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BATTLING MARKET FRAGMENTATION: THE ASIAN ASSET SERVICING ROUNDTABLE<br />

CLEARSTREAM:<br />

THE GLOBAL<br />

EQUATION<br />

I S S U E 3 2 • M A R C H / A P R I L 2 0 0 9<br />

How to conduct sovereign<br />

over-borrowing<br />

CVM sets the standard for<br />

Brazilian corporate governance<br />

Dutch pension funds lead on<br />

fiduciary management<br />

What now for<br />

offshore exchanges?<br />

THE IMPORTANCE OF COLLATERAL MANAGEMENT IN ASIAN SBL


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<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MARCH/APRIL 2009<br />

Outlook<br />

IF THERE IS a recurring topic in this edition, it is trust and fiduciary<br />

care. Paul Whitfield introduces the theme in the Market Leader,<br />

outlining a mounting trend in the Low Countries towards fiduciary<br />

management.The trend is expected to be replicated elsewhere in Europe.<br />

Investment management firm BlackRock, for one, thinks the trend will be<br />

substantial. In December, it predicted that the value of assets run by<br />

fiduciary managers in the UK alone would rise from the current figure of<br />

about £2bn to over £300bn within the next few years.<br />

Fiduciary management refers to the provision, by a single supplier, of<br />

a range of services that taken together remove the operational<br />

management of a pension fund from trustees, handing it to a third party<br />

manager. What it cannot do however is lift the fiduciary responsibility<br />

from the shoulders of the trustees, who are still ultimately responsible<br />

for the performance and lawful management of their fund.<br />

The movements towards fiduciary care and transparency are global,<br />

rather than regional trends. Moreover, they encompass the spectrum of<br />

investment activity. Neil O’Hara picks up the theme in his article on the<br />

dynamics of the US asset servicing industry. While the global recession<br />

has dampened investor and banking sentiment and activity in the<br />

financial markets, asset service providers have directly benefited from<br />

the resulting downturn in two ways.<br />

Following the rescue of Bear Stearns, the Lehman Brothers<br />

bankruptcy and Bernard Madoff's alleged Ponzi scheme, attention is<br />

now focused squarely on counterparty risk. Moreover, the safety of<br />

assets held in trust that are not exposed to the parent entity's credit<br />

risk has sent hedge funds and institutional investors scuttling to<br />

custodian banks. In addition, money managers who have seen their<br />

asset-based top line revenues slashed are now homing in on the<br />

bottom line. Asset service providers, who can take over middle and<br />

back office functions, turning them from fixed into variable costs, have<br />

benefited in consequence.<br />

Emerging markets are jumping on a similar bandwagon. John<br />

Rumsey in São Paulo reports on moves by Brazil’s market regulator, the<br />

Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), to enforce procedures in cases<br />

concerning possible derivatives scandals (it is unable to name the<br />

companies). It looks to be a timely moment for the CVM to be<br />

designing new rules that will help further develop the corporate<br />

governance agenda in Brazil. The new focus is on achieving real gains<br />

through the fostering of greater transparency, which will increase the<br />

level of local disclosure requirements substantially.<br />

In this and subsequent editions we will be looking at how regulators<br />

will help or hinder the rebuilding of the sometimes scorched remains of<br />

the financial markets. Our focus in this edition is on the UK’s Financial<br />

Services Authority (FSA). With its reputation dented in the wake of the<br />

financial crisis, the FSA finds itself under a spotlight, with market<br />

participants anxious to see how it intends to regulate going forward.<br />

Some market watchers worry that the FSA will impose a US Sarbanes<br />

Oxley type regime, thereby eradicating the principles-based regulation<br />

that traditionally has been a cornerstone of the UK framework. Others<br />

believe that FSA will hold firm to its fundamental doctrines, albeit with<br />

a somewhat heavier hand under new chairman Lord Adair Turner. Lynn<br />

Strongin Dodds reviews the options.<br />

Francesca Carnevale,<br />

Editorial Director<br />

March 2009<br />

1


2<br />

Contents<br />

COVER STORY<br />

DEPARTMENTS<br />

MARKET LEADER<br />

IN THE MARKETS<br />

COUNTRY REPORT<br />

INDEX REVIEW<br />

DEBT REPORT<br />

TRADING REPORT<br />

DATA PAGES<br />

COVER STORY: CLEARSTREAM: A GLOBAL VIEWPOINT ....................Page 65<br />

Once upon a time pitted in a soulless debate on the efficacy of a horizontal versus a vertical<br />

clearing and settlement model in Europe, Clearstream broke out of its chains and into a new<br />

and seemingly limitless global future. Francesca Carnevale explains how Clearstream<br />

reinvented both itself and the opportunities provided by globalisation.<br />

THE MOVE TOWARDS FIDUCIARY MANAGEMENT ......................Page 6<br />

Why Dutch institutional investors are leading the way in Europe<br />

STICKING TO PRINCIPLES? WHAT NOW FOR THE FSA?....................Page 12<br />

Lynn Strongin Dodds assesses the options facing the UK’s financial regulator<br />

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE, CVM STYLE ..........................................................Page 18<br />

CVM’s efforts to introduce transparency into the Brazilian capital markets<br />

NEW RULES FOR DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS ..................................................Page 24<br />

David Simons on the effects the easing of rules covering DR programmes<br />

FRANCE: CREDIT CRISIS SARKOZY STYLE........................................Page 28<br />

The idiosyncrasies of Nicolas Sarkozy’s approach to the banking crisis<br />

SAUDI ARABIA: UNLOCKING POTENTIAL..............................................Page 32<br />

Liberalising the Saudi capital and investment markets is now a priority<br />

SAUDI ARABIAN BANKS BUCK THE TREND ..............................Page 38<br />

Why the country’s banks look to be relatively inured from the global credit crunch<br />

ROCK, SCISSORS, PAPER, STOCK MARKETS ..................................Page 42<br />

Simon Denham, managing director, Capital Spreads on current index trends<br />

WILL THE PFANDBRIEF MARKET RECOVER BEFORE TIME? ..Page 43<br />

The beginnings of a new issue pipeline in 2009<br />

CEDULAS RETUNED......................................................................................................Page 46<br />

Spanish covered bonds look ready for a recovery<br />

A PILE UP OF SOVEREIGN BONDS..................................................................Page 48<br />

Can the market cope with the explosion of sovereign issuance? Andrew Cavenagh reports.<br />

THE ATTRACTION OF DARK POOLS ............................................................Page 81<br />

Ruth Liley reports on the trading strategies employed in centres of non displayed liquidity<br />

THE NEED FOR SPEED ................................................................................................Page 84<br />

By Michael Krogmann, executive director, Cash Market Development, Deutsche Börse<br />

ETF Data, supplied by Barclays Global Investors ..................................................PAGE 86<br />

Securities Lending Trends by Data Explorer ..........................................................PAGE 89<br />

Fidessa Fragmentation Index ....................................................................................PAGE 90<br />

Market Reports by <strong>FTSE</strong> Research ............................................................................PAGE 92<br />

Index Calendar ............................................................................................................PAGE 96<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


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4<br />

Contents<br />

FEATURES<br />

EXCHANGE REPORT<br />

THE OFFSHORE EXCHANGE DILEMMA..........................................Page 50<br />

Until recently, offshore exchanges have traded on their uniqueness. However, as the global<br />

financial markets undergo seismic shifts in the wake of the global liquidity crisis and falling<br />

exchange trading volume (albeit temporary). However, difficult questions are now<br />

surfacing. Will offshore exchanges ultimately be forced into mergers with onshore partners?<br />

Or will they be able to develop other survival techniques? Lynn Strongin Dodds reports.<br />

OTC STANDS ITS GROUND ........................................................................Page 54<br />

Derivatives exchanges have had to watch from the wings in recent years while the OTC<br />

market ran away with the lion's share of new business. Protestations about counterparty<br />

risk inherent in bilateral contracts fell on deaf ears as investors chose to ignore the<br />

possibility that a major securities dealer could fail. The financial crisis—and the Lehman<br />

bankruptcy in particular—jolted market participants' faith. However, the derivatives<br />

exchanges have not yet been able to leverage that fact. Neil O’Hara explains why.<br />

ECONOMIC REPORT<br />

CALIFORNIA: ALL THAT GLISTERS ......................................................Page 57<br />

Who dreams these days about living in California? As a standalone entity, the state<br />

remains one of the world’s top eight economies, yet it is beset with problems. It<br />

struggles with a dysfunctional legislature, and a $42bn budget deficit. California’s<br />

unemployment rate is third-highest in America, while its credit rating is the lowest<br />

among the 50 states. The state’s vast higher education system is outmoded and the crash<br />

in housing prices has wiped out $1trn in personal wealth. Meanwhile, California’s<br />

fabled venture capital (VC) industry—caught in the worldwide credit freeze—faces a<br />

“nuclear winter.” What next? By Art Detman<br />

ASSET SERVICES<br />

ASIAN SECURITIES LENDING ..................................................................Page 60<br />

There’s more promise than SBL business in Asia outside of key markets (namely Japan,<br />

Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore). Even so, securities lending professionals remain<br />

upbeat about the medium and long term promise of the market. For now, collateral<br />

management is high on the agenda of market participants, which tend to be central<br />

banks, state pension funds and prime brokers. How soon before the promise breaks into<br />

a boom? Francesca Carnevale reports<br />

US ASSET SERVICES ON THE UPTICK ..............................................Page 68<br />

Bill Tyree, a partner and head of investor services and markets at Brown Brothers<br />

Harriman (BBH), says the benefits of independent custody often did not resonate with<br />

asset managers and hedge funds. They were too busy making money, and nothing had<br />

happened in the market to alert them to [any] danger—until last year's meltdown set off<br />

the alarm. Neil O’Hara reports on the business uptick in asset service provision in the<br />

United States.<br />

ROUNDTABLE: ASIAN SECURITIES SERVICES ............................Page 71<br />

The financial crisis has provided a challenging time for Asian asset service providers.<br />

Institutional investors are more concerned now about counterparty risk and certain asset<br />

classes as well as the fund managers they are using. This latest roundtable discussion<br />

highlights the challenges of building up asset services in the demanding and highly<br />

fragmented Asian landscape<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


EUROPEAN PENSIONS: THE APPEALOF FIDUCIARY MANAGEMENT<br />

6<br />

Market Leader<br />

While there is no hard-and-fast definition of fiduciary management, the term generally refers to the<br />

provision, by a single supplier, of a range of services that taken together remove the operational<br />

management of a pension fund from trustees, handing it to a third party manager. What it cannot<br />

do is lift the fiduciary responsibility from the shoulders of the trustees, who are still ultimately<br />

responsible for the performance and lawful management of their fund.<br />

Photograph © Lajo_2/Dreamstime.com, supplied February 2009.<br />

DUTCH TAKE A<br />

LEAD IN PENSION<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Pension managers in the Netherlands have taken a lead in<br />

adopting fiduciary management—handing operations to an<br />

outside supplier. The lure of maximising returns and managing risk<br />

may mean the UK is the next in line but there are issues to be<br />

resolved first. Paul Whitfield reports.<br />

WHEN IT COMES to pension<br />

management, where the<br />

Dutch lead others tend to<br />

follow. Pension funds in the<br />

Netherlands were among the first to<br />

embrace alternative asset classes, led<br />

the drive into private equity funds,<br />

championed absolute return funds,<br />

and have been at the forefront of the<br />

adoption of socially responsible<br />

investment criteria in their<br />

management processes.<br />

Could fiduciary management be the<br />

next big thing to come from the low<br />

countries? That is the prediction of<br />

some experts who now constate that<br />

the boom in fiduciary management in<br />

the Netherlands will spread across<br />

Europe. The first stop in that expansion<br />

is expected to be the United Kingdom,<br />

according to BlackRock, a listed<br />

investment management firm. In<br />

December, BlackRock predicted that<br />

the value of assets run by fiduciary<br />

managers in the UK will rise from the<br />

current figure of about £2bn to £300bn<br />

within four years. “I am struck by the<br />

level of interest in fiduciary<br />

management,” says Andrew Dyson,<br />

managing director and head of<br />

BlackRock’s institutional business for<br />

the Europe, Middle East and Africa<br />

(EMEA) region.“The financial crisis has<br />

created a tipping point. It brought<br />

home to many pension schemes how<br />

they don’t necessarily have the<br />

resources to maximise investment<br />

opportunities or manage risks.”<br />

While there is no hard-and-fast<br />

definition of fiduciary management,<br />

the term generally refers to the<br />

provision, by a single supplier, of a<br />

range of services that taken together<br />

remove the operational management<br />

of a pension fund from trustees,<br />

handing it to a third party manager.<br />

What it cannot do is lift the fiduciary<br />

responsibility from the shoulders of<br />

the trustees, who are still ultimately<br />

responsible for the performance and<br />

lawful management of their fund.<br />

“Trustees can delegate authority but<br />

they cannot delegate responsibility,”<br />

says Clive Pugh, a partner at Burges<br />

Salmon and a former lawyer for<br />

Britain’s Pensions Regulator.“Fiduciary<br />

management seems to suggest that<br />

trustees are absolved of some of those<br />

duties, but that is not the case.”<br />

A good, if still not perfect,<br />

comparison of the role of trustees and<br />

a fiduciary manager is that of a listed<br />

company in which a board, operating<br />

in a role similar to the trustees,<br />

oversees the functioning of a<br />

management team, operating in the<br />

fiduciary manager’s role.<br />

The term fiduciary management was<br />

coined by investment bank Goldman<br />

Sachs & Co. It is also often referred to<br />

as implemented consulting. The father<br />

of fiduciary management is generally<br />

recognised to be the Dutch academic<br />

Dr Anton van Nunen, a director at<br />

Dutch pension consultantsVan Nunen<br />

& Partners. Van Nunen has<br />

championed the idea for many years<br />

and published his thoughts and<br />

arguments in favour of a fiduciary<br />

management approach in the book<br />

Fiduciary Management: Blueprint for<br />

Pension Fund Excellence.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


Van Nunen outlines a compelling<br />

case for fiduciary management in the<br />

opening chapter of his book. “As the<br />

twenty-first century began to unfold,<br />

there was substantial discontent among<br />

plan sponsors and other institutions<br />

regarding the prevailing investment<br />

management structure. Too many<br />

people had a role while no one had<br />

overall responsibility,” he wrote. “The<br />

fund managers were not allowed to<br />

share their expertise; their job was<br />

simply to manage funds according to<br />

the style that had led to their selection<br />

… The consultants were paid a per diem<br />

and gave their advice<br />

accordingly … Meanwhile,<br />

having outsourced much of<br />

the work of running a<br />

pension plan, the plan<br />

sponsor was likely to be a<br />

small organisation with<br />

limited expertise. It was<br />

deeply dependent on both<br />

its consultants and<br />

managers, just as it was<br />

dependent on its actuaries<br />

and other experts for<br />

specialised counsel.<br />

Fiduciary Management<br />

came into being in response<br />

to these problems.”<br />

Fiduciary management<br />

services typically include the provision<br />

of strategic asset allocation advice and<br />

the development and maintenance of<br />

an investment policy; the screening<br />

and selection of external asset<br />

managers; the management of the<br />

underlying portfolio mix and risk<br />

management, investment performance<br />

monitoring and reporting services.<br />

For the time being the provision of such<br />

services remains nascent or non existent<br />

in most European markets.The exception<br />

is the Netherlands where in the space of<br />

about five years it has risen to become the<br />

dominant pension management system<br />

amongst the country’s defined benefit<br />

pension schemes.<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MARCH/APRIL 2009<br />

