Agenda item 4 - MTFS (Final) Cab 070213 , item 9. PDF 1 MB

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Revenue Outturn 2012/13 : Forecast Position ANNEX 6 1. The current year-end revenue position, based on forecasts made in January 2013, is a forecast under spend of around £4 million. Details of the forecast outturn position, analysed by service area, is provided below. Forecast Service Area 2012/13 Forecast variance Change Budget Outturn reported in Forecast Variance to Cabinet variance Variance % and Scrutiny in January £000 £000 £000 % £000 £000 Adults 147,283 148,203 920 0.6% 1,900 -980 Children & Families 91,549 86,740 -4,809 -5.3% -3,784 -1,025 Communities & Infrastructure 95,696 96,794 1,098 1.1% 978 120 Support Services, Strategy & Challenge 22,328 21,820 -508 -2.3% -560 52 Economic Stimulus 6,200 6,200 0 0 0 0 TOTAL FOR SERVICES 363,056 359,757 -3,299 -0.9% -1,466 -1,833 Technical & Cross Cutting 30,516 29,750 -766 -2.5% -566 -200 TOTAL 393,572 389,507 -4,065 -1.0% -2,032 -2,033 59
Main reasons for the forecast revenue outturn positions are as follows: Adults The forecast outturn position for Adult Services is an over spend of £0.9 million. The forecast is comprised of the following main areas of overspend totalling £4.1 million; • £0.9 million Learning Disabilities • £2.5 million Physical Disabilities • £0.7 million Fairer charging income shortfall This £4.1 million gross forecast over spend is then reduced to a net £0.9 million following mitigating actions as outlined below; • Gloucestershire Industrial Services (GIS) £0.6 million • Care Services – Service Level Agreement £0.4 million • Adult Social Care Unallocated budgets £1.1 million • Customer Services under-spend of £0.3 million • Other under-spends across Adult Social Care £0.8 million This position continues to be after the full utilisation of the £5.004 million which Cabinet approved in April 2012 should be transferred to reserves in 2011/12 to be released and fully utilised in 2012/13, to address the significant risks in Adult Social Care. It continues to be envisaged that this sum can be managed, but further work is required and ongoing, to evaluate the options and their potential effects on future years’ savings. The net £0.9 million forecast over spend is around £1.0 million lower than reported to Cabinet in January 2013. The main movements in the budget position are as a result of the following: • The overall Older People and Physical Disabilities External Care budget forecast over spend has increased by a net £0.1 million (no change for clients with physical disabilities and £0.1 million to Older People). 60
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Gloucestershire County Council Medi
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7 The capital budget strategy refle
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This will then provide a further £
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The draft budget was also considere
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Page 21 and 22: 2014/15 2015/16 £m £m Budget 420.
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Page 27 and 28: ANNEX 1.1 : COMMISSIONING INTENTION
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Page 35 and 36: Looking Forward Some of the changes
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Page 58 and 59: Forward Planning 2013/14 to 2015/16
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Agenda item 4 - MTFS (Final) Cab 070213 , item 9. PDF 1 MB

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