Modeling deforestation baselines using GEOMOD - Instituto ...

Finalizing Avoided Deforestation Baselines
Figure 3. Municipalities intersecting the region analyzed. All are located within the State of
Campeche.
GEOMOD calculates the portion of each driver class that coincides with deforested cells in 1995 and then
simulates a year 2000 landscape. The 1995 land against which the drivers were analyzed is shown in
Figure 4. Through visual comparison with the mapped drivers (Figure 5) one can often get an intuitive
sense of those factors that appear to be the most important. GEOMOD’s SR1.Out file (Table 3) reports the
percent of each driver class that is already deforested in 1995. These percentages are the weights applied
to each remaining forested cell in that driver class. In each calibration run the final weight applied to each
forested cell in the map is a combination of the weights (or percentages) of all the drivers being tested in
that run.
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