A tipping point was reached in the<br />

Dutch market at the start of 2008<br />

when for the first time the number of<br />

Dutch pension funds that had<br />

outsourced management of their<br />

schemes to fiduciary services<br />

outweighed those that retained<br />

control themselves. The 13th annual<br />

review of the Dutch fund management<br />

industry, published in October by<br />

consultants Bureau Bosch, found that<br />

Dutch funds under fiduciary<br />

management had risen to €515bn,<br />

accounting for about 72% of all<br />

pension fund assets.<br />

“The reason there is a market for<br />

fiduciary management is that defined<br />

benefit pension funds are all dealing<br />

with increasingly complex issues and<br />

problems around the world, namely<br />

volatility ofcapital markets, changing<br />

regulations and accounting changes,”<br />

says Patrick Disney, managing director<br />

Institutional Business for the EMEA<br />

region ofinvestment manager services<br />

provider SEI.<br />

The figure is slightly inflated by the<br />

inclusion of in-house fiduciary services<br />

at some of the country’s biggest<br />

pension funds, but the size and rapid<br />

growth of fiduciary management in the<br />

Netherlands is still compelling and is<br />

demanding attention in other<br />

European markets.“The reason there is<br />

a market for fiduciary management is<br />

that defined benefit pension funds are<br />

all dealing with increasingly complex<br />

issues and problems around the world,<br />

namely volatility of capital markets,<br />

changing regulations and accounting<br />

changes,” says Patrick Disney,<br />

managing director Institutional<br />

Business for the EMEA region of<br />

investment manager services provider<br />

SEI. “It took hold in the Netherlands<br />

where you had a combination of some<br />

pretty powerful academic lobbyists that<br />

have a lot of influence in the pension<br />

field and sophisticated pension funds<br />

confident enough to look at new ideas.”<br />

It has also enjoyed considerable<br />

support from Dutch industry groups.<br />

The Dutch Fund and Asset<br />

Management Association (DUFAS),<br />

and the Dutch Association of<br />

Company Pension Funds (OPF), in<br />

November 2008 published a checklist<br />

of good practice for fiduciary<br />

management.The document,<br />

which was supported by the<br />

industry, is intended to serve<br />

as a checklist for trustees as<br />

they assess the benefits of<br />

fiduciary management and<br />

to help them select the<br />

services they need.<br />

The dominance of fiduciary<br />

management in the Dutch<br />

market will be key to its<br />

possible expansion into new<br />

markets. It has proven to<br />

providers, many of which are<br />

international consultants and<br />

banks with the resources to<br />

quickly replicate the model in<br />

new market, that fiduciary<br />

management can provide a lucrative<br />

new income stream.<br />

The immediate problem for wouldbe<br />

providers is that the number of<br />

markets in which fiduciary services can<br />

be promoted is limited. The biggest<br />

hindrance is that the provision of<br />

fiduciary services is limited to<br />

countries in which defined benefit<br />

schemes are the dominant model. The<br />

other problem is a question of<br />

readiness. Pension funds need to have<br />

embraced a level of complexity in<br />

terms of their asset mix and be subject<br />

to sufficient reporting demands before<br />

the simplification offered by fiduciary<br />

management becomes interesting.<br />

7


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EUROPEAN PENSIONS: THE APPEALOF FIDUCIARY MANAGEMENT<br />

10<br />

Market Leader<br />

These are the main reasons that the<br />

UK, and to a lesser extent Germany,<br />

have emerged as the principal targets<br />

for expansion. It is also explains why<br />

there is little scope for fiduciary<br />

management services in other<br />

European pension markets.“Fiduciary<br />

management remains something that<br />

the Italian market is simply not<br />

prepared for,”says Giampaolo Serra, a<br />

senior consultant at Bologna, Italy<br />

based pension consultancy Prometeia.<br />

For the short term, at least, the<br />

limited number of markets suited to<br />

fiduciary management services is not<br />

likely to be a problem. As BlackRock’s<br />

prediction makes clear, the UK market<br />

alone offers hundreds of billions of<br />

pounds of potential assets that could<br />

be added to fiduciary managers’books.<br />

“In Europe, the UK and the<br />

Netherlands are going to be the key<br />

markets for years to come and they are<br />

the biggest defined benefit market,”<br />

says SEI’s Disney. “You will begin to<br />

see some interest in Germany, and<br />

possibly Switzerland, but it will take<br />

time for them to develop.”<br />

The application of the FR17<br />

accounting standards, which made<br />

funding of pensions more transparent<br />

and placed greater emphasis on<br />

scheme liability risk, and in the UK the<br />

findings of the Myners Report, which<br />

placed increased emphasis on the need<br />

to maximise and manage returns<br />

through asset allocation, has placed<br />

further stress on fund trustees.That has<br />

increased pressure on pension fund<br />

trustees, many of whom fulfil the role in<br />

a part time capacity.<br />

The size of the mandates up for grabs<br />

in the UK was brought into focus last<br />

year when Watson Wyatt was<br />

appointed as a fiduciary manager for<br />

the £3.2bn Merchant Navy Officers<br />

Pension Fund. The appointment, made<br />

in September 2008, was the largest of<br />

its kind in the UK to date. Anecdotal<br />

evidence suggests that the majority of<br />

demand for fiduciary services in the UK<br />

is coming from larger pension funds.<br />

“Our research suggests that it is the<br />

large schemes that are most open to the<br />

sort of services offered by fiduciary<br />

managers,” says Pugh of Burges<br />

Salmon. “Smaller schemes often lack<br />

the sophistication to be confident of<br />

effectively managing the relationship<br />

and are frankly under less pressure as<br />

the complexity of their funds are often<br />

less than those of larger funds.”<br />

Larger funds also typically have<br />

more experience with the use of<br />

consultants and many, in both the UK<br />

and Germany, already use services<br />

known as implemented consulting or<br />

delegated consulting, which are<br />

reasonably close to the fiduciary<br />

services model of management. That<br />

tends to makes the transition to full<br />

fiduciary management less of a leap<br />

and thus more palatable.<br />

Consultants tend to claim that the<br />

emergence of fiduciary management<br />

relationships is a result of the demand<br />

of clients who are eager to push dayto-day<br />

management responsibility<br />

back onto external experts.<br />

There is of course a price to pay for<br />

these services and as with many<br />

manager-of-manager type services<br />

there is quite rightly some resistance to<br />

adding a new layer of fees to pension<br />

management. Fiduciary managers<br />

insist that their services add value and<br />

can improve the overall performance of<br />

a fund. “There are efficiencies to be<br />

targeted,” said Ruud Hendriks,<br />

Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s<br />

managing director EMEA, in a note on<br />

his group’s fiduciary offering. “An<br />

improved risk return profile…, time<br />

savings on the part of the pension fund<br />

since there is only one investment<br />

manager to communicate with and one<br />

consolidated set of reports… [and]<br />

flexibility to change the structure of the<br />

fund in step with changes to liabilities<br />

or market conditions.”<br />

For all the potentially evident logic<br />

of such benefits there is however little<br />

hard data that proves that funds that<br />

adopt fiduciary management services<br />

do in fact outperform other pensions<br />

funds. That makes adopting the<br />

services something of a leap of faith<br />

and a potentially expensive one.<br />

There are other potential barriers to<br />

the adoption of the fiduciary services<br />

across Europe. One of the biggest of<br />

those remains the legal questions<br />

raised by the outsourcing of almost all<br />

management decisions by trustees.<br />

“The services that some fiduciary<br />

managers are offering in the<br />

Netherlands seem to go further than<br />

UK law allows,”says Pugh.“In the UK<br />

the trustee is the fiduciary and they<br />

certainly can not absolve themselves<br />

of that duty.”<br />

Fiduciary services managers argue<br />

that there is no conflict with UK law as<br />

the trustees maintain their fiduciary<br />

responsibility in the management of<br />

the relationship with the fiduciary<br />

services supplier and through their<br />

right to change managers if they are<br />

not satisfied with the service.<br />

Such a case is yet to be tested in<br />

court and not everyone is convinced<br />

that trustees will be fully protected.<br />

“When something goes wrong there<br />

is bound to be an argument over the<br />

contractual terms and trustees may<br />

find they had no right to delegate<br />

the responsibilities that they<br />

thought they could,” says Pugh.<br />

“Dutch law is different to the UK<br />

law and it may be that the reason<br />

that this [fiduciary management]<br />

turned up there first is that it better<br />

fits their legal framework.”<br />

Given the challenges facing pension<br />

funds in the current investment<br />

environment such concerns are likely<br />

to take a back seat to the reassurance<br />

that fiduciary management provides<br />

trustees.That is good news for fiduciary<br />

managers’expansion prospects.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


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NEW LAMPS FOR OLD: REDEFINING MARKET REGULATION<br />

12<br />

In the Markets<br />

There is no doubt firms will be required to strengthen their liquidity standards. Last<br />

December, the FSA published a consultation paper which aims to significantly improve<br />

firms’ ability to deal with liquidity risks and thereby increase the overall stability of the UK<br />

financial markets. The ideas also build upon current international work on liquidity such as<br />

Basel II. The consultation period ends March 2009 and the FSA hopes to introduce new<br />

rules by October. Photograph © Luca Oleastri/Dreamstime.com, supplied February 2008.<br />

Will the FSA ditch<br />

its principles-based<br />

approach?<br />

ENGLISH LIGHT OPERA<br />

composers Gilbert and Sullivan<br />

held that, “A policeman’s lot is<br />

not a happy one.” Pity then the FSA,<br />

now firmly centre stage, caught by<br />

populist desire to rein in and penalise<br />

the recent excesses of the financial<br />

markets and which, at the same time,<br />

must ensure that financial institutions<br />

are allowed sufficient laissez-faire to<br />

ensure that London maintains its<br />

financial markets pre eminence.<br />

According to Mayiz Habbal,<br />

managing director of the Securities<br />

Scarred by the financial crisis,<br />

the British government is<br />

encouraging a much tougher<br />

line on banking, trading and<br />

capital markets activity. The<br />

Financial Services Authority<br />

(FSA) is centre stage in the new<br />

financial order that will emerge<br />

post credit crunch in the United<br />

Kingdom. What is less certain is<br />

what kind of regulation will<br />

ensue in the coming months<br />

and years. Some analysts fear<br />

that a US Sarbanes Oxley type<br />

regime will be imposed,<br />

eradicating the principlesbased<br />

regulation that<br />

traditionally has been a<br />

cornerstone of the UK<br />

framework. Others believe that<br />

FSA will hold firm to its<br />

fundamental doctrines, albeit<br />

with a somewhat heavier hand<br />

under new chairman Lord<br />

Adair Turner. Lynn Strongin<br />

Dodds reviews the options.<br />

and Investment Group at Celent, the<br />

Boston-based financial research and<br />

consulting company,“There could be a<br />

move towards rules-based regulation<br />

if there is a greater push towards<br />

nationalisation of the banks. This is<br />

because if the UK government is in<br />

control of these banks, they may<br />

create new rules and then the FSA<br />

would have to implement [them].”<br />

John Tattersall, a partner in the<br />

financial services regulatory practice at<br />

PricewaterhouseCoopers, on the<br />

other hand does not think that will<br />

happen.“I think the FSA has learned<br />

the lessons from Northern Rock and<br />

there is no doubt that its touch will be<br />

tougher and management teams at<br />

banks will have to become more<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


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NEW LAMPS FOR OLD: REDEFINING MARKET REGULATION<br />

14<br />

In the Markets<br />

accountable. I hope we do not see<br />

Sarbanes Oxley type of legislation<br />

because it will stifle the banks. The<br />

benefit of principle-based regulation<br />

is that you can adapt easily to<br />

changing circumstances.”<br />

Alastair Graham, partner at law firm<br />

White & Case, agrees, adding, “When<br />

things go wrong, the knee jerk reaction<br />

is usually to call for tighter regulation.<br />

However, experience has<br />

shown us that it does not<br />

work. The story we have<br />

been living for the past two<br />

years is not new, it’s just that<br />

the losses we are dealing<br />

with this time have more<br />

noughts after them and the<br />

size of the financial crisis is<br />

much larger. We may have a<br />

case [such as] Bernie Madoff<br />

today, but in the past there<br />

was Robert Maxwell, Barings<br />

and Enron to deal with. The<br />

real issues are how can we<br />

change the mindset in<br />

financial services and<br />

prevent the problems that<br />

we are reacting to.”<br />

Carlos Conceicao,<br />

partner at law firm Clifford<br />

Chance and former head of<br />

the FSA's wholesale group<br />

in enforcement, adds,<br />

“There is no need of a<br />

regulatory Big Bang to<br />

change the world, but<br />

whilst I do not think we will<br />

see a Sarbanes Oxley<br />

response and the complete<br />

abandonment of principles-based<br />

regulation, there will be much more<br />

prescription. 'Regulation by principle'<br />

is not a catchy slogan at the moment.<br />

There will also be a change in the<br />

FSA's approach. Sensitive to<br />

accusations that it has been a lighttouch<br />

regulator, as the FSA has said<br />

itself, it will be far more involved and<br />

aggressive in its day-to-day<br />

regulation. The words 'intrusive<br />

supervision' will be the new mantra."<br />

The debate about rules versus<br />

principle-based regulation is not<br />

novel. Over the years, there has been<br />

much discussion as to the merits of<br />

each. A rules approach is when<br />

regulators try to prescribe in a<br />

detailed manner exactly what<br />

companies should and should not do<br />

“The Financial Services Authority<br />

(FSA) was taken to task last year by the<br />

Treasury Select Committee's report into<br />

the Northern Rock debacle. It found<br />

that the FSA “failed in its duty as<br />

regulator” and did not allocate enough<br />

resources or time in dealing with the<br />

troubled bank. A catalogue ofmistakes<br />

were made including high turnover of<br />

FSA staff directly supervising the bank,<br />

inadequate numbers of staff,<br />

incomplete paperwork and only limited<br />

understanding in the supervisory team<br />

ofthe duties required.”<br />

to meet their obligations. By contrast,<br />

under the principles method,<br />

regulators are less concerned about<br />

the dotted Is and crossed Ts and<br />

instead evaluate companies according<br />

to broad doctrines.<br />

Not surprisingly, the dialogue has<br />

grown much louder over the past few<br />

months. The FSA was taken to task last<br />

year by the Treasury Select Committee's<br />

report into the Northern Rock debacle.<br />

It found that the FSA“failed in its duty<br />

as regulator” and did not allocate<br />

enough resources or time in dealing<br />

with the troubled bank. A catalogue of<br />

mistakes were made including high<br />

turnover of FSA staff directly<br />

supervising the bank, inadequate<br />

numbers of staff, incomplete paperwork<br />

and only limited understanding in the<br />

supervisory team of the duties required.<br />

The FSA has fallen on its<br />

sword, saying that it was<br />

guilty of supervising banks<br />

“on the cheap”. However, the<br />

regulator also stressed that it<br />

should not be made to<br />

shoulder the blame alone.<br />

Market participants have<br />

some sympathy with this<br />

view, saying that the rules<br />

based approach favoured in<br />

the United States was no<br />

better at anticipating or<br />

dealing with its domestic<br />

banking collapse.<br />

David Rouch, a partner at<br />

law firm Freshfields, says,<br />

"People are looking for<br />

someone to blame. The<br />

politicians are not willing to<br />

accept responsibility.The FSA<br />

has been self-critical and has<br />

accepted that there were<br />

problems. However, the basic<br />

framework of regulatory rules<br />

is not broken."<br />

Selwyn Blair-Ford, senior<br />

domain expert at risk and<br />

regulatory consultancy<br />

FRSGlobal, notes, “There were some<br />

warnings about the credit crunch but<br />

bankers, central banks, academics,<br />

finance ministers and regulators did not<br />

foresee this financial crisis happening.<br />

This is why it is unreasonable to expect<br />

that the FSA alone would have<br />

predicted it although they have<br />

admitted that they fell below standards.<br />

We expected them to have the<br />

infrastructure and expertise to deal with<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


