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market analysis final report v1.1 - ESA Space Weather Web Server

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<strong>ESA</strong> <strong>Space</strong> <strong>Weather</strong> Programme Study Market Analysis - Final Report<br />

Step 1: Desk based research<br />

• literature search (e.g. CNES <strong>report</strong>)<br />

• expert opinion<br />

• <strong>Web</strong> based research<br />

Step 2: Interviews<br />

• by telephone/fax/email<br />

• minimum 2 per segment<br />

Step 3: Analysis<br />

• <strong>market</strong> sizing<br />

• <strong>market</strong>/service maturity<br />

ESYS-2000260-RPT-02<br />

Issue 1.1<br />

28 September 2001 2 ESYS<br />

Fact<br />

files<br />

Completed<br />

questionnaires<br />

Market sizing<br />

<strong>report</strong><br />

Figure 1-1: Market <strong>analysis</strong> methodology<br />

• 1st draft - September 2000<br />

• Final draft Sept 2001<br />

The second stage of the process involved direct interviews with targeted user organisations.<br />

Finally, the results of the interviews were analysed to determine the key drivers and<br />

requirements for a SW service. This <strong>report</strong> summarises these findings and makes<br />

recommendations regarding the impact of commercial considerations on the formation of an<br />

<strong>ESA</strong> SW Programme.<br />

1.4 Interviews<br />

To support the background research on this topic and check expert opinion against user<br />

opinion, interviews have been carried out directly with representatives from a number of<br />

segments. The original intention was to carry out at least two interviews within each user<br />

segment. The range of interviews is summarised in Table 1-1.<br />

Market segment Number of interviews completed<br />

Satellite infrastructure 2 12<br />

Ground infrastructure 10<br />

Human 7<br />

Communications and navigation 4<br />

Insurance 4<br />

Other 12<br />

Total 49<br />

1.5 Document structure<br />

Table 1-1: Number of interviews completed<br />

In order to assist the reader, Chapter 2 begins with a definition of SW, SW models and<br />

products and the end users addressed in this study. The impacts of SW are then explored in<br />

both economic and social terms in Chapter 3. To understand further the requirements for SW<br />

services, chapter 4 summarises user needs and the level of understanding and maturity of<br />

the user segments. Chapter 5 then assesses the value of the main <strong>market</strong>s for SW services<br />

before chapter 6 concludes with the opportunities for a European <strong>Space</strong> <strong>Weather</strong><br />

Programme and recommendations for its implementation.<br />

2 Includes satellite design, manufacture and operation, space agencies and launch services.

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