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56 Interventions in Alzheimer’s Disease <strong>KCE</strong> Reports 111<br />
Taking up a societal perspective, i.e. including also <strong>the</strong> informal caregiver’s time,<br />
donepezil was both more clinically effective and less costly than (i.e. dominant over)<br />
usual care. The confidence intervals around <strong>the</strong> mean values were not <strong>report</strong>ed,<br />
precluding <strong>the</strong> assessment of <strong>the</strong> significance of <strong>the</strong> <strong>report</strong>ed clinical advantage of<br />
donepezil.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, due to different methodologies and to potentially different patients’<br />
profile, <strong>the</strong> clinical effectiveness of donepezil calculated in Fuh et al. 115 appeared much<br />
more favourable than that <strong>report</strong>ed in o<strong>the</strong>r studies. 96 Finally, <strong>the</strong> transferability of <strong>the</strong><br />
results of this Asian study to our countries is uncertain.<br />
In <strong>the</strong>ir HTA <strong>report</strong>, Loveman et al. 72 developed a simple and unique Markov-type<br />
disease progression model to assess <strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness of <strong>the</strong> three ChEIs against<br />
usual care in a UK context. The perspective of <strong>the</strong> study was that of <strong>the</strong> third party<br />
payer with a 5-year time-span. The model used was based on <strong>the</strong> AHEAD model<br />
developed by Caro et al. 114 to estimate <strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness of galantamine. The rates<br />
of progression over time of <strong>the</strong> AD patients to a stage where <strong>the</strong>y require <strong>full</strong>-time care<br />
(implying institutionalisation for most of <strong>the</strong>m) was derived from a cohort analysis of<br />
AD patients. 114 Progression to <strong>the</strong> <strong>full</strong>-time care stage was determined by <strong>the</strong> presence<br />
of extrapyramidal symptoms (EPS) and psychotic symptoms, by <strong>the</strong> age at disease onset,<br />
by <strong>the</strong> duration of AD and by <strong>the</strong> cognitive function (MMSE). Effectiveness was<br />
measured as <strong>the</strong> mean improvement in cognitive function for each of <strong>the</strong> three<br />
products, as calculated in <strong>the</strong> meta-analysis of Loveman et al. 72 Utility values for <strong>the</strong><br />
health states pre-FTC (0.60) and FTC (0.34) were derived and adapted from <strong>the</strong> US<br />
study of Neumann et al. 118 Conform to <strong>the</strong> current NICE guidance in <strong>the</strong> UK, future<br />
benefits and costs were discounted at a rate of 1.5% and 6% respectively. Loveman et<br />
al. 72 found that <strong>the</strong> incremental QALYs gained by each of <strong>the</strong> three ChEIs over <strong>the</strong> 5year<br />
period were small (incremental benefits between 0 and 0.05 QALYs) and that <strong>the</strong><br />
absolute difference in <strong>the</strong> disease progression profiles for usual care and <strong>the</strong> three drug<br />
treatment options was small (46% of <strong>the</strong> usual care cohort in <strong>the</strong> FTC health state at 5<br />
years against 43.1% to 43.5% of <strong>the</strong> drug-treatment cohort in FTC at 5 years). Results<br />
from <strong>the</strong> probabilistic analysis showed incremental costs per QALYs of £96 800 for<br />
donepezil, £70 500 for rivastigmine and £82 000 for galantamine (£ of <strong>the</strong> year 2002–<br />
2003). Loveman et al. 72 fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>report</strong>ed that <strong>the</strong>se results were highly sensitive to a<br />
range of alternative inputs, particularly those in relation to effectiveness, health state<br />
utility and cost data. Based on those results, Loveman et al. 72 concluded that none of<br />
ChEIs appears to be cost-effective in <strong>the</strong> treatment of mild to moderately severe AD<br />
patients.<br />
5.2.1.3 Summary of an older economic evaluation<br />
The economic evaluation of donepezil performed by Stewart et al. 119 is critically<br />
assessed in this section of <strong>the</strong> <strong>report</strong> despite <strong>the</strong> fact that this study was published<br />
before 2004, <strong>the</strong> start time of our literature search. We follow here <strong>the</strong><br />
recommendation of one of <strong>the</strong> experts of this review to consider this study more<br />
specifically.<br />
The cost-effectiveness study of Stewart et al. 119 was a UK 5-year-long model-based<br />
economic evaluation comparing two treatment regimens with donepezil (5 mg and 10<br />
mg) compared with usual care in patients with mild or moderate AD at <strong>the</strong> start of <strong>the</strong><br />
treatment. The perspective of <strong>the</strong> evaluation was not stated but appeared to be societal.<br />
Costs were discounted at 6%. MMSE scores were used to define <strong>the</strong> AD disease stages.<br />
The probabilities of transition between <strong>the</strong> stages for <strong>the</strong> disease progression were<br />
obtained from epidemiological data for <strong>the</strong> untreated group and from trial data 120 for<br />
<strong>the</strong> donepezil group. In <strong>the</strong>ir trial, Rogers et al. 120 demonstrated a significant impact on<br />
<strong>the</strong> decline in patients’ cognitive functions, as seen by <strong>the</strong> mean change in MMSE scores<br />
over 6 months. The outcome measure was reduced time in <strong>the</strong> severe AD stage (i.e.<br />
delay in disease progression). Stewart et al. 119 <strong>report</strong> that treatment with donepezil<br />
resulted in an increase in <strong>the</strong> time spent in a non-severe AD stage (1.69−1.82 versus<br />
1.57 for mild AD; 0.87−0.98 versus 0.59 for moderate AD) and that treatment groups<br />
were almost cost neutral over <strong>the</strong> 5-year time horizon as costs were only slightly raised<br />
with donepezil compared to usual care.