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NEW LAMPS FOR OLD: REDEFINING MARKET REGULATION<br />

16<br />

In the Markets<br />

systemic risk. They did not and now<br />

they are having to play catch up.”<br />

A new age is certainly dawning<br />

under Lord Turner, who took over the<br />

helm last September. Speaking at The<br />

Economist's recent inaugural City<br />

Lecture, he noted that the scale of<br />

proprietary trading over the past<br />

decade had created risks, while<br />

financial innovation had in many cases<br />

delivered minimal economic value and<br />

increased the dangers of financial<br />

instability. However, Lord Turner<br />

rebuffed calls to return to what he<br />

called “narrow banking” whereby<br />

institutions were restricted to either<br />

investment banking or commercial<br />

banking. He said the idea was a<br />

“nostalgic elegy for a past age of<br />

innocence and stability” where local<br />

bank managers and the“wide boys”of<br />

the City were far apart. The "originate<br />

and distribute" model of financing<br />

lending has a role to play in the future,<br />

but it needs to be reformed, with less<br />

complexity and opacity.<br />

Ablueprint for the FSA’s future is<br />

expected to be published in April. It<br />

will not only set out the changes the<br />

regulator has already made, but<br />

include proposals in principle which<br />

have been put forward and need<br />

consultation. It will also highlight<br />

areas where there is a need for global<br />

cooperation. High on the FSA’s<br />

agenda will be new approaches to<br />

capital adequacy, requiring more<br />

capital to be held by banks against<br />

risky trading strategies and countercyclical<br />

capital requirements to build<br />

up adequate buffers during good<br />

economic times, which can be drawn<br />

on during downturns.<br />

Remuneration is also expected to be<br />

on the list. At the World Economic<br />

Forum at Davos, Lord Turner warned<br />

that banks’ remuneration committees<br />

would have "the FSA on their back" if<br />

they buckled under pressure and would<br />

be punished by having capital<br />

Selwyn Blair-Ford, senior domain expert at risk and regulatory consultancy FRSGlobal, says,<br />

“There were some warnings about the credit crunch but bankers, central banks, academics,<br />

finance ministers and regulators did not foresee this financial crisis happening. This is why it<br />

is unreasonable to expect that the FSA alone would have predicted it although they have<br />

admitted that they fell below standards. We expected them to have the infrastructure and<br />

expertise to deal with systemic risk. They did not and now they are having to play catch up.”<br />

requirements tightened. Many believe it<br />

was the prospect of eye-watering<br />

bonuses that partly led to the risktaking<br />

culture that toppled the industry.<br />

The FSA, though, is not currently<br />

expected to impose tougher constraints,<br />

because banks’ capital is being eroded<br />

by the losses on bad loans.<br />

There is no doubt, though, that firms<br />

will be required to strengthen their<br />

liquidity standards. Last December, the<br />

FSA published a consultation paper<br />

which aims to significantly improve<br />

firms’ ability to deal with liquidity risks<br />

and thereby increase the overall stability<br />

of the UK financial markets. The ideas<br />

also build upon current international<br />

work on liquidity such as Basel II. The<br />

consultation period ends in March 2009<br />

and the FSA hopes to introduce new<br />

rules by October.<br />

Under the proposals, firms will have<br />

to develop a new quantitative<br />

framework for liquidity risk<br />

management which places greater<br />

focus on assessing the risks and<br />

policies to tackle them. Firms will<br />

need to complete an individual<br />

liquidity adequacy form as well as<br />

conducting regular stress andscenario<br />

testing. This includes analysing the<br />

firm’s cash flows, liquidity positions,<br />

profitability and solvency from both a<br />

short and long-term perspective.<br />

According to Blair-Ford, “These<br />

requirements will prompt a major<br />

change in the way firms manage their<br />

liquidity process. Not only will<br />

companies need to develop new<br />

metrics but their governance<br />

structures will also have to be<br />

tightened in order to meet these<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


higher standards regarding liquidity<br />

than before.”<br />

The FSA is also getting its own house<br />

in order. To address its failings in the<br />

Northern Rock collapse, the regulator<br />

set up a supervisory enhancement<br />

programme. The main planks comprise<br />

the creation of a core supervisory team<br />

to tend to the relationship with the core<br />

firm as well as more direct contact with<br />

senior managers within the supervisory<br />

team. Other key features include the<br />

expansion of the FSA’s specialist<br />

prudential risk department following<br />

the upgrade to divisional status, and<br />

bolstering resources in the relevant<br />

sector teams. In addition, current<br />

supervisory training and the<br />

competency framework for FSA staff<br />

will be updated.<br />

The FSA is also taking a tougher<br />

stance on enforcement. In the past year,<br />

it has launched four criminal<br />

prosecutions in a renewed crackdown<br />

on insider dealing, a criminal offence<br />

Don’t work in the dark,<br />

who knows what you might find<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MARCH/APRIL 2009<br />

that carries a maximum seven-year jail<br />

term. Last June, Margaret Cole, the<br />

FSA's head of enforcement, said, "One<br />

of our goals is to get the City to take this<br />

subject (market abuse) more seriously.<br />

We feel that the threat of civil fines<br />

hasn’t worked as well as we would have<br />

liked. We’re convinced that the threat of<br />

a custodial sentence is a much more<br />

significant deterrent."<br />

As one industry expert put it,“There<br />

is a lot of pressure on the regulator to<br />

come down hard on people who have<br />

misbehaved, and regulatory action has<br />

not delivered a sufficient deterrence."<br />

In addition, the City watchdog is<br />

hoping to upgrade the calibre of its<br />

staff, which might not be that difficult<br />

in these credit crunch times when<br />

investment banks and other financial<br />

institutions are slashing their ranks.<br />

Bob McGee, international economist at<br />

UK based economic consultancy<br />

Independent Strategy, says, “The FSA<br />

was a bit out of its depth in the current<br />

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financial crisis but one of the main<br />

criticisms over the years has been the<br />

quality of its staff. They have not been<br />

paid that well and as a result, it has<br />

been difficult to attract and retain<br />

good people.”<br />

For example, four years ago, staff<br />

were provided with extra training on<br />

the back of surveys with industry<br />

executives who complained that some<br />

FSA frontline employees did not<br />

understand the businesses they<br />

regulated, were inconsistent decision<br />

makers and came across as<br />

adversarial. Rouch notes though, that<br />

"It is not always a case of hiring high<br />

quality people but getting the right<br />

people into the right job. There was an<br />

inadequate understanding of how<br />

macro factors would affect individual<br />

firms. When even management find<br />

that a challenge, regulators need<br />

people who can authoritatively<br />

question institutions about what they<br />

are doing."<br />

17


BRAZIL: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE REFORMS<br />

18<br />

In the Markets<br />

BRAZIL’S CVM<br />

UPS THE ANTE ON<br />

TRANSPARENCY<br />

Brazil is gearing up for a second wave of corporate governance<br />

reforms. These will focus on providing greater transparency for<br />

investors in areas such as shareholder conflicts of interest and<br />

clarity on remuneration as well as proposals to make voting at<br />

meetings easier. Some measures are being resisted by companies<br />

and the test of strength is just beginning, reports John Rumsey.<br />

LAST YEAR WAS not the best<br />

one for Brazilian corporate<br />

governance thanks to a<br />

scandal involving some of the<br />

country’s biggest exporters. Two<br />

companies reportedly lost hundreds<br />

of millions of dollars each<br />

speculating in derivatives. At the<br />

same time, the loss of foreign<br />

investors has removed a key<br />

impetus for improving governance,<br />

even though Brazilian funds are<br />

The CVM is working to foster greater<br />

transparency. The first big planned change is<br />

the release for public consultation of new<br />

rules on the information that companies<br />

need to provide to the market and this covers<br />

all companies listed as well as those that<br />

issue bonds, albeit with different levels of<br />

disclosure according to market segment. The<br />

proposed rules will increase the level of<br />

disclosure substantially, says Pinto.<br />

Photograph provided by istockphoto.com,<br />

February 2009.<br />

increasingly stepping into the<br />

breach. (Please refer to box: Brazilian<br />

funds promote tough governance<br />

agenda).<br />

The derivatives scandals were<br />

whopping. Meat processor Sadia was<br />

forced to post a R545m write-down to<br />

cover the third quarter on bets against<br />

the dollar that soured as the real fell<br />

sharply against the greenback in the<br />

second half of last year. The company<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


BRAZIL: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE REFORMS<br />

20<br />

In the Markets<br />

dismissed its chief financial officer and<br />

in February dismissed a further four<br />

directors, without indicating whether<br />

their sackings were related to the<br />

scandal. Meanwhile, paper and pulp<br />

company Aracruz recorded $2.13bn in<br />

losses stemming from similarly wrong<br />

bets. Sadia was trading at R4.80 on<br />

February 4th compared to a 52 week<br />

high of R12.49 reached in June last<br />

year, while Aracruz has fallen from a<br />

high of R17.5 in May 2008 to R12.6, its<br />

fall partly mitigated by a take-over bid<br />

from rival Votorantim.<br />

These losses have encouraged<br />

typically passive institutional<br />

investors to become more involved in<br />

corporate governance. In a widelywatched<br />

action, Previ, the influential<br />

pension fund of the country’s largest<br />

bank, called for an extraordinary<br />

general meeting of Sadia, which was<br />

held in November. The pension fund<br />

wanted explanations of how the<br />

manager had allegedly flouted<br />

internal rules on hedging and called<br />

for greater transparency and control.<br />

Some investors are now litigating to<br />

recoup some of the losses, notes<br />

Sandra Guerra, founder of Better<br />

Governance in São Paulo, which<br />

monitors and pushes for better<br />

standards. They may well have a case,<br />

she thinks. Company boards blamed<br />

the financial director of the company,<br />

but it would be surprising if the<br />

boards themselves did not know their<br />

level of exposure, she remarks.“This is<br />

part of a chief executive officer’s<br />

responsibility. You really cannot<br />

manage a company without knowing<br />

this,”Guerra says.<br />

The market regulator, the Comissão<br />

de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), has<br />

enforcement procedures in two cases<br />

concerning derivatives (it is unable to<br />

name the two companies). “Brazilian<br />

law requires board and officers of<br />

companies to exercise utmost care. We<br />

will judge them by these standards,”<br />

says Marcos Pinto at CVM. The good<br />

news is that the scandal has made<br />

investors much more aware of the<br />

importance of the nuts and bolts of<br />

reporting lines and authority, thinks<br />

Better Governance’s Guerra. Investors<br />

are asking who does what and who has<br />

authority to sign for what. They are<br />

seeking to identify who has overall<br />

responsibility, she says.<br />

Initiatives at the CVM<br />

It looks to be a timely moment for the<br />

CVM to be designing new rules that<br />

will help further develop the corporate<br />

governance agenda in Brazil. The new<br />

focus is on achieving real gains, not<br />

superficial, perception-based initiatives,<br />

Guerra believes.<br />

The CVM is working to foster greater<br />

transparency. The first big planned<br />

change is the release for public<br />

consultation of new rules on the<br />

information that companies need to<br />

provide to the market and this covers all<br />

companies listed as well as those that<br />

issue bonds, albeit with different levels<br />

of disclosure according to market<br />

segment. The proposed rules will<br />

increase the level of disclosure<br />

substantially, says Pinto.<br />

These new rules will compel listed<br />

companies to give basic information<br />

regarding remuneration of managers,<br />

conflict of interest between controlling<br />

shareholders and more detailed general<br />

information on the business of the<br />

company, Pinto says. The section<br />

covering remuneration has been<br />

particularly controversial as it proposes<br />

revealing total packages paid to all<br />

executives rather than one universal<br />

number for the company’s directors,<br />

says Pinto.<br />

The reaction has been mixed, Pinto<br />

confesses. Many investors say they<br />

want this information and see it as<br />

critical for judging management.<br />

Companies are protesting that it is<br />

not necessary to provide such a<br />

detailed breakdown and that<br />

releasing general information should<br />

be sufficient. The consultation period<br />

is slated to end in March 2009.<br />

Measures to mitigate conflicts of<br />

interest focus on disclosure, in line<br />

with the CVM’s mandate. “We are<br />

being very strict about disclosure of<br />

information on related-party<br />

transactions,”says Pinto. The new law<br />

will require companies to disclose<br />

each related-party transaction<br />

(between managers and related<br />

companies) and provide comparison<br />

with market transactions. Brazilian<br />

corporate law states that companies<br />

have to be fair to all shareholders,<br />

Pinto notes.The Bovespa stock market<br />

has attracted many companies with<br />

controlling shareholders that have<br />

stakes in other companies and<br />

relationships between themselves. It’s<br />

very important for minority<br />

shareholders to know which<br />

transactions are happening so they<br />

can spot and avoid conflicts of<br />

interest, he says.<br />

CVM’s reforms come at the same<br />

time as the Institute of Brazilian<br />

Corporate Governance (IBCG) is<br />

planning on making comprehensive<br />

changes to its code of governance, adds<br />

Guerra. The new code will be much<br />

more detailed in relation to risk and<br />

tighten control over the board’s<br />

responsibility in this area. This is likely<br />

to promote the role of audit committees<br />

and comes as many listed firms are<br />

trying to understand better and<br />

mitigate their exposure to risk as the<br />

economy deteriorates, says Guerra. The<br />

measures should dovetail with the<br />

CVM’s moves. The two organisations<br />

talk extensively and generally<br />

participate in each other’s public<br />

releases and consultations. The two<br />

operate in slightly different planes, with<br />

the CVM focusing on disclosure and<br />

the IBCGon best practice.<br />

Another significant change is soon to<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


