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Applied Multivariate Statistics

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<strong>Applied</strong> <strong>Multivariate</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong><br />

Fall Semester 2012<br />

University of Mannheim<br />

Department of Economics<br />

Chair of <strong>Statistics</strong><br />

Toni Stocker


Prerequisites<br />

General Course Information<br />

● Students in Economics from Mannheim: no problem<br />

● All other students:<br />

should have attended two or more courses in <strong>Statistics</strong><br />

(descriptive statistics, estimating and hypothesis testing)<br />

● A course in Basic Econometrics is helpful but not strictly required.<br />

● The statistical software R will intensively be used throughout this<br />

course. Students who are not yet familiar with R should work<br />

through chapters 1-5 of the R introduction (see course folder) on<br />

their own by September 14 at the latest.<br />

● If you are not yet sure whether you will attend this course, you may<br />

read sections 1.1 and 1.2 in Johnson & Wichern (see p. 3) to get an<br />

idea about the purposes of this course.<br />

Though R is easy to learn, you need to invest some time at<br />

the beginning. But you may benefit from it for a long time.<br />

1


Times and Locations<br />

Contact<br />

General Course Information<br />

Day Time Location<br />

Lecture Friday 10:15-11:45 L7, 3-5, P043<br />

Tutorial Friday 08:30-10:15 L7, 3-5, P043<br />

Tutorials start in the 2nd week.<br />

Office Hour: Wednesday, 3:30-5:00 p.m. or by appointment<br />

Office: L7, 3-5, 1st floor, room 143<br />

Phone: 0621-181-3963<br />

Email: stocker@rumms.uni-mannheim.de<br />

2


Course Material<br />

General Course Information<br />

Slides (Lecture), Assignments (Tutorials), ‘Introduction to R’ (see p. 1)<br />

Material will be updated weekly (Friday) to find in course folder<br />

at Studierendenportal (ILIAS)<br />

References<br />

● R. Johnson, D. Wichern (2007):<br />

<strong>Applied</strong> <strong>Multivariate</strong> Statistical Analysis; Pearson Intl. Ed.<br />

● A. Rencher (2002):<br />

Methods of <strong>Multivariate</strong> Analysis; Wiley.<br />

● W. Härdle, L. Simar (2003):<br />

<strong>Applied</strong> <strong>Multivariate</strong> Statistical Analysis; Wiley.<br />

● A. J. Izenman (2008):<br />

Modern <strong>Multivariate</strong> Statistical Techniques; Springer.<br />

● P. Hewson (2009):<br />

<strong>Multivariate</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> with R; Open Text Book.<br />

Main Reference<br />

3


Exam + Assignments:<br />

80% written exam (120 minutes) + 20% Assignments<br />

in terms of points to earn in total.<br />

Example:<br />

Points<br />

Written Exam: 60 (from 80)<br />

Assignments: 18 (from 20):<br />

Total: 78 (from 100)<br />

Examination<br />

=> Grading will be based on 78 points (from 100)<br />

Minimum for passing: ≤ 40. Minimum for best grade (1.0): ≤ 95<br />

Assignments:<br />

Need to submit homework and attend tutorial. To get full points (20) you<br />

need to work at least on 10 assignments (out of 11) in a meaningful way.<br />

(See Guidelines for Assignments)<br />

4


What is it about?<br />

Issues of <strong>Multivariate</strong> Statistical Analysis<br />

<strong>Multivariate</strong> analysis consists of a collection of methods that can be<br />

used when several measurements are made on each individual or<br />

object in one or more samples. See Renchner (2002), p.1<br />

Objectives<br />

● Data reduction or structural simplification<br />

● Sorting and grouping<br />

● Investigation of the dependence among variables<br />

● Prediction<br />

● Hypothesis construction and testing<br />

See J+W (2007), p.2<br />

5


Example 1: Modern Graphical Techniques<br />

What is it about?<br />

6


Example 1 ...<br />

What is it about?<br />

7


What is it about?<br />

Example 2: Body Measures (Discrimination)<br />

8


What is it about?<br />

Example 3: US Arrests (Dimension Reduction)<br />

9


Example 4: US Arrests (Grouping)<br />

What is it about?<br />

10


Example 5: Hair and Eye Color<br />

Eye<br />

Hair Brown Blue Hazel Green<br />

Black 68 20 15 5<br />

Brown 119 84 54 29<br />

Red 26 17 14 14<br />

Blond 7 94 10 16<br />

What is it about?<br />

11


What is it about?<br />

Example 6: Distances (Dimension Reduction)<br />

12


Course outline<br />

What is it about?<br />

Generally: Chapters 1-4, 8, 9, 11, 12 from Johnson and Wichern (J&W)<br />

Timetable and Contents<br />

● Lecture 1: Introduction (today)<br />

● Lecture 2: Matrix Algebra (part 1)<br />

● Lecture 3: Matrix Algebra (part 2)<br />

● Lecture 4: <strong>Multivariate</strong> Samples<br />

● Lecture 5: Principal Component Analysis<br />

● Lecture 6: Factor Analysis<br />

● Lecture 7: Biplots<br />

13


Course outline ctd.<br />

● Lecture 8: Multidimensional Scaling<br />

● Lecture 9: Cluster Analysis<br />

What is it about?<br />

● Lecture 10: Linear Discriminant Analysis<br />

● Lecture 11: Binary Response Models<br />

● Lecture 12: Further Topics (e.g. Correspondence Analysis, CART, ...)<br />

● Lecture 13: Used as time buffer<br />

Note: This is just a plan! Topics may be skipped;<br />

order may be changed<br />

14


Main Objectives<br />

... at the end of the semester you<br />

What is it about?<br />

● know and (hopefully) understand most common methods for<br />

analyzing multivariate data and their theoretical background<br />

● can proficiently use R when using multivariate techniques:<br />

data import, constructing graphics, inference, model diagnosis<br />

and assessment<br />

● have experienced the possibilities and limitations of<br />

multivariate methods on the basis of real data examples<br />

Generally: This is an introductory and applied course.<br />

Modern multivariate techniques based on machine<br />

learning algorithms will hardly be covered.<br />

15

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