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Finnish Security Intelligence Service - Poliisi

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Annual Report 2012<br />

<strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

1


Director’s review 2012<br />

Changes in operating<br />

environment are<br />

accelerating<br />

For the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong>, the year<br />

2012 was, if possible, even busier than the previous<br />

ones. Events causing the need to increase both<br />

the preparedness and level of action were faced in<br />

all operational fields. As our principle is to operate<br />

preventively and our operational activity is practically<br />

non-public, a significant part of the work done by the<br />

<strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> is not visible to<br />

the public.<br />

The strategy and mission of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> were updated in 2012 as a<br />

continuation of Supo’s reforming work started earlier.<br />

According to our updated mission, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> produces through its operational<br />

work and cooperation analysed and up-to-date<br />

security information for the benefit of <strong>Finnish</strong> society.<br />

Information obtained in various ways and its professional,<br />

well-timed use for the benefit of the security of<br />

Finland is the cornerstone of our operation. Updating<br />

the mission does certainly not revolutionise the activity<br />

of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> but it<br />

helps us to concentrate on the essentials even better<br />

than before.<br />

In 2012, a large reform project – Pora III – has<br />

kept the whole police administration busy. This process<br />

will bring about considerable changes to the<br />

administration of the police, and the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> is also required to make its<br />

functions more efficient, especially the administrative<br />

ones, although the concrete aims concerning the<br />

<strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> are not big in<br />

euros. More generally speaking, Pora III will affect the<br />

agency’s functions significantly because all units must<br />

achieve big savings at the same time as the operating<br />

environment is changing rapidly from Supo’s<br />

perspective. The functions of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> and those of the other police<br />

units must, however, not be set against each other<br />

in any way. In this sense, too, Pora III has made the<br />

situation clearer: according to the final report of the<br />

project, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> has<br />

no operational duties that overlap with those of other<br />

police units.<br />

Since the beginning of 2013, the Situation Centre<br />

of the Government has operated entirely under the<br />

Prime Minister’s Office. Supo has answered for the<br />

Situation Centre services for the last four years on<br />

the basis of a separate agreement between the<br />

2


2012<br />

Prime Minister’s Office and the Ministry of the Interior.<br />

I would like to thank the Situation Centre personnel<br />

for the important contribution they have made in<br />

different ways for the benefit of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> during these years.<br />

The threat posed by illegal intelligence to Finland<br />

has not decreased and is not about to do so in the<br />

near future. As the significance of economy continues<br />

to grow, high technology and its applications as<br />

targets for intelligence gathering are an increasingly<br />

important issue also for Finland’s future. “Traditional”<br />

espionage has also remained at least on the same<br />

level as before. Cases published in different EU member<br />

states have considerably increased the media<br />

coverage of illegal intelligence. This serves as a good<br />

reminder of the fact that this form of state activity<br />

still needs to be taken seriously also in Finland.<br />

The national cyber security strategy recently approved<br />

by the Government aims to ensure that Finland<br />

will be able to secure its vital functions against<br />

cyber threat in all situations. In connection with the<br />

strategy’s implementation, it must be guaranteed<br />

that authorities have sufficient legislative powers as<br />

well as practical means for performing their duties.<br />

In my opinion, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

has a crucial role here as an authority safeguarding<br />

the operational prerequisites of the society.<br />

In 2012, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

made a detailed assessment of individuals posing a<br />

terrorist threat in Finland. The significant growth in<br />

the number of risk persons and increased travelling<br />

from Finland to crisis areas make it necessary to<br />

invest more in terrorism prevention. In 2012, the<br />

<strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> concentrated<br />

its counterterrorism-related liaison officer activity in<br />

the <strong>Finnish</strong> embassy in Nairobi, Kenya. Furthermore,<br />

the laborious and extensive pre-trial investigation of<br />

Finland’s first terrorist offence progressed in 2012<br />

in very good cooperation with the National Bureau of<br />

Investigation.<br />

In the annual report of 2011, I wrote that the<br />

<strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> must perform in<br />

a way that safeguarding internal and external security<br />

of the society and preventing threats in advance are<br />

considered worth the investment. In 2012, I have<br />

witnessed constant commitment, responsibility and<br />

flexibility in the work done by Supo’s employees for<br />

the benefit of security in Finland. It is easy to be<br />

proud of this team.<br />

The concrete duty of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong><br />

<strong>Service</strong> is to protect the governmental and<br />

social systems of Finland. Our personnel has the professional<br />

skills and experience needed in this work,<br />

and they adhere to the Nordic rule of law. Surveys<br />

conducted already for years show that the work done<br />

by Supo receives solid and continuous support also<br />

from different social groups. The experiences and examples<br />

from the other Nordic countries alone during<br />

the last few years have confirmed my impression that<br />

adequate resources ought to be allocated for this<br />

work also in Finland – keeping in mind that preventing<br />

damages in advance is a much better alternative for<br />

society than repairing them afterwards.<br />

Antti Pelttari<br />

Director of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

3


2012<br />

The future will be different<br />

In 2030, the world will be very different from today’s<br />

world. According to some recently published<br />

international assessments, the changes will also<br />

have a significant impact on security. The <strong>Finnish</strong><br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> monitors and tries to<br />