The 9th Institutional Equity<br />

Trading & Technology Summit<br />

2009<br />

21st – 24th April 2009 The CNIT Centre, Paris<br />

www.tradetechequity.eu<br />

-48.00 +77.00 -22.00 +212.00 E 98885.00 S 2565 - 4500 +87.61 - 23.69 E 2356 S 67889 _44.00 + 55.00<br />

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-48.00 +77.00 -22.00 +212.00 E 98885.00 S 2565 - 4500 +87.61 - 23.69 E 2356 S 67889 _44.00 + 55.00 22.00 +212.00 E 9 885<br />

-48.00 +77.00 -22.00 +212.00 E 98885.00 S 2565 - 4500 +87.61 - 23.69 E 2356 S 67889 _44.00 + 55.00 98885.00 S 2565 - 4500<br />

-48.00 +77.00 -22.00 +212. 0 E 9 85.00 S 2565 - 4500 +87.61 - 23.69 E 2356<br />

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Leading Speakers From Across The Value<br />

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Nowhere else can you learn from so many<br />

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A Blockbuster Line-Up Of Over<br />

100 Speakers, Including:<br />

Jean Baptiste de<br />

Franssu,<br />

CEO,<br />

Invesco<br />

Jean-Pierre Aguilar,<br />

CEO,<br />

Capital Fund<br />

Management<br />

Francois Bonnin,<br />

CEO,<br />

John Locke<br />

Investments<br />

Martin Wolf,<br />

Chief Economics<br />

Commentator,<br />

Financial Times, Author,<br />

Fixing Global Finance<br />

Rodney Brooks,<br />

Chairman and CTO,<br />

Heartland Robotics<br />

Stephen Grady, Head of<br />

Global Dealing,<br />

Barclays Wealth<br />

Christoph B. Mast,<br />

Managing Director,<br />

Global Head of Trading,<br />

RCM/Allianz Global<br />

Investors<br />

Robin Griffi ths,<br />

Technical Strategist,<br />

Cazenove Capital<br />

Management<br />

Dave Cliff,<br />

Professor of Computer<br />

Science,<br />

University of Bristol<br />

Matt Andresen,<br />

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Call +44 (0)20 7368 9465 Email tradetech@wbr.co.uk Visit www.tradetechequity.eu


BRAZIL: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE REFORMS<br />

22<br />

In the Markets<br />

be released for consideration and<br />

affects the key area of attendance and<br />

voting at general meetings, long a<br />

contested area in Brazil thanks to<br />

restrictive requirements that<br />

shareholders appear in person at<br />

meetings. Given the size of Brazil and<br />

the number of foreign participants, that<br />

has effectively deterred participation<br />

and quora are often not met.<br />

Last year, CVM decided that<br />

shareholders should be able to<br />

participate in annual general meetings<br />

(AGMs) via the internet, notes Pinto.<br />

CVM is now floating an idea for a new<br />

rule that will oblige companies to<br />

provide for shareholders to vote by<br />

proxy. “Once we have given<br />

shareholders more information on the<br />

companies they are willing to vote in,<br />

they will be more willing to participate<br />

in meetings and better able to monitor<br />

the activities of controlling<br />

shareholders,” reckons Pinto.<br />

The moves will help stimulate<br />

investors to think more carefully about<br />

the role of corporate governance and<br />

promote more vigilant policies, thinks<br />

Guerra. In 2005-07, the years of<br />

sustained market rises, many investors’<br />

interest in corporate governance was<br />

limited to asking if a company intended<br />

to list on the Novo Mercado, the<br />

segment with the most stringent listing<br />

rules, she points out. If the answer was<br />

yes, they thought they had completed<br />

BRAZILIAN FUNDS PROMOTE TOUGH<br />

GOVERNANCE AGENDA<br />

In January, a group of key Brazilian fund managers<br />

came together to force an extraordinary general<br />

meeting (EGM) on Telemig, a mobile phone<br />

company 100% owned by Spain’s Telefonica and<br />

Portugal Telecom, marking a milestone. They were<br />

calling publicly on the company to distribute some of<br />

its large cash pile and were finally defeated in their<br />

motion. The show of corporate governance muscle is<br />

very rare for Brazil, where the few actions have been<br />

mostly initiated by foreign investors.<br />

Telemig’s EGM was watched closely both by<br />

other cash-rich Brazilian companies, trying to figure<br />

out what is prudent to keep on hand for a rockier<br />

year ahead, and Brazilian fund managers, who are<br />

starting to scrutinise practices of companies more<br />

closely to wring out more value at a time of poor<br />

market performance. Prior to the meeting, Telemig<br />

twice declined written requests to distribute some of<br />

its R714m in net cash, citing the current poor<br />

economic outlook and investment needs. The four<br />

Brazilian activists, Polo Capital, Claritas, GAP and<br />

Vinson, which own some 8% of Telemig, argued that<br />

it is precisely in testing times that companies needs<br />

to focus on efficiency and purging excesses and add<br />

that investments needs are small compared to<br />

earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and<br />

due diligence. They will now be looking<br />

to get under the surface, she believes.<br />

Investors will also be more closely<br />

monitoring the decisions by individual<br />

board members and electing members<br />

with more knowledge of their<br />

background and voting patterns, she<br />

predicts. That could help promote more<br />

conversations between the board and<br />

investors. Moreover, she sees more tieups<br />

similar to that between UK pension<br />

fund Hermes and Brazilian fund Previ.<br />

Previ has launched a guide for<br />

companies on how to conduct AGMs<br />

and a list of dos and don’ts. Hermes has<br />

supported the measure. “When you get<br />

big funds like this working together, it’s<br />

pretty powerful,” Guerra says.<br />

amortisation (EBITDA.) Capital expenditure needs<br />

are some R200m against cash flow of R450m next<br />

year, according to their calculations.<br />

The activists also point out that Telemig’s policies<br />

seem out of line with those pursued by parent<br />

companies Telefonica and Portugal Telecom, which<br />

both have net debt to EBITDA ratios of more than<br />

two times while Telemig’s net cash position gives it<br />

a negative ratio of 1.70. Telefonica’s own policies<br />

state the company should be “prioritising<br />

shareholders’ returns for the use of free cash flow”,<br />

they say.<br />

Telemig is certainly not alone in Brazil in pursuing a<br />

share buyback programme, says Marcelo Mollica,<br />

senior analyst at GAP, who points out that from<br />

September to November, 14 Brazilian firms started<br />

buyback programmes against just four in the<br />

preceding eight months. “Companies are returning<br />

cash to investors where it’s not needed,” he says.<br />

The move by the four managers is unusual for<br />

Brazil in its level of coordination. With many foreign<br />

investors having pulled out of the Brazilian stock<br />

markets over the last 12 months, it’s going to be<br />

more important than ever to get Brazilian<br />

shareholders involved in monitoring their own<br />

companies, says Mollica.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


BRAZIL: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE REFORMS<br />

22<br />

In the Markets<br />

be released for consideration and<br />

affects the key area of attendance and<br />

voting at general meetings, long a<br />

contested area in Brazil thanks to<br />

restrictive requirements that<br />

shareholders appear in person at<br />

meetings. Given the size of Brazil and<br />

the number of foreign participants, that<br />

has effectively deterred participation<br />

and quora are often not met.<br />

Last year, CVM decided that<br />

shareholders should be able to<br />

participate in annual general meetings<br />

(AGMs) via the internet, notes Pinto.<br />

CVM is now floating an idea for a new<br />

rule that will oblige companies to<br />

provide for shareholders to vote by<br />

proxy. “Once we have given<br />

shareholders more information on the<br />

companies they are willing to vote in,<br />

they will be more willing to participate<br />

in meetings and better able to monitor<br />

the activities of controlling<br />

shareholders,” reckons Pinto.<br />

The moves will help stimulate<br />

investors to think more carefully about<br />

the role of corporate governance and<br />

promote more vigilant policies, thinks<br />

Guerra. In 2005-07, the years of<br />

sustained market rises, many investors’<br />

interest in corporate governance was<br />

limited to asking if a company intended<br />

to list on the Novo Mercado, the<br />

segment with the most stringent listing<br />

rules, she points out. If the answer was<br />

yes, they thought they had completed<br />

BRAZILIAN FUNDS PROMOTE TOUGH<br />

GOVERNANCE AGENDA<br />

In January, a group of key Brazilian fund managers<br />

came together to force an extraordinary general<br />

meeting (EGM) on Telemig, a mobile phone<br />

company 100% owned by Spain’s Telefonica and<br />

Portugal Telecom, marking a milestone. They were<br />

calling publicly on the company to distribute some of<br />

its large cash pile and were finally defeated in their<br />

motion. The show of corporate governance muscle is<br />

very rare for Brazil, where the few actions have been<br />

mostly initiated by foreign investors.<br />

Telemig’s EGM was watched closely both by<br />

other cash-rich Brazilian companies, trying to figure<br />

out what is prudent to keep on hand for a rockier<br />

year ahead, and Brazilian fund managers, who are<br />

starting to scrutinise practices of companies more<br />

closely to wring out more value at a time of poor<br />

market performance. Prior to the meeting, Telemig<br />

twice declined written requests to distribute some of<br />

its R714m in net cash, citing the current poor<br />

economic outlook and investment needs. The four<br />

Brazilian activists, Polo Capital, Claritas, GAP and<br />

Vinson, which own some 8% of Telemig, argued that<br />

it is precisely in testing times that companies needs<br />

to focus on efficiency and purging excesses and add<br />

that investments needs are small compared to<br />

earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and<br />

due diligence. They will now be looking<br />

to get under the surface, she believes.<br />

Investors will also be more closely<br />

monitoring the decisions by individual<br />

board members and electing members<br />

with more knowledge of their<br />

background and voting patterns, she<br />

predicts. That could help promote more<br />

conversations between the board and<br />

investors. Moreover, she sees more tieups<br />

similar to that between UK pension<br />

fund Hermes and Brazilian fund Previ.<br />

Previ has launched a guide for<br />

companies on how to conduct AGMs<br />

and a list of dos and don’ts. Hermes has<br />

supported the measure. “When you get<br />

big funds like this working together, it’s<br />

pretty powerful,” Guerra says.<br />

amortisation (EBITDA.) Capital expenditure needs<br />

are some R200m against cash flow of R450m next<br />

year, according to their calculations.<br />

The activists also point out that Telemig’s policies<br />

seem out of line with those pursued by parent<br />

companies Telefonica and Portugal Telecom, which<br />

both have net debt to EBITDA ratios of more than<br />

two times while Telemig’s net cash position gives it<br />

a negative ratio of 1.70. Telefonica’s own policies<br />

state the company should be “prioritising<br />

shareholders’ returns for the use of free cash flow”,<br />

they say.<br />

Telemig is certainly not alone in Brazil in pursuing a<br />

share buyback programme, says Marcelo Mollica,<br />

senior analyst at GAP, who points out that from<br />

September to November, 14 Brazilian firms started<br />

buyback programmes against just four in the<br />

preceding eight months. “Companies are returning<br />

cash to investors where it’s not needed,” he says.<br />

The move by the four managers is unusual for<br />

Brazil in its level of coordination. With many foreign<br />

investors having pulled out of the Brazilian stock<br />

markets over the last 12 months, it’s going to be<br />

more important than ever to get Brazilian<br />

shareholders involved in monitoring their own<br />

companies, says Mollica.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


TAKING ADVANTAGE OF DEPOSITARY RECEIPT REVAMP<br />

24<br />

In the Markets<br />

Edwin Reyes, managing director, Deutsche<br />

Bank Trust Company Americas. Like<br />

JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank also maintains<br />

strict guidelines for consulting issuers prior to<br />

the establishment a new programme. Says<br />

Reyes, “That way we are absolutely certain<br />

that there is no objection on the issuers’ part.”<br />

Photograph kindly supplied by Deutsche Bank<br />

Trust Company Americas, February 2009.<br />

FOR THE BETTER part of a year,<br />

the depositary receipt industry<br />

has been a tale of two trends—<br />

liquidity, way up and new sponsored<br />

programmes, way down. An estimated<br />

$4.4trn in DRs was traded globally last<br />

year, up 34% from 2007. However, in<br />

2008, there were just 20 new listings<br />

on European and Asian exchanges;<br />

only a dozen set up shop in the US.<br />

With world economies still drifting<br />

downward and new capital issuance<br />

in short supply, that situation is<br />

unlikely to change any time soon.<br />

On the bright side, market volatility<br />

has done wonders for DR transactional<br />

revenue. Furthermore, efforts by the US<br />

Securities and Exchange Commission<br />

(SEC) aimed at making DRs more<br />

accessible and cost-effective, including<br />

guidance related to compliance and deregistration,<br />

are likely to help mollify<br />

long-frustrated foreign issuers in<br />

NEW RULES FOR<br />

DEPOSITARY<br />

RECEIPTS<br />

A rule revision that took effect last October simplified the<br />

process for establishing unsponsored over-the-counter (OTC)<br />

programmes for non-registered United States companies, while<br />

making it easier for non-US companies to establish Level I<br />

programmes stateside. With many more shares now available to<br />

US investors in the form of depositary receipts (DR), banks are<br />

already gearing up to reap the benefits. From Boston, Dave<br />

Simons reports.<br />

particular. Meanwhile, a rule revision<br />

that took effect last October simplified<br />

the process for establishing unsponsored<br />

over-the-counter<br />

programmes for non-registered US<br />

companies, while making it easier for<br />

non-US companies to establish Level I<br />

programmes stateside. A recent report<br />

by JPMorgan suggests a possible<br />

increase in US based merger-andacquisitions<br />

activity among foreign<br />

companies, which anticipate using<br />

American depositary receipts (ADRs) as<br />

their acquisition currency.<br />

Unsponsored explosion<br />

In keeping with recent trends, ADRs<br />

have, in general, mirrored the reduced<br />

growth in volume of US domestic<br />

stocks. This, says Anthony Moro, vice<br />

president and head of ADR business<br />

development for the Bank of New York<br />

Mellon, indicates the secular changes<br />

affecting the global markets. “Despite<br />

the recent setbacks, the trend towards<br />

globalisation remains intact—the<br />

majority of the top oil, automobile and<br />

airline companies are all non-US. If<br />

you want to be involved in those<br />

sectors, you need to go international.”<br />

Last year’s SEC ruling opened the<br />

floodgates for Level 1 unsponsored<br />

ADRs, and in the few short months<br />

since the changes took effect business<br />

has been brisk, to say the least. Some<br />

605 un-sponsored DR programmes<br />

were established in 2008, up 288<br />

percent from 2007 (combined<br />

sponsored and un-sponsored<br />

programmes totalled 2,900 last year).<br />

Says Moro, “It took 75 years for 2,000<br />

programmes to come to the market,<br />

and in all likelihood the next 2,000 will<br />

be here by the end of next year.”<br />

In reality, investors have had a similar<br />

tool at their disposal for years. So-called<br />

F-share securities—broker-created<br />

shares that resemble ADRs—have<br />

provided US dollar-denominated<br />

access to any foreign or private issuer,<br />

without notification. However, such<br />

securities are generally opaque and<br />

exceedingly volatile.<br />

Through its latest effort, the SEC<br />

seeks to bring some of this cross-border<br />

activity out into the light. “It really isn’t<br />

a rule change per se and the SEC<br />

understands that,” says Moro. “The<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


