Celbridge Local Area Plan 2010 (pdf) - Kildare.ie

6. Appropriate Assessment 7. Population
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The purpose of Appropriate Assessment (AA) of land use
plans is to ensure that the protection of the integrity of
European sites is a part of the planning process at a regional
and local level. The requirement for AA of plans or projects is
outlined in Article 6(3) and (4) of the European Communities
(1992) Council Directive 92/43/EEC on the conservation of
natural habitats and of wild fauna and flora (“Habitats
Directive”).
Local Area Plans are screened for any potential impact on
areas designated as Natura 2000 sites. In any case where,
following screening, it is found that the plan may have an
impact, a full ‘appropriate assessment’ must be carried out.
The Celbridge Local Area Plan 2010 was screened for AA.
This screening found that effects on the integrity of the Rye
Water Valley / Carton Special Area of Conservation, (Site Code
002162), arising from the Local Area Plan were not likely, and
therefore full Appropriate Assessment was not warranted.
However the recommendations of that screening document
have been incorporated into the Plan. (The Appropriate
Assessment Screening document has been prepared as
a separate standalone document.
7.1 Background
According to the 2006 census County Kildare has a population
of 186,335 persons. Celbridge accounted for 17,262 or 9.26%
of the County’s total population.
The Kildare County Development Plan 2005-2011 (CDP) indicates
a housing construction target of 1,450 units for
Celbridge between 2002-2011. Given that the latter date only
projects to mid way through this Local Area Plan period and
given that the most recent census was carried out post the
adoption of the current CDP, it is considered more
appropriate to have regard to the CSO data and the revised
Regional Planning Guideline (RPG) figures in order to
determine the projected increase in population over the Local
Area Plan period.
The recently revised Regional Planning Guideline (RPG) figures
for the Greater Dublin Area (GDA) projected an additional
99,429 population for Kildare between 2003 and 2016 (total
number of household units i.e. 39,456 multiplied by 2.52, this
being the average household size following consultation with
the Regional Authority).
Given that the 2006 population figure for Celbridge has been
established and considering that the RPG figures project to
2016, it was considered reasonable to project from the same
base year i.e. 2006, for the purposes of projecting for an
assumed population growth over the Plan period.
Having regard to the proportion of the County’s population
resident in Celbridge from the 2006 Census, it is assumed that
Celbridge will continue to account for 9.26% (as above) of the
revised RPG figures, which would equate to a total additional
population figure of 6,930 between 2006 and 2016 (Total
population at 2016 minus total population at 2006 as per
Table 2.
Table 2 shows that a ‘year on year’ figure of 693 would assume
a total population for Celbridge of 24,192 in 2016 (the end of
the six year life of this Local Area Plan).
Table 2: Projected Population for Celbridge
‘Year
on Year
Figure’
693
Total
Pop
2006
(CSO)
17,262
Total
Pop
2007
17,956
Total
Pop
2008
18,648
Total
Pop
2009
19,341
Total
Pop
2010
20,034
Total
Pop
2011
20,727
Total
Pop
2012
21,420
Total
Pop
2013
22,123
Total
Pop
2014
22,806
Total
Pop
2015
23,499
Total
Pop
2016
24,192
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