Final Report Supplement - Joint Fire Science Program

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Zotero Report zotero://report/items/520446_XG98FERT-520446_89BHQIMS-520446... Date February 1994 Journal Abbr J. Appl. Meteorol. DOI 10.1175/1520-0450(1994)0332.0.CO;2 ISSN 0894-8763 URL http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175 /1520-0450%281994%29033%3C0140%3AASTMFM%3E2.0.CO%3B2 Date Added Tuesday, August 30, 2011 4:16:19 AM Modified Wednesday, August 31, 2011 1:02:53 AM A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments Type Journal Article Author Kathy A. Hibbard Author Gerald A. Meehl Author Peter M. Cox Author Pierre Friedlingstein Abstract Climate models used for climate change projections are on the threshold of including much greater biological and chemical detail than previous models. Today, standard climate models (referred to generically as atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, or AOGCMs) include components that simulate the coupled atmosphere, ocean, land, and sea ice. Some modeling centers are now incorporating carbon cycle models into AOGCMs in a move toward an Earth system model (ESM) capability. Additional candidate components to include in ESMs are aerosols, chemistry, ice sheets, and dynamic vegetation. Publication EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union Volume 88 Issue 20 Pages 217, 219, 221 Date 15 May 2007 Journal Abbr EOS Trans. AGU DOI doi:10.1029/2007EO200002 ISSN 0096-3941 URL http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2007EO200002.shtml Date Added Monday, August 29, 2011 5:30:07 PM Modified Monday, August 29, 2011 5:34:35 PM A synoptic climatology for forest-fires in the NE US and future implications from GCM simulations Type Journal Article Author Eugene S. Takle Author Daniel J. Bramer Author Warren E. Heilman Author Metinka R. Thompson Abstract We studied surface-pressure patterns corresponding to reduced precipitation, high evaporation potential, and enhanced forest-fire danger for West Virginia, which experienced extensive forest-fire damage in November 1987. From five years of daily weather maps we identified eight weather patterns that describe distinctive flow situations throughout the year. Map patterns labeled extended-high, back-of-high, and pre-high were the most frequently occurring patterns that accompany forest fires in West Virginia and the nearby four-stare region. Of these, back-of-high accounted for a disproportionately large amount of fire-related damage. Examination of evaporation acid precipitation data showed that these three patterns and high-to-the-south patterns ail led to drying conditions and all other patterns led to moistening conditions. Surface-pressure fields generated by the Canadian Climate Centre global circulation model for simulations of the present (1xCO₂) climate and 2xCO₂ climate were studied to determine whether forest-fire potential would change under increased atmospheric CO₂. The analysis showed a tendency for increased frequency of drying in the NE US, but the results were not statistically significant. 28 of 626 9/1/2011 11:40 AM
Zotero Report zotero://report/items/520446_XG98FERT-520446_89BHQIMS-520446... Publication International Journal of Wildland Fire Volume 4 Issue 4 Pages 217-224 Date January 1994 Journal Abbr Int. J. Wildland Fire DOI 10.1071/WF9940217 ISSN 1049-8001 URL http://www.publish.csiro.au/paper/WF9940217 Date Added Saturday, August 27, 2011 6:05:17 AM Modified Saturday, August 27, 2011 3:51:05 PM A synthesis of plant invasion effects on biodiversity across spatial scales Type Journal Article Author Kristin I. Powell Author Jonathan M. Chase Author Tiffany M. Knight Abstract • Premise of the study: Invasive plant species are typically thought to pose a large threat to native biodiversity, and local-scale studies typically confirm this view. However, plant invaders rarely cause regional extirpations or global extinctions, causing some to suggest that invasive species’ influence on native biodiversity may not be so dire. We aim to synthesize the seemingly conflicting literature in plant invasion biology by evaluating the effects of invasive plant species across spatial scales. • Methods: We first conducted a meta-analysis on the effects of invasive plants on the species richness of invaded communities across a range of spatial extents. We then discuss studies that consider the role of invasive plants on regional spatial scales for which such meta-analyses are not possible. Finally, we develop a conceptual framework to synthesize the influence of invasive species across spatial scales by explicitly recognizing how invasive species alter species-occupancy distributions. • Key results: We found a negative relationship between the spatial extent of the study and the effect size of invasive plants on species richness. Our simulation models suggest that this result can occur if invaders, either proportionately or disproportionately, reduce the occupancy of common species to a greater degree than rare species. • Conclusions: Future studies should consider the influence of invaders on the abundance and occupancy-level changes in native species to inform how invasive plants will influence native species richness relationships across spatial scales. This approach will allow greater predictive ability for forecasting changes in biodiversity in the face of anthropogenic biological invasions and will inform invasive species management and restoration. Publication American Journal of Botany Volume 98 Issue 3 Pages 539-548 Date March 2011 Journal Abbr Am. J. Bot. DOI 10.3732/ajb.1000402 ISSN 0002-9122 URL http://www.amjbot.org/cgi/doi/10.3732/ajb.1000402 Extra Keywords: biodiversity; biological invasions; common; effect size; invasive plants; meta-analysis; occupancy; rare; spatial scale; species richness. Date Added Sunday, August 28, 2011 12:27:26 AM Modified Sunday, August 28, 2011 12:27:26 AM A unified modeling approach to climate system prediction Type Journal Article Author James Hurrell 29 of 626 9/1/2011 11:40 AM
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Final Report Supplement - Joint Fire Science Program

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