TAKING ADVANTAGE OF DEPOSITARY RECEIPT REVAMP<br />

24<br />

In the Markets<br />

Edwin Reyes, managing director, Deutsche<br />

Bank Trust Company Americas. Like<br />

JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank also maintains<br />

strict guidelines for consulting issuers prior to<br />

the establishment a new programme. Says<br />

Reyes, “That way we are absolutely certain<br />

that there is no objection on the issuers’ part.”<br />

Photograph kindly supplied by Deutsche Bank<br />

Trust Company Americas, February 2009.<br />

FOR THE BETTER part of a year,<br />

the depositary receipt industry<br />

has been a tale of two trends—<br />

liquidity, way up and new sponsored<br />

programmes, way down. An estimated<br />

$4.4trn in DRs was traded globally last<br />

year, up 34% from 2007. However, in<br />

2008, there were just 20 new listings<br />

on European and Asian exchanges;<br />

only a dozen set up shop in the US.<br />

With world economies still drifting<br />

downward and new capital issuance<br />

in short supply, that situation is<br />

unlikely to change any time soon.<br />

On the bright side, market volatility<br />

has done wonders for DR transactional<br />

revenue. Furthermore, efforts by the US<br />

Securities and Exchange Commission<br />

(SEC) aimed at making DRs more<br />

accessible and cost-effective, including<br />

guidance related to compliance and deregistration,<br />

are likely to help mollify<br />

long-frustrated foreign issuers in<br />

NEW RULES FOR<br />

DEPOSITARY<br />

RECEIPTS<br />

A rule revision that took effect last October simplified the<br />

process for establishing unsponsored over-the-counter (OTC)<br />

programmes for non-registered United States companies, while<br />

making it easier for non-US companies to establish Level I<br />

programmes stateside. With many more shares now available to<br />

US investors in the form of depositary receipts (DR), banks are<br />

already gearing up to reap the benefits. From Boston, Dave<br />

Simons reports.<br />

particular. Meanwhile, a rule revision<br />

that took effect last October simplified<br />

the process for establishing unsponsored<br />

over-the-counter<br />

programmes for non-registered US<br />

companies, while making it easier for<br />

non-US companies to establish Level I<br />

programmes stateside. A recent report<br />

by JPMorgan suggests a possible<br />

increase in US based merger-andacquisitions<br />

activity among foreign<br />

companies, which anticipate using<br />

American depositary receipts (ADRs) as<br />

their acquisition currency.<br />

Unsponsored explosion<br />

In keeping with recent trends, ADRs<br />

have, in general, mirrored the reduced<br />

growth in volume of US domestic<br />

stocks. This, says Anthony Moro, vice<br />

president and head of ADR business<br />

development for the Bank of New York<br />

Mellon, indicates the secular changes<br />

affecting the global markets. “Despite<br />

the recent setbacks, the trend towards<br />

globalisation remains intact—the<br />

majority of the top oil, automobile and<br />

airline companies are all non-US. If<br />

you want to be involved in those<br />

sectors, you need to go international.”<br />

Last year’s SEC ruling opened the<br />

floodgates for Level 1 unsponsored<br />

ADRs, and in the few short months<br />

since the changes took effect business<br />

has been brisk, to say the least. Some<br />

605 un-sponsored DR programmes<br />

were established in 2008, up 288<br />

percent from 2007 (combined<br />

sponsored and un-sponsored<br />

programmes totalled 2,900 last year).<br />

Says Moro, “It took 75 years for 2,000<br />

programmes to come to the market,<br />

and in all likelihood the next 2,000 will<br />

be here by the end of next year.”<br />

In reality, investors have had a similar<br />

tool at their disposal for years. So-called<br />

F-share securities—broker-created<br />

shares that resemble ADRs—have<br />

provided US dollar-denominated<br />

access to any foreign or private issuer,<br />

without notification. However, such<br />

securities are generally opaque and<br />

exceedingly volatile.<br />

Through its latest effort, the SEC<br />

seeks to bring some of this cross-border<br />

activity out into the light. “It really isn’t<br />

a rule change per se and the SEC<br />

understands that,” says Moro. “The<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


TAKING ADVANTAGE OF DEPOSITARY RECEIPT REVAMP<br />

26<br />

In the Markets<br />

demand has always been there, and the<br />

securities have been available as well—<br />

the only thing lacking was the<br />

transparency. This restores some sanity<br />

to that portion of the market.”<br />

Still, some companies have raised<br />

concerns over the manner in which<br />

unsponsored DR programmes have been<br />

set up. According to Claudine Gallagher,<br />

global head of depositary receipts at<br />

JPMorgan, the unsponsored provision is<br />

advantageous so long as the issuing<br />

company is properly notified of the<br />

establishment of an un-sponsored<br />

programme. Unlike sponsored ADRs that<br />

benefit investor and issuer equally,<br />

investors stand to gain the most from an<br />

unsponsored programme. The equity<br />

from an unsponsored DR can be accessed<br />

simultaneously by a number of different<br />

depositary banks, which can lead to<br />

confusion even among investors, since<br />

banks may have different procedures and<br />

proprietary fee schedules.<br />

“There is demand here in the US for<br />

securities to be held locally where no<br />

DR currently exists, and so the<br />

depositary bank will create an<br />

unsponsored programme to satisfy that<br />

need,” says Gallagher. “Which is great<br />

for the investor—however, the issuer<br />

still needs to be apprised of what is<br />

happening to their equity, which<br />

investors are holding it, as well as<br />

understand how the unsponsored<br />

programme functions and how it is<br />

performing over time.”<br />

It is JPMorgan’s policy to launch all<br />

un-sponsored ADRs in conjunction<br />

with the issuing party. “We feel that it<br />

is very important that the issuer<br />

understands when a programme is<br />

going to be created and how it is<br />

going to operate before it gets<br />

established,” says Gallagher.<br />

Like JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank also<br />

maintains strict guidelines for<br />

consulting issuers prior to the<br />

establishment a new programme, says<br />

Edwin Reyes, managing director,<br />

Deutsche Bank Trust Company<br />

Americas. “That way we are absolutely<br />

certain that there is no objection on the<br />

issuers’ part.”<br />

Reyes is hopeful that the explosion<br />

of un-sponsored programmes will help<br />

buoy the market, particularly as any<br />

skittishness among affiliated<br />

companies begins to abate.<br />

“Companies are beginning to see the<br />

benefits of these unsponsored ADR<br />

programmes,” he says. “Once the<br />

education process continues, at some<br />

point they may even consider<br />

converting to a sponsored programme.<br />

That, in turn, becomes another avenue<br />

for the depositary banks to explore and<br />

naturally, as the markets begin to<br />

recover, we expect to see an overall<br />

improvement in DRs in general.”<br />

There are already a number of<br />

positive signs. Compliance costs have<br />

come down, and most companies now<br />

seem to understand that it’s no longer<br />

impossible to get out of a listing if push<br />

comes to shove. This “means that<br />

companies may be more willing to<br />

register early on,” says Reyes, “rather<br />

than stay on the sidelines because they<br />

feared they wouldn’t be able to get out<br />

of the programme if it wasn’t working<br />

out for them.”<br />

Liberalising the rules governing<br />

listing and de-registering provides<br />

much more incentive for would-be<br />

participants, agrees Gallagher. “Just<br />

two or three years ago, if an issuer<br />

had an ADR established it meant that<br />

the issuer was in it for good … Now if<br />

an issuer launches an ADR, luckily<br />

there is a way to exit. So this change<br />

has had a positive effect on the DR<br />

market.” Additionally, the<br />

streamlining of certain reporting<br />

requirements is good news for<br />

prospective foreign private issuers,<br />

says Gallagher.<br />

While capital raisings in general are<br />

expected to remain weak, there are a<br />

few potential bright spots. Smaller<br />

Brazil, Russia, India, China (BRIC)based<br />

companies in cutting-edge<br />

sectors such as biotech and alternate<br />

energies have indicated a desire to get<br />

into the market during the latter part of<br />

the year. “ADRs have real appeal for<br />

those types of sectors, mainly because<br />

they believe that US tech analysts are<br />

better at valuing their businesses,<br />

which in turn will lead to better market<br />

valuations,” says Gallagher.<br />

Despite the continued weakness, now<br />

is not the time to rethink one’s business<br />

model, says Gallagher. “The markets are<br />

going to eventually come back, and<br />

therefore you want to be in a position to<br />

respond very rapidly once the moment is<br />

at hand.” In the absence of new deals,<br />

Gallagher is confident that the returns<br />

on JPMorgan’s existing book of business<br />

will be more than sufficient. “ADRs tend<br />

to be a nice business model—when<br />

business is down, it’s because the<br />

markets are down, however under such<br />

circumstances, the increased volatility<br />

generally leads to higher-than-normal<br />

issuance and cancellation volume. This is<br />

not to say that we have no concerns<br />

whatsoever but there are certainly ways<br />

to get through difficult market<br />

conditions.”<br />

As companies batten down the<br />

hatches, Bank of New York Mellon’s<br />

Moro sees a continuation of corporateactions<br />

work from existing clients,<br />

augmented by the occasional capital<br />

raising. “For now it’s all about staying in<br />

touch with our clients and helping<br />

them navigate around the rocky coast<br />

of this market,” says Moro. When the<br />

market does begin to recover, Moro<br />

believes that issuers will be at the front<br />

of the pack, led by equity offerings from<br />

the BRIC companies. “The debt markets<br />

will remain moderately closed, and, in<br />

turn, equity will become the new debt,”<br />

he says. In turn, says Moro, US listings<br />

will likely come back stronger than<br />

ever, as increased corporate governance<br />

entices buyers like never before.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


TAKING ADVANTAGE OF DEPOSITARY RECEIPT REVAMP<br />

26<br />

In the Markets<br />

demand has always been there, and the<br />

securities have been available as well—<br />

the only thing lacking was the<br />

transparency. This restores some sanity<br />

to that portion of the market.”<br />

Still, some companies have raised<br />

concerns over the manner in which<br />

unsponsored DR programmes have been<br />

set up. According to Claudine Gallagher,<br />

global head of depositary receipts at<br />

JPMorgan, the unsponsored provision is<br />

advantageous so long as the issuing<br />

company is properly notified of the<br />

establishment of an un-sponsored<br />

programme. Unlike sponsored ADRs that<br />

benefit investor and issuer equally,<br />

investors stand to gain the most from an<br />

unsponsored programme. The equity<br />

from an unsponsored DR can be accessed<br />

simultaneously by a number of different<br />

depositary banks, which can lead to<br />

confusion even among investors, since<br />

banks may have different procedures and<br />

proprietary fee schedules.<br />

“There is demand here in the US for<br />

securities to be held locally where no<br />

DR currently exists, and so the<br />

depositary bank will create an<br />

unsponsored programme to satisfy that<br />

need,” says Gallagher. “Which is great<br />

for the investor—however, the issuer<br />

still needs to be apprised of what is<br />

happening to their equity, which<br />

investors are holding it, as well as<br />

understand how the unsponsored<br />

programme functions and how it is<br />

performing over time.”<br />

It is JPMorgan’s policy to launch all<br />

un-sponsored ADRs in conjunction<br />

with the issuing party. “We feel that it<br />

is very important that the issuer<br />

understands when a programme is<br />

going to be created and how it is<br />

going to operate before it gets<br />

established,” says Gallagher.<br />

Like JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank also<br />

maintains strict guidelines for<br />

consulting issuers prior to the<br />

establishment a new programme, says<br />

Edwin Reyes, managing director,<br />

Deutsche Bank Trust Company<br />

Americas. “That way we are absolutely<br />

certain that there is no objection on the<br />

issuers’ part.”<br />

Reyes is hopeful that the explosion<br />

of un-sponsored programmes will help<br />

buoy the market, particularly as any<br />

skittishness among affiliated<br />

companies begins to abate.<br />

“Companies are beginning to see the<br />

benefits of these unsponsored ADR<br />

programmes,” he says. “Once the<br />

education process continues, at some<br />

point they may even consider<br />

converting to a sponsored programme.<br />

That, in turn, becomes another avenue<br />

for the depositary banks to explore and<br />

naturally, as the markets begin to<br />

recover, we expect to see an overall<br />

improvement in DRs in general.”<br />

There are already a number of<br />

positive signs. Compliance costs have<br />

come down, and most companies now<br />

seem to understand that it’s no longer<br />

impossible to get out of a listing if push<br />

comes to shove. This “means that<br />

companies may be more willing to<br />

register early on,” says Reyes, “rather<br />

than stay on the sidelines because they<br />

feared they wouldn’t be able to get out<br />

of the programme if it wasn’t working<br />

out for them.”<br />

Liberalising the rules governing<br />

listing and de-registering provides<br />

much more incentive for would-be<br />

participants, agrees Gallagher. “Just<br />

two or three years ago, if an issuer<br />

had an ADR established it meant that<br />

the issuer was in it for good … Now if<br />

an issuer launches an ADR, luckily<br />

there is a way to exit. So this change<br />

has had a positive effect on the DR<br />

market.” Additionally, the<br />

streamlining of certain reporting<br />

requirements is good news for<br />

prospective foreign private issuers,<br />

says Gallagher.<br />

While capital raisings in general are<br />

expected to remain weak, there are a<br />

few potential bright spots. Smaller<br />

Brazil, Russia, India, China (BRIC)based<br />

companies in cutting-edge<br />

sectors such as biotech and alternate<br />

energies have indicated a desire to get<br />

into the market during the latter part of<br />

the year. “ADRs have real appeal for<br />

those types of sectors, mainly because<br />

they believe that US tech analysts are<br />

better at valuing their businesses,<br />

which in turn will lead to better market<br />

valuations,” says Gallagher.<br />

Despite the continued weakness, now<br />

is not the time to rethink one’s business<br />

model, says Gallagher. “The markets are<br />

going to eventually come back, and<br />

therefore you want to be in a position to<br />

respond very rapidly once the moment is<br />

at hand.” In the absence of new deals,<br />

Gallagher is confident that the returns<br />

on JPMorgan’s existing book of business<br />

will be more than sufficient. “ADRs tend<br />

to be a nice business model—when<br />

business is down, it’s because the<br />

markets are down, however under such<br />

circumstances, the increased volatility<br />

generally leads to higher-than-normal<br />

issuance and cancellation volume. This is<br />

not to say that we have no concerns<br />

whatsoever but there are certainly ways<br />

to get through difficult market<br />

conditions.”<br />

As companies batten down the<br />

hatches, Bank of New York Mellon’s<br />

Moro sees a continuation of corporateactions<br />

work from existing clients,<br />

augmented by the occasional capital<br />

raising. “For now it’s all about staying in<br />

touch with our clients and helping<br />

them navigate around the rocky coast<br />

of this market,” says Moro. When the<br />

market does begin to recover, Moro<br />

believes that issuers will be at the front<br />

of the pack, led by equity offerings from<br />

the BRIC companies. “The debt markets<br />

will remain moderately closed, and, in<br />

turn, equity will become the new debt,”<br />

he says. In turn, says Moro, US listings<br />

will likely come back stronger than<br />

ever, as increased corporate governance<br />

entices buyers like never before.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


