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Asia's Arc of Advantage - icrier

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I.vi Perspectives on Economic and Security Ties<br />

between India and Southeast Asia<br />

G. V. C. Naidu<br />

At present, two dominant trends are seen in East Asia: there is vast economic dynamism,<br />

leading to the rise <strong>of</strong> an entire region but there are also serious security challenges that could<br />

potentially undermine regional peace and stability. Since we are still stuck with a ‘post-cold<br />

war’ framework and existing security multilateralism has failed to live up to expectations, there<br />

is an urgent need to work toward constructing a new security paradigm. East Asia is highly<br />

complex, marked by enormous fluidity. At present, it is transiting toward a new order although<br />

it remains unclear what the new order is likely to be and when it will come about. Managing the<br />

current transition, therefore, is as much a challenge as fashioning a new regional security order.<br />

In this process, it is necessary to take into account the emergence <strong>of</strong> the Indo-Pacific as the new<br />

geostrategic construct, India’s own pivot to East Asia, Japan’s ‘re-balancing strategy’ toward<br />

Southeast Asia under Shinzo Abe and America’s renewed commitment to remain engaged with<br />

the region as a resident power.<br />

India-Southeast Asia Economic Relations<br />

Economically, India is still a marginal player, although nearly 32 per cent <strong>of</strong> India’s trade is with<br />

East Asia. As compared to ASEAN-China trade that stood at US $401 bn in 2012, India’s trade<br />

with ASEAN was barely $80 bn. While ASEAN’s share in India’s overall trade was 9 per cent,<br />

India accounted for less than 3 per cent <strong>of</strong> ASEAN trade. India appears to have failed to leverage<br />

its economic strengths although, in PPP terms, the combined ASEAN GDP is about 2/3rds<br />

<strong>of</strong> India’s. A major drawback is that India has failed to become a part <strong>of</strong> regional production<br />

networks. Hence, it has to make serious efforts if it wishes to participate meaningfully in regional<br />

economic integration. Yet, India’s advantage is that it <strong>of</strong>fers an option to ASEAN, especially in<br />

reducing excessive dependence on China for economic opportunities.<br />

India-ASEAN Security Co-operation<br />

There are few constraints within the ASEAN countries on the question <strong>of</strong> security cooperation<br />

with India. Although member states have widely varying security perceptions, one can see<br />

remarkable progress, especially since the early 2000s, in establishing defence co-operation links<br />

with India. A close scrutiny reveals that the strategic/defence co-operation dimension <strong>of</strong> India’s<br />

Look East Policy appears to be emerging far more robust and tangible than other facets. Begun<br />

as simple CBMs to allay ASEAN fears about the Indian Navy’s potential for power projection<br />

in the late-1980s, co-operation was initially limited to simple passage exercises with Indonesia<br />

and Malaysia, but these have since gradually spread to most other countries. While ASEAN’s<br />

initial motivation to look at India was driven by concerns about post-cold war uncertainties, in<br />

particular because <strong>of</strong> China’s rise as a military power, China’s forceful claims in the South China<br />

Sea, and the general perception Beijing has generated that it was seeking to build a China-led<br />

hierarchical system in East Asia, it has gained enormous momentum for a variety <strong>of</strong> other<br />

Emerging Asia: Track 1.5 Conference | 11

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