03.05.2014 Views

Introduction to Numerical Math and Matlab ... - Ohio University

Introduction to Numerical Math and Matlab ... - Ohio University

Introduction to Numerical Math and Matlab ... - Ohio University

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Lab 13<br />

Eigenvalues <strong>and</strong> Eigenvec<strong>to</strong>rs of<br />

S<strong>to</strong>chastic Matrices<br />

Finite Markov Process <strong>and</strong> S<strong>to</strong>chastic Matrices<br />

Imagine the following situation. Suppose that a system has n different states. Suppose that the<br />

system can change from one state <strong>to</strong> another state r<strong>and</strong>omly, but with some restrictions. Namely,<br />

suppose that during a certain time interval, if the system is in some state i it has a fixed probabability<br />

of moving <strong>to</strong> another state j <strong>and</strong> this probability does not change over time. Denote this transition<br />

probability as t ij .<br />

If there are n states as supposed <strong>and</strong> there is probability of transition for each pair (i, j), then we<br />

can represent the system as the matrix T = (t ij ). Note that t ii would denote the probability of the<br />

system remaining in state i if it already is there.<br />

Given the basic law of probability that the sum of all probabilities must be one, we see that for any<br />

current state i, we have:<br />

n∑<br />

t ij = 1. (13.1)<br />

j=1<br />

A simple way of interpreting this equation is that no matter what state the system is in now it must<br />

be somewhere in the next step.<br />

A S<strong>to</strong>chastic or Markov matrix is an n × n matrix T for which<br />

1. All entries t ij satisfy: 0 ≤ t ij ≤ 1.<br />

2. Equation 13.1 holds.<br />

A 2 × 2 example of a Markov matrix is:<br />

T =<br />

( .5 1/3<br />

.5 2/3<br />

We interpret this matrix in the following way: There are two possible states: A <strong>and</strong> B. If the system<br />

is in state A then there is a 50% chance of staying in state at the next time <strong>and</strong> a 50% chance of<br />

moving in<strong>to</strong> state B. If the system is in State B, then there is an 2/3 chance it will remain there<br />

<strong>and</strong> a 1/3 chance it will move <strong>to</strong> state A at the next time step. You can imagine this concretely by<br />

marking two spots on the ground as A <strong>and</strong> B. St<strong>and</strong> on A <strong>and</strong> roll a die. If 1, 2 or 3 is rolled stay<br />

where you are <strong>and</strong> if 4, 5 or 6 is rolled move <strong>to</strong> B. If you stay where you are then repeat. If you find<br />

yourself on B, roll a die. If 1 – 4 is rolled stay <strong>and</strong> if 5 or 6 is rolled move.<br />

46<br />

)<br />

.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!