RESPONDING TO THE CREDIT CRISIS SARKOZY-STYLE<br />

28<br />

Country Report<br />

German Chancellor Angela Merkel,<br />

left, and French President Nicolas<br />

Sarkozy listen during a conference on<br />

security policy, (Sicherheitskonferenz)<br />

at the hotel Bayerischer Hof in<br />

Munich, southern Germany, on<br />

Saturday, February 7th 2009.<br />

Photograph taken by Frank Augstein<br />

for Associated Press. Photograph<br />

supplied by PA Photos, February 2009.<br />

LIBERTY, FRATERNITY<br />

& BANK BAILOUTS<br />

It is not often that Nicolas Sarkozy chooses to shun the spotlight.<br />

However, at the end of January the normally irrepressible French<br />

president was nowhere to be found. The reason for the low profile<br />

was not so difficult to track down as the president. On January 29th<br />

some 2m French workers marched in cities and towns across France<br />

to protest the government’s failure to adequately address their<br />

concerns arising from the financial crisis and France’s looming<br />

recession. Paul Whitfield reports from Paris on the impact of the<br />

Sarkozy government’s response to the global financial crisis.<br />

SARKOZY IS NOT the first<br />

French politician to have been<br />

laid low by protests, a point he<br />

recognised himself when he<br />

resurfaced for a television interview<br />

on February 5th this year.<br />

“Demonstrations are a constant for our<br />

country,” he said. “It is normal that the<br />

French people are upset.” However,<br />

even as Sarkozy swallowed his pride to<br />

empathise with his antagonists he<br />

could be forgiven for a metaphorical<br />

glance at his comparatively peaceful<br />

near neighbours in the United<br />

Kingdom and Germany and quietly<br />

pondering, “why me?”<br />

The answer seems to have far more<br />

to do with the willingness of French<br />

voters to take to the streets than any<br />

particular failure on Sarkozy’s behalf.<br />

Much like his peers, such as Germany’s<br />

chancellor Angela Merkel and the<br />

United Kingdom’s premier Gordon<br />

Brown, Sarkozy has unveiled a raft of<br />

measures designed initially to underpin<br />

the banking sector, and more latterly to<br />

invest in the economy at large and the<br />

labour market in particular. In<br />

December last year the government<br />

announced a €26bn (£22.7bn) stimulus<br />

including €10.5bn for loans to France’s<br />

biggest lenders that will be used to<br />

shore up capital reserves and should<br />

help them keep lending. A similar<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


amount was made available to other<br />

French banks later in the month.<br />

Moreover, at the same time, the state<br />

agreed to underwrite up to €110bn of<br />

new bank lending through 2009.<br />

Sarkozy’s support for French banks<br />

differs from the UK bank bailouts in so<br />

much as they are meant to encourage<br />

lending by ostensibly healthy banks<br />

rather than saving failing banks. The<br />

French scheme has, however, tweaked<br />

the nose of the European Commission<br />

(EC), which initially considered the<br />

measures as unfair state aid. Sarkozy<br />

got his way, not least because other<br />

countries, including Merkel’s Germany,<br />

said they would follow the French path.<br />

In consequence, the EC adopted new<br />

guidelines on state intervention in<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MARCH/APRIL 2009<br />

banks to allow Sarkozy’s model to play<br />

out. One key difference between<br />

Sarkozy’s package and those of Brown<br />

and Merkel is its size: it is far smaller<br />

than those of both its neighbours.<br />

Sarkozy can thank good fortune<br />

rather than any particular skill for that<br />

difference. French banks have always<br />

been conservative lenders and through<br />

a mixture of good management and<br />

luck were less exposed to the fallout<br />

from the sub prime collapse in the<br />

United States than its counterparts in<br />

both the United Kingdom and<br />

Germany. Equally, the French<br />

government is in a stronger position to<br />

profit from its support than either of its<br />

neighbours—at least in the short term.<br />

France’s €20bn of loans to its banks will<br />

generate about €1.4bn of interest in<br />

2009, which Sarkozy says he will use to<br />

fund “social schemes”. A further €3bn<br />

of state funds is being used to purchase<br />

equity in failed Franco-Belgian lender<br />

Dexia, though €2bn of that is being<br />

provided by France’s state-controlled<br />

investment fund CDC.<br />

These numbers pale against the<br />

£100bn that the UK Treasury said in<br />

January it expects to spend on<br />

measures aimed at unfreezing credit.<br />

That sum comes on top of a £37bn<br />

bank bailout plan announced in<br />

October 2008 and a £20bn stimulus in<br />

November. The British government is<br />

also backing some £1trn of bank<br />

liabilities. Germany’s main retail<br />

lenders have also received significant<br />

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Contact: Paul Spendiff<br />

Tel: 44 [0] 20 7680 5153<br />

Fax: 44 [0] 20 7680 5155<br />

Email: paul.spendiff@berlinguer.com<br />

29


RESPONDING TO THE CREDIT CRISIS SARKOZY-STYLE<br />

30<br />

Country Report<br />

support. Merkel’s government has<br />

extended €92bn in publicly funded<br />

debt guarantees and liquidity lines to<br />

prop up Munich-based property lender<br />

Hypo Real and is pondering its<br />

nationalisation.<br />

In addition, the German state has<br />

spent €10bn buying Commerzbank<br />

equity and has earmarked €8.2bn more<br />

that will be made available in loans. A<br />

further €10bn has been made available to<br />

BayernLB. The total size of a German<br />

bailout package, hurried through the<br />

German parliament in five days, is<br />

estimated to be €480bn, of which €400bn<br />

is in a fund guaranteeing bank debt to<br />

jump-start lending and €80bn is<br />

earmarked for equity injections.<br />

For all its relative modesty, the<br />

French bank bailout has attracted much<br />

ire from French unions and the general<br />

public, which claim the government<br />

has concentrated on propping up banks<br />

at the expense of supporting consumer<br />

spending and job creation.<br />

Sarkozy is unrepentant about not<br />

doing more to support consumer<br />

spending. Speaking in his February<br />

television interview, he said that the<br />

US and British efforts to engineer a<br />

recovery by stimulating consumer<br />

spending had been a mistake that he<br />

would not repeat. “If the British do<br />

that [stimulate consumption] it is<br />

because they do not have any<br />

industry,” he said. “Gordon Brown can<br />

not do what I do…he cut VAT because<br />

he has little choice.”<br />

It is not the first time that Sarkozy has<br />

sought to score points on the domestic<br />

front by criticising his foreign<br />

counterparts. In November last year he<br />

pointedly rebuked Angela Merkel at a<br />

joint press conference when he declared<br />

that “France is working on it [the crisis];<br />

Germany is thinking about it.” In fact,<br />

Germany’s plan for dealing with the<br />

crisis sits somewhere between the<br />

French and the British plans, being a<br />

mixture of support for industrial<br />

investment and consumers. A package<br />

of measures agreed by Merkel’s<br />

coalition in mid-January included<br />

investment in public services, steps to<br />

lower health- insurance payments, cuts<br />

to the lowest income-tax rate and a<br />

family-targeted cash give away of €100<br />

for each child.<br />

Sarkozy, meanwhile, remains<br />

resolute in his belief that the best way<br />

to protect jobs is to stimulate business<br />

investment. In his February 5th<br />

interview he shunned calls for<br />

personal tax cuts or assistance and<br />

instead outlined plans to cut business<br />

tax by €8bn a year from 2010. He also<br />

reiterated plans to provide up to €6bn<br />

of aid to carmakers, noting that the<br />

industry accounted for about 10% of<br />

all French private sector employment.<br />

Unemployment is fast emerging as<br />

Sarkozy’s Achilles heel. France is<br />

expected to enter its first recession in 16<br />

years in 2009 and the jobless rate is<br />

rising at its fastest level in 10 years. The<br />

European Commission predicts the<br />

French economy will shrink 1.8% this<br />

year, its worst performance since World<br />

War II. Unemployment in France,<br />

which already stands at an<br />

uncomfortable 8%, is expected to reach<br />

9.8% by the end of 2009 and top 10.6%<br />

by 2010, according to the Commission.<br />

The rise in unemployment has<br />

brought with it specific political<br />

challenges for the French leader who<br />

must be acutely aware that the crisis,<br />

and rising unemployment, is playing<br />

into the hands of France’s rejuvenated<br />

radical left. Of particular concern to<br />

politicians of both the right and left<br />

central parties is the rise of Solidaire<br />

Unitaire Démocratique, a union with<br />

ties to far-left Trotskyist and other<br />

communist groups that has risen to<br />

become the second biggest union<br />

amongst France’s rail workers. There is<br />

no parallel to that in the political<br />

spectrum in either the UK or Germany.<br />

Sarkozy’s personal approval rating<br />

tumbled 6 percentage points<br />

following the strikes, to 41%, his<br />

lowest level since taking power last<br />

year, according to a Ifop/Paris Match<br />

poll published at the end of January.<br />

Brown and Merkel also have their<br />

own problems. Brown has seen his<br />

popularity dip in recent months after<br />

it received an initial boost in the<br />

early days of the crisis. A recent poll,<br />

conducted by YouGov for Channel 4<br />

News, found that just 36% of British<br />

voters thought Brown was the best<br />

leader to deal with the crisis, down<br />

from 41% in October.<br />

Merkel, who faces elections in<br />

September, has also seen her party’s<br />

popularity slip, even as her personal<br />

ratings have held firm. Merkel’s<br />

coalition government, consisting of her<br />

own party the Christian Democratic<br />

Union, the Christian Social Union and<br />

Free Democratic Party, has fallen to just<br />

50% in recent polls.<br />

The pressures that the leaders are<br />

under coupled with their differing<br />

convictions on how to deal with the<br />

crisis makes the possibility of a<br />

coordinated response to the crisis from<br />

Europe’s biggest economies unlikely. In<br />

the early days of the crisis Sarkozy tried<br />

to harangue the European Union to<br />

come out with a unified response to the<br />

emerging crisis, though the best he<br />

could manage was to elicit a unified<br />

statement. He also notably attempted<br />

to push European governments into<br />

adopting his idea of launching<br />

sovereign wealth funds to invest in<br />

domestic business, only to be rebuffed<br />

by both Britain and Germany.<br />

Sarkozy evidently remains an<br />

optimist. He wants European<br />

countries to adopt a common position<br />

on reforming the financial system and<br />

has said that he plans to lead talks on<br />

the matter. Sarkozy may have toned<br />

down his profile in France, European<br />

leaders clearly should not expect the<br />

same reticence.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


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SAUDI ARABIA: CONTINUED MARKET LIBERALISATION<br />

32<br />

Country Report<br />

UNLOCKING<br />

POTENTIAL<br />

The Saudi Arabian capital markets are complex beasts. Because<br />

retail, rather than institutional investors form the bulk of the<br />

activity on the Tadawul, the Saudi stock exchange, the market<br />

suffers from a higher volatility than would be expected of the<br />

largest exchange in the region. Moreover, the Saudi debt market<br />

remains flat, but with a massive internal infrastructure spending<br />

programme requiring significant investment inflows from both<br />

the public and private sector, could all that change in 2009?<br />

AT THE END of January 2009<br />

the TASI, the main index of the<br />

Tadawul, the Saudi stock<br />

exchange, stood at 4,808, up 0.1%<br />

over December but 77% down on its<br />

all time high of 20,634 achieved<br />

almost three years ago on the 25th<br />

February 2006. At its peak the Tadawul<br />

was the tenth largest stock exchange<br />

in the world, based on the combined<br />

capitalisation of its listed stocks. While<br />

the Tadawul has often won plaudits<br />

for its trading and settlement set-up<br />

and competed in terms of market cap<br />

with the biggest exchanges in the<br />

world, in some ways the Saudi stock<br />

market is immature. Even as the<br />

market peaked in 2006 it had only 78<br />

listed stocks, many with a limited free<br />

float. While institutional investors<br />

dominate most of the capital markets<br />

in Saudi Arabia, retail investors still<br />

account for 90% of trading volume on<br />

the Tadawul, with trading based as<br />

much on hearsay and market rumour<br />

as statistical research. Even so, the<br />

market is slowly evolving into a more<br />

broad-based investment market with<br />

a growing institutional investor base.<br />

Among a raft of changes that are<br />

modernising and liberalising the<br />

Saudi trading market, perhaps the one<br />

most likely to have the biggest longterm<br />

impact is the introduction by the<br />

Among a raft of changes that are modernising and liberalising the<br />

Saudi trading market, perhaps the most significant of late is the<br />

introduction by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) of a<br />

new law, last August, which allows non-resident foreign<br />

investors access to individually listed stocks for the<br />

first time. Until then foreign investors were<br />

restricted to investing in mutual funds.<br />

Photograph © Krishnacreations/<br />

Dreamstime.com, supplied<br />

February 2009.<br />

Capital Markets Authority (CMA) of a<br />

new law, last August, which allows<br />

non-resident foreign investors access<br />

to individually listed stocks for the<br />

first time. Until then foreign investors<br />

were restricted to access only through<br />

mutual funds. Foreign asset managers<br />

are still not allowed to trade shares<br />

directly but must enter into an<br />

innovative swap arrangement in<br />

which their brokerage conducts the<br />

trade on their behalf and then retains<br />

the shares, passing on any profits or<br />

dividends until such a time as the<br />

broker is instructed to sell the shares<br />

and remit the proceeds.<br />

“Overseas buying interest is a<br />

welcome introduction to the Saudi<br />

market,” says John Coverdale,<br />

managing director at SABB. “In normal<br />

market conditions, the nature of<br />

international investment flows means<br />

that when the market is undervalued<br />

money will come in and help underpin<br />

prices. Similarly when the market is too<br />

frothy or overvalued then overseas<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


