Annual Global Climate and Catastrophe Report: Impact ... - Aon

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Impact Forecasting Impact Forecasting LLC is a catastrophe modeling center of excellence within Aon Benfield Analytics whose seismologists, meteorologists, hydrologists, engineers, mathematicians, GIS experts, finance, risk management and insurance professionals analyze the financial implications of natural and man-made catastrophes around the world. Impact Forecasting’s experts are redefining the software tools and models that help clients understand underlying risks from hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, floods, wildfires and terrorist attacks on property, casualty and crop insurers and reinsurers. Impact Forecasting is the only catastrophe modeling firm integrated into a reinsurance intermediary. To find out more about Impact Forecasting, please visit www.impactforecasting.com. About Aon Benfield As the industry leader in treaty, facultative and capital markets, Aon Benfield is redefining the role of the reinsurance intermediary and capital advisor. Through our unmatched talent and industry-leading proprietary tools and products, we help our clients to redefine themselves and their success. Aon Benfield offers unbiased capital advice and customized access to more reinsurance and capital markets than anyone else. As a trusted advocate, we provide local reach to the world’s markets, an unparalleled investment in innovative analytics, including catastrophe management, actuarial, and rating agency advisory, and the right professionals to advise clients in making the optimal capital choice for their business. With an international network of more than 4,000 professionals in 50 countries, our worldwide client base is able to access the broadest portfolio of integrated capital solutions and services. Learn more at www.aonbenfield.com. 2
Table of Contents ExECUTIvE SUMMARy — 2009’S TOP CATASTROPHES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2009 CLIMATE REvIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2009 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2009 Western Pacific Typhoon Season Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2009 Indian Ocean and Southern Pacific Cyclone Season Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2009 United States Tornado Season Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2009 United States Brushfire Season Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2010 CLIMATE AND ATLANTIC HURRICANE FORECASTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Temperature and Precipitation Outlook: January – March 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Temperature and Precipitation Outlook: March – May 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Historical Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2009 MONTHLy CATASTROPHE REvIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 January . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 February . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 March . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 April . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 May . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 June . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 July . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 August . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 September . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 October . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 December . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 APPENDIx A: CATASTROPHE RECAP TABLES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 Remainder of North America (Canada, Mexico, Caribbean Islands) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 South America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 Oceania (Australia, New Guinea, New Zealand, Micronesia, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 APPENDIx B: TROPICAL SySTEM FREqUENCy CORRELATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Western Pacific Ocean Basin (ENSO) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Eastern Pacific Ocean Basin (ENSO) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Atlantic Ocean Basin (ENSO) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 3
Page 1: ANNUAL GLOBAL CLIMATE AND CATASTROP
Page 5 and 6: Aon b e n field: i m pAC t foreC As
Page 7 and 8: 2009 Climate Review Aon b e n field
Page 9 and 10: 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season Revi
Page 11 and 12: 2009 Western Pacific Typhoon Season
Page 13 and 14: 2009 United States Tornado Season R
Page 15 and 16: 2010 Climate and Atlantic Hurricane
Page 19 and 20: Figure 20: 2007 Forecast forecast p
Page 21 and 22: 2009 Monthly Catastrophe Review Jan
Page 27 and 28: March Aon b e n field: i m pAC t fo
Page 33 and 34: May • tropical Cyclone Aila destr
Page 37 and 38: June Aon b e n field: i m pAC t for
Page 43 and 44: August Aon b e n field: i m pAC t f
Page 49 and 50: October • four separate typhoons
Page 51 and 52: November • historic rainfall trig
Page 53 and 54:
December • first major winter sto
Page 55 and 56:
Appendix A: Catastrophe Recap Table
Page 57 and 58:
United States (Continued) event dat
Page 59 and 60:
Africa event date event name or typ
Page 61 and 62:
Asia (Continued) event date event n
Page 63 and 64:
Oceania (Australia, New Guinea, New
Page 65 and 66:
Eastern Pacific Ocean Basin (ENSO)
Page 67 and 68:
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Annual Global Climate and Catastrophe Report: Impact ... - Aon

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