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Gas Price Hikes continued from page 34<br />

Chart 2: Dollar stores decline, Club &<br />

Supercenters increase<br />

% household shopper penetration<br />

Warehouse<br />

50<br />

50<br />

52<br />

2001<br />

2005<br />

mid-2006<br />

Supercenters*<br />

51<br />

5861<br />

Dollar<br />

Drug<br />

Mass Merch<br />

Grocery<br />

Source: ACNielsen Homescan & Spectra<br />

*Includes Kmart, Target & Wal-Mart Supercenters<br />

59<br />

67<br />

65<br />

86<br />

83<br />

83<br />

95<br />

87<br />

85<br />

100<br />

99<br />

99<br />

Value pricing assumes even more importance in this volatile<br />

climate, and promotions touting at-home family fun nights,<br />

home-cooked family meals and at-home entertaining concepts<br />

accelerate to the front of the strategy options.<br />

Changing habits<br />

Consumers also cited other budget-stretching adjustments to<br />

their shopping and purchasing patterns. Among them are<br />

patronizing supercenters to buy in bulk at lower unit prices,<br />

clipping coupons to capture available savings, and switching<br />

to less expensive grocery brands.<br />

Premium and mid-grade gas patrons downgraded to regular.<br />

Warehouse club stores and Internet shopping options both<br />

benefited from the desire to keep the lid on the gas tank and<br />

spending.<br />

Homefront, workfront<br />

A Florida State University professor explored different<br />

aspects of the fallout from gas prices, discovering that 44%<br />

of the 300 employed consumers surveyed worried about<br />

making ends meet; 41% were paying off debt more slowly<br />

and 25% had gone without basic necessities like food and<br />

heat to conserve funds.<br />

When queried about how changes in their financial picture<br />

affected their job, results were alarming. Respondents cited<br />

negative outcomes across the board, related to more stress<br />

at home. They were less enthusiastic about work and their<br />

employer, less agreeable and helpful to others, less productive,<br />

more sensitive to daily irritants at work and more<br />

depressed overall.<br />

Penetrating insights<br />

Dollar stores, once on a seemingly unstoppable expansion<br />

trajectory, actually experienced a two percent decline in<br />

household penetration, the sole exception among the<br />

“value” channels to lose ground. In a surprising turn<br />

of events, this represents the first decline in dollar store<br />

shopper penetration since we first began tracking the<br />

channel. ■ See chart 2.<br />

This is surprising on the one hand, because gas price<br />

increases that affect those on fixed incomes and with<br />

modest means (the prototypical dollar store shoppers),<br />

might be expected to drive more consumers toward<br />

dollar outlets. It is less surprising in the context of trip<br />

consolidation, where shoppers try to meet all their needs<br />

in the fewest trips possible. The limited food and beverage<br />

assortment and lack of fresh foods at most dollar stores<br />

may be the force behind the decline.<br />

36 Fall/Winter 2006

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