SAUDI ARABIA: CONTINUED MARKET LIBERALISATION<br />

34<br />

Country Report<br />

money tends to drain away so helping<br />

to reduce volatility.”<br />

There are a number of drawbacks to<br />

this arrangement however. Most<br />

significantly perhaps is that as the<br />

shares themselves are not technically<br />

owned by the international investors,<br />

they are technically exposed to<br />

potentially a great degree of<br />

counterparty risk should their<br />

brokerage for any reason enter into<br />

administration. In the post-Lehman<br />

Brothers era then, there may be some<br />

reluctance by some international<br />

investors to rely on the CMA to<br />

protect their interests in the event of a<br />

default. The lack of direct ownership<br />

also prevents international investors<br />

who build significant stakes in<br />

companies from pushing for<br />

representation on the board or from<br />

voting in the event of a takeover.<br />

Despite these limitations, Adeeb Al-<br />

Sowailim, chief executive officer<br />

(CEO) at Falcom, one of the new<br />

breed of Saudi investment banks,<br />

thinks that the changes introduced<br />

into the market along with the<br />

introduction of new initiatives to<br />

boost disclosure, such as the<br />

publication of the identity of<br />

shareholders that hold at least a 5%<br />

stake in a company, “are welcome<br />

steps towards creating an<br />

environment that foreign investors<br />

feel comfortable with. Eventually the<br />

regime will allow full foreign<br />

ownership of shares.”<br />

While foreign investors wait for an<br />

opportunity to tap the still resilient<br />

Saudi economy, the country is moving<br />

apace with modernisation of its<br />

capital markets. The opening up of the<br />

investment market for international<br />

investors has coincided with a<br />

significant increase in the amount of<br />

equity research available. Even though<br />

Saudi banks have long had in-house<br />

research teams they have traditionally<br />

focused on macro-level economic and<br />

sector reports rather than on<br />

individual stocks. A combination of<br />

competition from the newly licensed<br />

brokerage firms and a desire from the<br />

Saudi banks to improve their client<br />

offering has led to an explosion in<br />

both the quality, range and amount of<br />

research on offer. For the first time<br />

regular analysis of individual shares of<br />

major companies is now available,<br />

providing valuations based on<br />

internationally recognised models<br />

such as discounted equity cash flow,<br />

dividend discount and peer based<br />

valuations as well as buy, hold or sell<br />

recommendations. “The provision of<br />

this type of service is the first step if<br />

international investors are to commit<br />

significant funds into the Tadawul,”<br />

maintains Al-Sowailim. “The research<br />

Adeeb Al-Sowailim, chief executive officer<br />

(CEO) at Falcom, one of the new breed of<br />

Saudi investment banks, thinks that the<br />

latest changes along with the introduction of<br />

new initiatives to boost disclosure, such as<br />

the publication of the identity of<br />

shareholders that hold at least a 5% stake in<br />

a company “ are welcome steps towards<br />

creating an environment that foreign<br />

investors feel comfortable with and that will<br />

eventually allow full foreign ownership of<br />

shares.” Photograph kindly supplied by<br />

Falcom, February 2009.<br />

also provides a guide to the local retail<br />

investors as to likely long-term<br />

company valuations thereby lowering<br />

the influence of the rumour mill that<br />

can occasionally take hold of the<br />

market,” he adds.<br />

For the brokerage firms, research is<br />

also seen as key differentiator in the<br />

highly competitive market and a strong<br />

show of commitment to their clients.<br />

Many have invested heavily in<br />

expanding the depth of their research<br />

coverage, often focusing not just on<br />

companies in Saudi Arabia but across<br />

the six-member Gulf Cooperation<br />

Council (GCC). As research improves<br />

and Saudi firms become more<br />

comfortable with the levels of<br />

disclosure expected by international<br />

investors, the Saudi market should<br />

eventually attract significant<br />

investment flows, thinks Tim Gray, chief<br />

executive at HSBC Saudi Arabia which<br />

has now issued over $1bn of swaps on<br />

Saudi shares since the end of August<br />

2008. “We already have excellent<br />

execution and clearing, settlement and<br />

custody capabilities so the introduction<br />

of better and more research completes<br />

the picture.” Although another key<br />

component, the ability to short and<br />

therefore hedge risk, remains off the<br />

agenda for the foreseeable future, in<br />

the view of most market participants<br />

the Tadawul is likely to become more<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


SAUDI ARABIA: CONTINUED MARKET LIBERALISATION<br />

36<br />

Country Report<br />

firmly established on the radar of<br />

international investors.<br />

Although the lucrative foreign<br />

investment market is the immediate<br />

focus of many brokerages, the longterm<br />

potential of the local retail<br />

market has not been forgotten and a<br />

slew of investment products are now<br />

being developed for both this and the<br />

institutional market.<br />

The heavy fall of the TASI and the<br />

volatility sometimes exhibited by the<br />

Tadawul have opened the eyes of some<br />

of Saudi Arabia’s 15m retail investors,<br />

many of whom have been introduced<br />

to the stock exchange through their<br />

participation in the government’s<br />

initial public offering (IPO)<br />

programme, to the risks inherent in<br />

stock picking as an investment<br />

strategy. A number of the banks are<br />

investing heavily in their investment<br />

management arms and expanding the<br />

number of products available. One<br />

product, exchange traded funds (ETFs),<br />

is well suited to the day-trading<br />

environment of the Saudi retail market<br />

because they can be bought and sold<br />

like shares, have lower costs than<br />

mutual funds and give exposure to a<br />

wider constituent than individual<br />

shares. Falcom has already taken the<br />

first steps to launching an ETF with the<br />

creation of its Sharia Index which is<br />

licensed by the Tadawul. The index<br />

represents 112 companies, nearly 78%<br />

of the TASI index, that are approved by<br />

Sharia scholars. “The index is calculated<br />

in real-time, published in Saudi riyals<br />

and over time we expect it to be used<br />

as the basis of index-linked funds, ETFs<br />

and over-the-counter (OTC) products.<br />

The Falcom Shariah index also has<br />

clear and transparent rules and<br />

governance procedures that ensure<br />

that it is investable and straightforward<br />

to track,” said Al-Sowailim.<br />

With the TASI falling 52.5% in 2008<br />

and remaining subdued in the opening<br />

weeks of 2009 investors are being<br />

encouraged to look at Saudi Arabia’s<br />

nascent sukuk market. Saudi Hollandi<br />

Bank’s successful closing of a SR775m<br />

mudaraba sukuk, as part of a planned<br />

SR1.5bn Islamic note issuance<br />

programme, has given hope for a revival<br />

of the Saudi sukuk market which had<br />

been in the doldrums, along with sukuk<br />

issuance in other GCC countries and<br />

the global debt markets. Even so,<br />

issuance has been relatively constant<br />

albeit at a low level since SABIC’s<br />

ground-breaking SR3bn issuance in<br />

2006. SABIC’s three issues still remain<br />

the de facto benchmarks for Saudi<br />

sukuk in the absence of government<br />

issued paper. This may change as<br />

companies previously reliant solely on<br />

bank funding or on shareholder capital<br />

seek alternative sources of funding as<br />

traditional sources continue to tighten<br />

during the course of 2009. Ultimately,<br />

the spur to further issuance may,<br />

ironically, be provided outside the<br />

country. The Malaysian sukuk market<br />

continues to be healthy, with a<br />

substantial issuance pipeline in the first<br />

half of 2009. Moreover, a fillip may also<br />

be provided by Turkey and South Korea,<br />

both of which are said to be planning<br />

substantial sovereign sukuk issues in<br />

the first quarter of this year. In their<br />

efforts to promote Riyadh as a centre for<br />

Islamic finance, the Saudi authorities<br />

are likely to be keen to promote wider<br />

use of sukuks by Saudi corporates.<br />

The structure of the mudaraba<br />

sukuk is similar to that of a traditional<br />

securitisation in that a special purpose<br />

vehicle (SPV) is created and income<br />

relating to a specific project or income<br />

scheme is paid into this. The sukuk<br />

then represents ownership of units of<br />

equal value in the SPV equity and is<br />

registered in the names of holders and<br />

produces returns according to the<br />

percentage of ownership of share. This<br />

makes it an ideal structure for banks<br />

to raise capital to make loans as well<br />

as for companies involved in large<br />

Tim Gray, chief executive at HSBC Saudi<br />

Arabia, which has structured a number of<br />

sukuks, thinks that the instruments will<br />

play a key role in the funding mix of projects<br />

alongside local and international bank<br />

funding, equity issuance, private equity and<br />

government pools. “The sheer scale of the<br />

projects planned in the Kingdom and the<br />

amount of funding required means that<br />

realistically every pool of liquidity will need<br />

to be tapped.” Photograph kindly supplied by<br />

HSBC, February 2009.<br />

scale infrastructure projects which<br />

have clearly identifiable revenue<br />

streams. Gray at HSBC, which has<br />

structured a number of the sukuks<br />

issued to date, thinks that while the<br />

unique nature of each sukuk issued<br />

means it is difficult to boost issuance<br />

levels quickly they will undoubtedly<br />

play a key role in the funding mix of<br />

projects alongside local and<br />

international bank funding, equity<br />

issuance, private equity and<br />

government pools. “The sheer scale of<br />

the projects planned in the Kingdom<br />

and the amount of funding required<br />

means that realistically every pool of<br />

liquidity will need to be tapped.”<br />

An increase in sukuk issuance will<br />

be welcomed by investors in what is<br />

still a “buy and hold” market with<br />

limited trading on the secondary<br />

market. An increase in issuance will<br />

eventually feed through though and<br />

should increase liquidity and tighten<br />

spreads. This will give confidence to<br />

international investors who have been<br />

largely untapped in what remains<br />

primarily a domestic market.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


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SAUDI ARABIA: FISCAL SURPLUS BUOYS BANKS<br />

38<br />

Country Report<br />

A stricter approach to credit risk is something that has been actively encouraged by the Saudi<br />

Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), the central bank. “There is considerable evidence from the<br />

international markets that many financial institutions fail because of high vulnerability to<br />

credit risk. Also, credit risk management in the banking industry is an area of primary concern<br />

and focus of SAMA’s off-site and on-site supervisory work and it continues to encourage banks<br />

towards more sophistication in this area,” explains Abdulrahman Al-Hamidy, deputy governor<br />

of SAMA. Photograph © Pavel Hamr/Dreamstime.com, supplied February 2009.<br />

Saudi banks<br />

buck the trend<br />

The Saudi Arabian banking sector appears relatively immune to the vagaries of the global credit<br />

crisis. In part, this insulation is a result of the large fiscal packages announced by the Saudi<br />

government over the last 24 months, supporting a vast array of local infrastructure projects, either<br />

through direct investment or capital goods financing. While some of the infrastructure projects<br />

may be deferred, the majority of them look likely to go ahead, amounting to a stimulus worth a<br />

tad above $400bn into the Saudi economy over the next five years. Even if the oil price hovers at<br />

around $40 a barrel (and the Saudi government requires a price of around $50 to balance its<br />

budget) the large fiscal surpluses built up over the last few years more than cover any potential<br />

shortfall. Moreover, the banks appear to have solid support from the central bank, which has amply<br />

demonstrated its willingness to intervene to ease liquidity issues. How best can local banks leverage<br />

this project bonanza and central bank support?<br />

“ WE ARE IN a fortunate<br />

position in Saudi Arabia in<br />

that national spending<br />

plans and the strong fiscal position of<br />

the government means that while the<br />

Kingdom is not cocooned from the<br />

issues facing the global economy, it is<br />

probably cushioned, certainly at the<br />

moment, from the worst of its effects,”<br />

says John Coverdale, managing<br />

director (MD) at SABB.<br />

The positive banking results<br />

reported by Saudi banks for the<br />

2008 financial year certainly support<br />

this view. While many banks<br />

reported some slowing in income<br />

growth and write downs in the<br />

fourth quarter of 2008, their<br />

aggregated performance and<br />

relatively upbeat projections for the<br />

2009 financial year are in marked<br />

contrast to the dour predictions<br />

elsewhere in the region and further<br />

afield. Such is the divide in outlook<br />

that some of the Kingdom’s<br />

financial institutions appear to have<br />

gone to some lengths to distance<br />

themselves from their former<br />

international partners.<br />

Samba MD and chief executive<br />

officer (CEO) Eisa al-Eisa, for<br />

example, when announcing net<br />

income for the bank of SR4.5bn in<br />

2008, was keen to disassociate the<br />

bank from its previous partner<br />

Citigroup, explaining that Samba had<br />

separated from Citigroup back in<br />

2003. Although Samba’s overall net<br />

income was down 7.7% year-on-year<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


after a challenging fourth quarter, the<br />

bank says its outlook remains positive.<br />

Samba’s total assets last year rose by<br />

16% to SR179bn, compared to<br />

SR154bn in 2007. Over the same<br />

period investments rose to SR54bn, a<br />

modest 1% increase, while total loans<br />

and advances stood at SR98bn, up<br />

22% versus the previous year. Total<br />

deposits were up 16% versus 2007 at<br />

SR134bn and Samba’s loan-todeposit<br />

ratio was 73%, well below the<br />

regulatory requirement of 85%.<br />

Commenting on a balance sheet with<br />

total equity standing at SR20.2bn<br />

supporting total assets of SR 179bn,<br />

al-Eisa believes that, “Samba’s<br />

performance was achieved despite the<br />

financial and economic crises gripping<br />

the world’s economies. Our financial<br />

position is based on a sound footing,<br />

with adequate capitalisation and<br />

healthy regulatory ratios.”<br />

Another Saudi bank that appears to<br />

buck the global trend is Arab National<br />

Bank (ANB), which posted net profits<br />

in 2008 of $663m. The key to the<br />

bank’s success “against the backdrop<br />

of a challenging global environment”<br />

believes MD and CEO Dr. Robert Eid,<br />

“is a high level of diversification in<br />

terms of income and the robust nature<br />

of our asset mix.” This allowed assets<br />

to reach $32bn in 2008 against $25bn,<br />

an increase of 28%. Investments<br />

reached $7.5bn compared to $5.6bn<br />

for the same period last year<br />

representing an increase of 34%,<br />

while the loans portfolio rose by 22%<br />

to $19.9bn and customers’ deposits<br />

increased by 26% to $24.7bn<br />

Even so, brokerage and listings<br />

advisory business was one area where<br />

virtually all of the Saudi banks’ income<br />

declined. Saudi banks account for over<br />

90% of the trading activity on the<br />

Tadawul, the Saudi stock exchange,<br />

which recorded a 27% fall in the<br />

volume of transactions (from 65.67m<br />

trades in 2007 to 52.14m last year).<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS • MARCH/APRIL 2009<br />

