisegrund, Alter, Einkommen, Reisehäufigkeit, aber auch im Reiseverhalten.
Passengers of the future in 2035
The Environmental Traveller and the Digital Native Business Traveller
are two future passenger profiles. They differ in main travel purpose,
age, income, and travel activity, but also in behavioural factors.
Source: DATASET2050 (2017)