10.08.2013 Views

Download the full report (116 p.) - KCE

Download the full report (116 p.) - KCE

Download the full report (116 p.) - KCE

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>KCE</strong> Reports 82 Multislice CT in Coronary Heart Disease 59<br />

7 PATIENT ISSUES<br />

7.1 TRUE NEGATIVE TEST RESULT<br />

A true-negative test result (TN) will benefit <strong>the</strong> patient if it can reassure him or her<br />

concerning a pre-existing worry in a way that is less demanding than o<strong>the</strong>r tests. A<br />

potential for MSCT to reassure patients with chest pain has been anticipated, thus<br />

contributing to an improvement in QoL. According to estimates by Diamond and<br />

Forrester, patients with atypical chest pain have a low probability for angiographic<br />

significant CAD. 7 (appendix) Depending on age and gender, <strong>the</strong> estimate varies between<br />

0.8 and 28.1%. With a normal exercise test, <strong>the</strong> probability for angiographic significant<br />

CAD in this population is between 0.2 and 8.2%. 7 The diagnostic accuracy of MSCT in<br />

patients with this low pre-test probability of CAD has not been studied so far. 150<br />

Moreover, according to Bayesian reasoning, <strong>the</strong> usefulness of fur<strong>the</strong>r testing in <strong>the</strong>se<br />

low probability patients is limited by <strong>the</strong> large number of false postive results. If we<br />

(unrealistically) would extrapolate <strong>the</strong> diagnostic performance of MSCT from<br />

intermediate and high risk populations 66 to a population with a pre-test probability of<br />

5%, of 100 patients tested, 13 would have a positive result of which 9 would be false<br />

positives. Instead of reassuring 100 patients, MSCT would induce anxiety in 13 patients<br />

out of 100, without any proven benefit in terms of clinical outcomes. Patients with chest<br />

pain that is probably not cardiac in origin, should decide for <strong>the</strong>mselves what level of<br />

diagnostic certainty <strong>the</strong>y want, at what cost in monetary terms and in terms of<br />

discomfort and risk incurred by additional downstream procedure(s), i.e. radiation<br />

exposure, risk of false positives, risk of useless revascularisation, etc. They should<br />

moreover be aware that a zero-risk will be never attainable.<br />

A TN can have an adverse effect when it leads <strong>the</strong> patient to be less cautious when<br />

symptoms appear or when generally accepted lifestyle measures become neglected by<br />

it, 151 e.g. a patient may wish not to quit smoking because he or she currently tests<br />

negative for CAD or lung cancer.<br />

7.2 FALSE NEGATIVE TEST RESULT<br />

A false-negative test result (FN) would give <strong>the</strong> individual false reassurance, and he or<br />

she may ignore signs of early disease which would cause a delay in diagnosis and<br />

treatment. 151<br />

Coronary artery imaging can also be misleading by its semiquantitative nature, merely<br />

<strong>report</strong>ing a luminal narrowing being less or more than 50%. This is an oversimplification<br />

because coronary lesions

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!