Samba, for instance, saw income<br />

from brokerage reduce by SR304m.<br />

The turmoil on the Tadawul, where<br />

the TASI, the main index, dropped by<br />

a massive 52.5% last year, limited the<br />

number of initial public offerings<br />

(IPOs) to just 13 in 2008 compared to<br />

26 in 2007. Saudi Arabia’s stock<br />

exchange has always been vulnerable<br />

to massive swings as it remains<br />

essentially a retail market, with<br />

institutional funds accounting for less<br />

than 3% of the total.<br />

Saudi banks face significant and<br />

growing competition in the retail<br />

segment from both the rise of local<br />

brokerages, such as Falcom and<br />

international companies such as<br />

EFG-Hermes which have recently<br />

established operations in the country,<br />

mostly working out of Riyadh. The<br />

government is encouraging<br />

competition. The Capital Markets<br />

Authority (CMA) as of the end of<br />

January 2009 had issued 110 licences<br />

to institutions wishing to set up<br />

operations in the Kingdom. While<br />

many of these are relatively small,<br />

with little or no business, others have<br />

set up much larger operations. The<br />

consequence of this influx is that the<br />

already tight margins on brokerage<br />

operations in the country are now<br />

under renewed pressure as the new<br />

entrants look to gain market share.<br />

Changing conditions in the local<br />

market have encouraged many Saudi<br />

banks to actively diversify their<br />

business streams. SABB’s Coverdale,<br />

for instance, attributes much of the<br />

bank’s stable performance through<br />

2008 (a more than satisfactory 12%<br />

uptick in net profits to $779m) to the<br />

growth in non-funds income. A<br />

substantive upturn in revenue was<br />

recorded largely across the board in<br />

SABB’s card, account relationship<br />

management and trade-related<br />

businesses. “This sustained<br />

performance has been achieved by<br />

Samba managing director and chief executive<br />

officer (CEO) Eisa al-Eisa announced net<br />

income for the bank of SR4.5bn in 2008 and<br />

was keen to disassociate the bank from its<br />

previous partner Citigroup. (Samba<br />

separated from Citigroup in 2003). Although<br />

Samba’s overall net income was down 7.7%<br />

year-on-year after a challenging fourth<br />

quarter, the bank says its outlook remains<br />

positive. Photograph kindly supplied by<br />

Samba, February 2009<br />

SABB’s continued focus on core<br />

banking activities, supported by the<br />

underlying fundamental strength of<br />

the Saudi economy. The quality of our<br />

asset book remains strong, with loan<br />

growth being fully funded by<br />

increased customer deposits. Surplus<br />

deposits raised have been invested in<br />

accordance with our conservative<br />

investment policy,” explains Coverdale.<br />

According to Coverdale, SABB uses<br />

sophisticated modelling, credit<br />

scoring and risk analysis in its various<br />

businesses lines and also sets the bar<br />

high in terms of loan qualification.<br />

Saudi banks are also supported by<br />

local loan repayment practices. When<br />

loans or mortgage products are sold in<br />

Saudi Arabia to individuals, for<br />

instance, repayments are normally<br />

deducted at source from their salary<br />

39


SAUDI ARABIA: FISCAL SURPLUS BUOYS BANKS<br />

40<br />

Country Report<br />

via the employer in much the same<br />

way that income tax is deducted<br />

elsewhere in the world. This process<br />

significantly reduces the levels of nonperforming<br />

loans in the Kingdom. Al-<br />

Eisa says that Samba’s “nonperforming<br />

loans (NPLs)-to-loan<br />

ratio now stands at 1.8%, compared to<br />

2.3% back in 2007. We continue to set<br />

aside much higher provisions than the<br />

regulatory requirement, thereby<br />

improving our loan leverage ratio<br />

(LLR) coverage to 167% compared to<br />

160% in 2007.”<br />

Another bank taking a conservative<br />

approach is Riyad Bank. At the end of<br />

2008 its loan book rose stood at<br />

SR96.4bn, up 43% on the year and 7%<br />

on the quarter. Much of this growth<br />

has been in loans to small and<br />

medium sized enterprises (SMEs), a<br />

sector the bank has been heavily<br />

targeting. More importantly Riyad<br />

Bank has met with significant success<br />

in attracting new deposits, which<br />

surged 20% in the fourth quarter in a<br />

highly competitive market. This<br />

helped drive down the loans-todeposit<br />

ratio to 92% (from 103% in<br />

September) and leaves the bank well<br />

positioned going into 2009.<br />

This stricter approach to credit risk<br />

has been actively encouraged by the<br />

Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency<br />

(SAMA), the central bank. “There is<br />

considerable evidence from the<br />

international markets that many<br />

financial institutions fail because of<br />

high vulnerability to credit risk. Also,<br />

credit risk management in the banking<br />

industry is an area of primary concern<br />

and focus of SAMA’s off-site and onsite<br />

supervisory work and it continues<br />

to encourage banks towards more<br />

sophistication in this area,” explains<br />

Abdulrahman Al-Hamidy, deputy<br />

governor of SAMA. The<br />

implementation of Basel II at the<br />

beginning of 2008 has given further<br />

impetus to management of all risk in<br />

the banks, he adds. “The credit risk<br />

management systems in banks are<br />

going through a thorough review and<br />

enhancement as most banks are<br />

working on the implementation of<br />

their internal credit risk rating<br />

systems,” notes Al-Hamidy. “These<br />

systems are expected to collect<br />

qualitative and quantitative financial<br />

data on their customers and also data<br />

on their facilities, collaterals, and other<br />

related information. Furthermore,<br />

these systems will help collecting data<br />

on customer default history and credit<br />

losses. The objective of these systems<br />

is to provide information on the<br />

probability of default and loss given<br />

default.” This process should be further<br />

aided by the creation of a national data<br />

pool for corporate customers which is<br />

currently being developed.<br />

SAMA is also active elsewhere.<br />

Although the lack of liquidity in the<br />

banking system and wider economy is<br />

less of an issue in Saudi Arabia than<br />

elsewhere, some of the banks are<br />

exposed to overseas borrowing.<br />

However, this accounts for only a small<br />

proportion of their funding.<br />

Nonetheless, there is undoubtedly<br />

competition between institutions for<br />

deposits and this trend is only expected<br />

to intensify as more foreign banks<br />

enter the country. In the meantime, in<br />

their search for liquidity, local banks<br />

have been helped by SAMA’s<br />

intervention in the markets. At the end<br />

of November, the central bank lowered<br />

the repurchase (repo) rate from 4% to<br />

3% and the cash reserve requirement<br />

on demand deposits from 10% to 7%.<br />

Since then SAMA has made two<br />

further cuts to the repo rate. The latest<br />

intervention came on 19th January this<br />

year when the central bank took the<br />

repo rate down to 2% and the reverse<br />

repo rate to 0.75% in order to “ensure<br />

that credit is available for genuine<br />

corporate demand at lower rates,”<br />

according to an official statement.<br />

John Coverdale, managing director (MD) at<br />

SABB. According to Coverdale, SABB uses<br />

sophisticated modelling, credit scoring and risk<br />

analysis in its various business lines and also<br />

sets the bar high in terms of loan qualification.<br />

Moreover, Saudi banks are also supported by<br />

local loan repayment practices. Photograph<br />

kindly supplied by SABB, February 2008.<br />

Repo and reverse repo transactions<br />

are the primary tools that SAMA has<br />

used to offset temporary swings in<br />

bank reserves, as well as to boost<br />

liquidity. A repo temporarily adds<br />

reserve balances to the banking<br />

system while reverse repos have the<br />

opposite effect. In repos, SAMA<br />

makes overnight loans to banks in<br />

collateral of the government securities<br />

portfolio held by banks with a<br />

maximum of 75% of this portfolio at<br />

the announced repo rate. In reverse<br />

repo, SAMA borrows from banks at<br />

the reverse repo rate. The latest action<br />

by SAMA of reducing repo and<br />

reverse repo rates adds more stability<br />

to the inter-banking market, boosts<br />

liquidity and makes more reserves<br />

available for banks, at a lower cost, if<br />

the need emerges. In October SAMA<br />

announced that to date no bank had<br />

used this facility but as conditions<br />

worsened for the banks in the fourth<br />

quarter there was no indication<br />

whether this was still the case.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS


Spotlight on Colombia:<br />

A Q&A Session with Global X Funds founder and CEO Bruno del Ama<br />

Why did you choose the <strong>FTSE</strong> Colombia 20 Index as the basis for Global X’s newest Exchange Traded Fund?<br />

It is difficult and expensive to access the Colombian market and this is the first Colombian ETF globally. <strong>FTSE</strong> developed a custom made index for<br />

the Colombian market that balances the liquidity needs of an ETF with the diversification requirements from U.S. regulators. The index represents<br />

the performance of the top 20 stocks, ranked by liquidity, then size, in one of the world’s fastest growing emerging markets.<br />

What is the performance story?<br />

Amidst global market turmoil over the course of the trailing year, ending 30 January 2009, Colombia was one of the top performing emerging<br />

markets. The <strong>FTSE</strong> Colombia 20 Index was down only 5.38% in USD total return terms over that period, as compared with the <strong>FTSE</strong> Emerging All<br />

Cap Index, which fell by 50.92%.<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> Colombia 20 1-Year Performance<br />

Index Rebased (31 Jan 2008 =100)<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Jan-2008<br />

Feb-2008<br />

Mar-2008<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> Colombia 20 Index <strong>FTSE</strong> Latin Americas All Cap Index <strong>FTSE</strong> Emerging All Cap Index<br />

What kinds of companies are found in the Colombia 20 Index?<br />

The constituents of the Colombia 20 index span multiple industries, although there is some concentration in Oil & Gas, Banks, and Financial Services<br />

as classified by ICB supersector. The top two companies in the index are Ecopetrol SA, the largest Latin America IPO in 2007, and Bancolombia SA,<br />

the largest commercial bank in the country.<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> Colombia 20 Top 5 Constituents<br />

Apr-2008<br />

Rank Constituent Name ICB Supersector Index Market Cap (USDm) Index Weight (%)<br />

1 Empresa Colombiana de Petroleos Oil & Gas 1,012 19.87<br />

2 Bancolombia Banks 423 8.30<br />

2 Bancolombia PN Banks 570 11.19<br />

3 Colombiana de Inversiones Financial Services 258 5.07<br />

4 Banco De Bogota Banks 253 4.98<br />

5 Inversiones Argos Construction & Materials 250 4.92<br />

Totals 2,766 54.32<br />

Source: <strong>FTSE</strong> Group, as at 30 January 2009. <strong>FTSE</strong> does not accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the <strong>FTSE</strong> indices or underlying data. No further distribution of <strong>FTSE</strong> Data is permitted without <strong>FTSE</strong>'s express written consent<br />

For further information about GlobalX Funds, please contact Bruno del Ama at bdelama@globalxfunds.com or visit www.globalxfunds.com<br />

THE <strong>FTSE</strong> I WANT THE WORLD INDEX<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong>. It’s how the world says index.<br />

May-2008<br />

Global markets grow more complex and interconnected every day.To stay abreast, you need a comprehensive<br />

index that can slice and dice markets the way you do. The <strong>FTSE</strong> Global Equity Index Series was the first<br />

benchmark to cover the world seamlessly with a single consistent and transparent methodology. Wherever<br />

you invest, <strong>FTSE</strong> gives you the clearest view of how you are doing. www.ftse.com/invest_world<br />

© <strong>FTSE</strong> International Limited (‘<strong>FTSE</strong>’) 2009. All rights reserved. <strong>FTSE</strong> ® is a trade mark owned by the London Stock Exchange Plc and The Financial Times Limited and are used by <strong>FTSE</strong> under licence.<br />

Jun-2008<br />

Jul-2008<br />

Aug-2008<br />

Sep-2008<br />

Oct-2008<br />

Nov-2008<br />

Dec-2008<br />

Jan-2009


INDEX REVIEW: THE DARKEST HOUR BEFORE THE DAWN?<br />

42<br />

Index Review<br />

ROCK, PAPER,<br />

SCISSORS, STERLING<br />

At times like this, where the dark before the dawn seems ever<br />

deeper, it is quite simple to advise investors to keep their hands<br />

in their pockets rather than risk a punt or two on a reversal of<br />

fortune. Even so, traders should always be aware that bear<br />

markets do end at some point and the resulting bounce can be<br />

dramatic. Simon Denham, managing director of spread betting<br />

firm Capital Spreads, looks for hope amid the wreckage.<br />

MY LAST MISSIVE concerned<br />

the need for that iconic<br />

moment when a major name<br />

disappears and defines the moment<br />

when we can say “that was the<br />

bottom”. Might it be near? Both RBS<br />

and Lloyds/HBOS look suspiciously<br />

terminal; indeed, at 11p per share the<br />

entire share capital of RBS is now<br />

valued at little more than a three<br />

month call option. In the<br />

Scandinavian banking crisis of the<br />

1990s equity holders were wiped out<br />

and many banks merged or sold off to<br />

create Nordea Group. The potential<br />

for huge job losses if the UK takes this<br />

same route will cause alarm in the<br />

Exchequer as tax revenues and<br />

spending are already under pressure.<br />

Truth is, capital economies rely on<br />

strong banks for growth. A major<br />

handicap for both the communist and<br />

the Islamic economic models over the<br />

last century has been their lack of<br />

ability to borrow to expand. Everything<br />

had to be centrally planned/funded or<br />

paid for cash down. The upshot is<br />

much slower growth and the<br />

depressing fact that the poor generally<br />

remain poor and the wealthy reap all<br />

the rewards. If too many banks go to<br />

the wall and/or their appetite for<br />

lending is seriously curtailed it will<br />

have a serious affect on growth<br />

potential for many years to come.<br />

The UK’s public fiscal position is<br />

precarious as ever more funds have<br />

been committed to social wellbeing<br />

programmes with little consideration<br />

given to the long term costs of such<br />

projects. Over the last three months<br />

untold billions have been added to<br />

this total in the form of props to the<br />

financial services sector. The result,<br />

predictably, is an economy resembling<br />

one of those test crash dummies<br />

driving into a brick wall. Business<br />

surveys are reporting unheard of<br />

weakness in confidence, order books<br />

and rate of decline.<br />

It is tempting to say that equity<br />

markets and investors tend to look<br />

past current problems and focus on<br />

future opportunity. However,<br />

companies which have not reported<br />

losses for decades are now swimming<br />

in red ink and the situation for weaker<br />

businesses remains grim and is likely<br />

worsen. The destruction of capital has<br />

been monumental and there will be a<br />

massive issuance of Gilts, Bunds,<br />

Treasuries etc over the next three to six<br />

years. This glut of state debt is likely to<br />

soak up a big chunk of available<br />

investment funds and may create a<br />

heavy squeeze on investment<br />

elsewhere. From where are the excess<br />

funds, needed to drive a serious bull<br />

market, going to come?<br />

While equity market returns look<br />

Simon Denham, managing director of spread<br />

betting firm, Capital Spreads, October 2008.<br />

tempting the same can be said for<br />

corporate bonds. Much of the five to<br />

eight year UK corporate debt is giving<br />

yields in the low teens when the<br />

equivalent equity return is generally at<br />

4% to 6%. This yield gap is giving<br />

company treasurers little scope to issue<br />

debt to finance growth (with no real<br />

appetite for equity issuance either).<br />

Markets are current oscillating<br />

around the same general area day<br />

after day, with the <strong>FTSE</strong> struggling to<br />

break away from the 4000 to 4450<br />

range. It had broken above and below<br />

these levels several times since<br />

October but only for a few days until<br />

the pressure to return becomes too<br />

great. This weakness might be<br />

considered surprising as the index is<br />

comprised of so many foreign and<br />

international firms (given the<br />

thrashing being given to sterling). It is<br />

said over 70% of the turnover of <strong>FTSE</strong><br />

100 stocks is made abroad. If this is<br />

indeed the case, the attraction for UK<br />

stocks in their sterling depreciated<br />

state must be compelling. The<br />

problem is that any foreign portfolio<br />

manager looking at UK equities<br />

investments is looking at serious value<br />

destruction over and above the mere<br />

weakness of the actual stock. Sterling<br />

has more than halved versus the yen<br />

since the summer of 2007 and has<br />

given up 35% against the dollar and<br />

euro. It is a brave fund manager who<br />

is willing to buck a trend like that.<br />

As ever Ladies and Gentlemen,<br />

Place your bets.<br />

MARCH/APRIL 2009 • <strong>FTSE</strong> GLOBAL MARKETS

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