16.04.2014 Views

Embedding R in Windows applications, and executing R remotely

Embedding R in Windows applications, and executing R remotely

Embedding R in Windows applications, and executing R remotely

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Signal noise decomposition of f<strong>in</strong>ancial data: An<br />

<strong>in</strong>frequent trad<strong>in</strong>g analysis<br />

Helgi Tomasson<br />

The observed transaction prices on a stock market at discrete time po<strong>in</strong>ts are<br />

assumed to be a sample from a cont<strong>in</strong>uous time-value process. The theory of an<br />

efficient market is used as motivation for a r<strong>and</strong>om-walk type model. The fact<br />

that bid-ask spread <strong>and</strong> other microstructure phenomena exist is accounted for<br />

by add<strong>in</strong>g a noise term to the model. Models for elementary detrend<strong>in</strong>g based<br />

on stochastic processes <strong>in</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>uous time are set up. For empirical analysis,<br />

they are formulated <strong>in</strong> state-space form, <strong>and</strong> calculations are performed with<br />

the Kalman-filter recursions. The result is an analytical way of decompos<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the observed transaction price change <strong>in</strong>to a value <strong>in</strong>novation <strong>and</strong> a market<br />

noise component. The respective <strong>in</strong>novation st<strong>and</strong>ard deviations <strong>and</strong> market<br />

noise st<strong>and</strong>ard deviations are easily <strong>in</strong>terpreted. Some alternative stochastic<br />

structures are considered <strong>and</strong> applied to data from the Icel<strong>and</strong> Stock Exchange.<br />

Algorithm is implemented <strong>in</strong> the statistical language R comb<strong>in</strong>ed with Fortran<br />

subrout<strong>in</strong>es.<br />

Keywords: Diffusion processes, state-space models, f<strong>in</strong>ancial data, <strong>in</strong>frequent<br />

trad<strong>in</strong>g

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!