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Northern Climate ExChange <strong>WhiteCAP</strong> Draft <strong>Plan</strong><br />

5.2 Community Based Consequences: Tier II Risk Assessment Results<br />

In the second stage of the vulnerability assessment only the sectors ranked as high and<br />

medium were considered by the project team. Again, relative rankings of likelihood, level<br />

of impact and adaptive capacity were assessed, but this time on a consequence by<br />

consequence basis. Those sectors which were prioritized as high in the first stage tend<br />

to have more high ranking impacts. However, in every sector, there are impacts ranging<br />

from low to high.<br />

5.2.1 Hazards<br />

Hazards are characterized by climate influenced disturbances at the landscape scale<br />

such as landslides, forest fires, floods, etc. Increasing winter temperatures, increased<br />

variability in water availability and the more frequent occurrence of extreme weather<br />

events all increase the hazard risk for the community of Whitehorse.<br />

Table 5.2.1<br />

Community Consequences of Hazards<br />

Consequences Level of<br />

H.1 Community vulnerability to forest fire increases due<br />

to heavy fuel load, lighting, drought, wind, etc.<br />

H.2 Increased risk of catastrophic fire<br />

H.3 Egress from subdivisions becomes a problem during<br />

emergency situations<br />

H.4 Possibility of regional beetle infestation leading to<br />

more dead stands and increased risk of forest fire<br />

H.5 Community continues to not buy into FireSmart<br />

program<br />

H.6 Heavy increase in rural residential leads to an<br />

accompanying increase in vulnerability<br />

H.7 Increased risk of catastrophic flood and infrastructure<br />

failure (e.g. bridge)<br />

H.8 Variable and/or increased snow, ice and wind<br />

compromises infrastructure<br />

H.9 Concerns about freeze-thaw and road icing<br />

H.10 Frequent fires outside City limits leads to health<br />

issues and problems with air quality<br />

H.11 Slope instability as a result of rain and warming (e.g.<br />

escarpment)<br />

H.12<br />

Variable rain and growth lead to issues of leaching<br />

and seepage<br />

Impact<br />

Likelihood<br />

Adaptive<br />

Capacity<br />

Priority<br />

H H L High<br />

H M L High<br />

H M L High<br />

H L L High<br />

M H M High<br />

M H M High<br />

H L M High<br />

M M M Medium<br />

L H H Medium<br />

L L M Medium<br />

M L M Low<br />

M L H Low<br />

21

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