The Green Line and the Security Fence:

More documents

Recommendations

Info

28 8. Evidence from Individual-Level Data The data from the poll conducted by the first author with his students in 2005 and organized in electronic format as an Excel file by the second author was intended to verify the results coming from the aggregate data. The individual poll has 1,215 respondents, consisting of persons from 127 localities, 36 of which are within the GL and 91 outside, in Israel proper. An advantage was to analyze the 2001 vote in addition to the 1996 and 1999 votes. We targeted the main socio-demographic characteristics that we tested earlier: Religiosity, Gender, Age, and Academic Degree, together with the psychological variable, DGL, and the geographical variable, the DB. We dropped the Location at Sea since it strongly ** correlated to the latter two. The percentages (rounded to the closest integer) are: Number of Cars in 1996/1999/2001: 0 – 41/33/28%; 1 – 40/46/47%; 2 – 17/17/20%; 3 – 2/3/4%; 4 – 0.4/0.6/1.1%. Number of Children in the Family in 1996/1999/2001: 0 – 37/34/29%; 1 – 10/11/12%; 2 – 16/15/16%; 3 – 15/16/17%; 4 – 11/12/13%; 5 – 6/6/6%; 6 – 2/2/2%; 7 – 2/2/2%; 8 or more - 2/2/2%. Number of Children in the Army in 1996/1999/2001: 0 – 77/73/75%; 1 – 17/19/19%; 2 – 5/7/5%; 3 or 4 – 1/1/1%. Native-born in Israel - 56%; the rest had 32 countries of origin. 80% of our respondents lived outside the GL (Israel proper); 25% lived by the sea. Average distances: to the GL – 11 km; to the Border – 54 km. Male participants amounted to 55% (52% among Jews),
29 while statistical data from the Israeli Interior Ministry Web site shows 49.5% males in Israel (49% among Jews) in 1995-2005. 35 Since it is known (see, e.g., Shalev and Kis 2002) that Israelis do not tell the truth when asked about income in a poll, we substituted the number of cars in the family for the Income variable. We thought that the number of children in the family and the number of older children serving in the Israeli army might influence the individual vote, so we included both numbers as independent variables. The Religiosity variable acquired the meaning it always carries – strictness of observance. We made it an ordinal with four values: 0 – secular (51%), 1 – traditional (25%), 2 – orthodox (22%), 3 – ultra-orthodox (2%). The Central Bureau of Statistics gives 45%, 38%, 10%, 7%, respectively, for the entire Israeli Jewish population in 2005. The Academic degree variable also became ordinal with four values: 0 – high school (56%), 1 – first degree (30%), 2 – second degree (11%), 3 – third degree (3%). The Central Bureau of Statistics gives 58%, 22%, 20%, respectively, for the Israeli Jewish population above age 15 in 2005; percentages for second and third degrees were combined. We have 95 Arab votes in the poll. All came from three cities, but all voted equivalently: for the Left. Hence the variable Nationality (1-Arab, 0-Jew) was not meaningful, and as a result, we excluded Arab voters from the regression analysis.
Page 1 and 2: The Green Line and the Security Fen
Page 3 and 4: 3 increase in the importance of the
Page 5 and 6: 5 Goemans 2001), 2 the two-ballot s
Page 7 and 8: 7 Jewish Israeli population) forced
Page 9 and 10: 9 Since the 1993 Oslo Accords, the
Page 11 and 12: 11 the Meretz Party, which was a pa
Page 13 and 14: 13 1. The first issue is that the c
Page 15 and 16: 15 regression, since the sign and s
Page 17 and 18: 17 made up of small communities. In
Page 19 and 20: 19 Israeli population was divided i
Page 21 and 22: 21 80% 60% 40% Each city is represe
Page 23 and 24: 23 the fifth level. After adding so
Page 25 and 26: 25 At the fifth level there were ad
Page 27: 27 Analysis of the Results The fact
Page 31 and 32: 31 goodness of fit - the best is to
Page 33 and 34: 33 Category Variables B S.E. Wald S
Page 35 and 36: 35 1. The aggregate data analysis s
Page 37 and 38: 37 to vote Right in Tel Aviv (20 km
Page 39 and 40: 39 1 This is the old approach in Is
Page 41 and 42: 41 Masters degrees. We refer to the

The Green Line and the Security Fence:

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?