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16<br />

Consumption (monthly), bcm<br />

European natural gas market dynamics<br />

European gas consumption and imports in 2011E<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011E<br />

2011E/10,<br />

bcm<br />

2011E/10,<br />

%<br />

Consumption (bcm) 600.7 565.2 609.8 563.5 -46.4 -7.6%<br />

Domestic production<br />

(bcm)<br />

320.0 307.0 311.6 293.8 -17.8 -5.7%<br />

Imports (1) (bcm) 280.3 258.2 298.2 269.7 -28.5 -9.6%<br />

Source: International Energy Agency, Eurostat, <strong>Gazprom</strong> Export. Gas calorific value: 1cm = 37 MJ<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000<br />

Monthly Weather Index<br />

Source: <strong>Gazprom</strong> Export (based upon monthly HDD/CDD for Europe)<br />

1. Including balance of gas storage<br />

10.0%<br />

+10%<br />

6.0%<br />

+5%<br />

2.0%<br />

11 Year<br />

Average -2.0%<br />

-6.0% -5%<br />

-10.0% -10%<br />

2000<br />

Net heating & cooling degree days<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

Source: <strong>Gazprom</strong> Export (based upon annualized HDD/CDD for Europe)<br />

Natural gas consumption correlates primarily to weather conditions, not GDP<br />

Consumption (1) (quarterly), bcm<br />

Seasonally Adjusted<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

160<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

95 100 105 110 115 120 125<br />

2006<br />

GDP SA Index (2001Q1=100)<br />

Департамент стратегического развития<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

Export - Investor Day 2012<br />

2011E

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