Download the full report (116 p.) - KCE
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<strong>KCE</strong> Reports 82 Multislice CT in Coronary Heart Disease 59<br />
7 PATIENT ISSUES<br />
7.1 TRUE NEGATIVE TEST RESULT<br />
A true-negative test result (TN) will benefit <strong>the</strong> patient if it can reassure him or her<br />
concerning a pre-existing worry in a way that is less demanding than o<strong>the</strong>r tests. A<br />
potential for MSCT to reassure patients with chest pain has been anticipated, thus<br />
contributing to an improvement in QoL. According to estimates by Diamond and<br />
Forrester, patients with atypical chest pain have a low probability for angiographic<br />
significant CAD. 7 (appendix) Depending on age and gender, <strong>the</strong> estimate varies between<br />
0.8 and 28.1%. With a normal exercise test, <strong>the</strong> probability for angiographic significant<br />
CAD in this population is between 0.2 and 8.2%. 7 The diagnostic accuracy of MSCT in<br />
patients with this low pre-test probability of CAD has not been studied so far. 150<br />
Moreover, according to Bayesian reasoning, <strong>the</strong> usefulness of fur<strong>the</strong>r testing in <strong>the</strong>se<br />
low probability patients is limited by <strong>the</strong> large number of false postive results. If we<br />
(unrealistically) would extrapolate <strong>the</strong> diagnostic performance of MSCT from<br />
intermediate and high risk populations 66 to a population with a pre-test probability of<br />
5%, of 100 patients tested, 13 would have a positive result of which 9 would be false<br />
positives. Instead of reassuring 100 patients, MSCT would induce anxiety in 13 patients<br />
out of 100, without any proven benefit in terms of clinical outcomes. Patients with chest<br />
pain that is probably not cardiac in origin, should decide for <strong>the</strong>mselves what level of<br />
diagnostic certainty <strong>the</strong>y want, at what cost in monetary terms and in terms of<br />
discomfort and risk incurred by additional downstream procedure(s), i.e. radiation<br />
exposure, risk of false positives, risk of useless revascularisation, etc. They should<br />
moreover be aware that a zero-risk will be never attainable.<br />
A TN can have an adverse effect when it leads <strong>the</strong> patient to be less cautious when<br />
symptoms appear or when generally accepted lifestyle measures become neglected by<br />
it, 151 e.g. a patient may wish not to quit smoking because he or she currently tests<br />
negative for CAD or lung cancer.<br />
7.2 FALSE NEGATIVE TEST RESULT<br />
A false-negative test result (FN) would give <strong>the</strong> individual false reassurance, and he or<br />
she may ignore signs of early disease which would cause a delay in diagnosis and<br />
treatment. 151<br />
Coronary artery imaging can also be misleading by its semiquantitative nature, merely<br />
<strong>report</strong>ing a luminal narrowing being less or more than 50%. This is an oversimplification<br />
because coronary lesions