foresee the security situation and factors affecting<br />

it both in Finland and abroad.<br />

The Russian President Vladimir Putin estimated<br />

in his annual state of the nation address in December<br />

2012 that the world is about to enter<br />

an era of change. The new balance of economic<br />

systems, civilizations and armed powers poses<br />

threats to the sovereignty of states. International<br />

competition for natural resources, energy, technologies<br />

and knowhow is getting fierce, resulting<br />

in an even clearer division of states into “winners”<br />

and “losers”. According to Putin, the increasingly<br />

unequal global development lays a foundation for<br />

new conflicts of economic, geopolitical and ethnic<br />

nature.<br />

In the United States, a report ( 1 ) predicting what<br />

kinds of megatrends will be dominant in 2030 was<br />

published in December 2012. According to the<br />

report, the significance of individuals will increase<br />

substantially during the next 15–20 years. For<br />

the first time in the history of mankind, a majority<br />

of the world’s population will no longer be poor,<br />

thanks to expanding economy, growth of the global<br />

middle class, greater educational attainment, and<br />

better health care. The middle class will be the<br />

most important social and economic actor in the<br />

majority of countries. Consumption will increase<br />

and the use of new communication devices extend,<br />

leading to better access to information.<br />

Power will be widely dispersed between different<br />

states on the one hand, and between states and<br />

non-state actors on the other. No individual state<br />

will have the hegemony. Measured by a global<br />

power index, Asia will have surpassed the USA<br />

and Europe combined by 2030, whereas China will<br />

have the largest economy in the world considerably<br />

earlier. The future internet giants (cf. Google<br />

and Facebook today) will have in their possession<br />

more real-time information on individuals than governments<br />

will. Nuclear weapons might be used in<br />

future conflicts taking place especially in Asia and<br />

the Middle East. The economic interests of states<br />

might become a specific target for terrorists.<br />

The aging of population presents a huge challenge<br />

especially to states with high income level,<br />

such as some European countries, Japan, and<br />

South Korea. Urbanisation will remain strong<br />

around the world. Today, roughly 50% of people<br />

live in urbanised areas but in 2030, the figure will<br />

be 60%.<br />

This means that 1.4 billion more people will be<br />

in need of new infrastructure, housing, roads,<br />

energy, and jobs. Cross-border migration will also<br />

4


2012<br />

increase significantly, especially due to unbalanced<br />

age structures between poorer and richer countries,<br />

and different working and earning possibilities.<br />

The integration of immigrants and the avoiding<br />

of confrontation between population groups will<br />

increase in importance.<br />

A shortage of resources will manifest itself as<br />

an increasing demand for food and water. The<br />

growing middle class will consume more and<br />

climate change will reduce the availability of food<br />

and water. Energy demand will grow even by 50%<br />

during 15–20 years.<br />

( 1 ) Global Trends 2030, NIC 2012<br />

The division of resources at Supo in 2012<br />

23.5%<br />

(26% / 2011)<br />

41%<br />

(37% / 2011)<br />

35.5%<br />

(37% / 2011)<br />

Counterterrorism<br />

Prevention of illegal<br />

intelligence<br />

<strong>Security</strong> work<br />

The percentage<br />

figures include<br />

support functions<br />

18<br />

The budget of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

in 2008–2012 (million euro)<br />

16 16<br />

14 14<br />

12 12<br />

10 10<br />

8<br />

revenue<br />

project financing<br />

allocations<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

(16.2)<br />

1<br />

(17.2)<br />

2<br />

(17.8)<br />

3<br />

(17.5)<br />

4<br />

(17.9)<br />

5<br />

5


Counterterrorism 2012<br />

Persons returning from conflict<br />

areas give cause for concern<br />

The operating environment of counterterrorism in<br />

Finland continues to change. The number of persons<br />

with links to terrorism and radical activity has<br />

become a three-digit figure. In addition to the threat<br />

posed by the conflict in Somalia, also the possible<br />

repercussions of the Syrian crisis, such as an increasing<br />

number of refugees and the impacts on the<br />

security situation of the nearby areas and possibly<br />

also Europe, give cause for concern.<br />

Threats might be posed by persons who have taken<br />

part in fighting in the ranks of radical groups in conflict<br />

areas in the past and now return to their home<br />

countries in Europe. It is known that persons from<br />

various European countries – also from Finland – have<br />

travelled both to Somalia and Syria to join the conflicts<br />

there. Syria’s attraction among radical islamists<br />

is emphasised due to the fact that it is much easier<br />

to travel there than to other conflict areas. Terrorist<br />

networks operating in the conflict area can make use<br />

of the returnees in order to extend violent activity<br />

beyond the networks’ actual area of operation and<br />

recruit new fighters in their ranks. A close multinational<br />

cooperation between authorities is necessary<br />

in countering this phenomenon. The <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> tries to respond to the challenge<br />

also with its liaison officer activity, which became<br />

more firmly established during 2012. The <strong>Finnish</strong><br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> has a liaison officer at<br />

the <strong>Finnish</strong> embassy in Nairobi, Kenya, which is an<br />

important area of operation for counterterrorism.<br />

Two significant terrorist attacks were committed in<br />

Europe in 2012. In March, a radical Islamist of Algerian<br />

origin shot dead three soldiers and four civilians<br />

in France. In July, there was an explosion at the Burgasi<br />

airport in Bulgaria, in a bus carrying Israeli tourists.<br />

Six persons plus the suicide attacker were killed<br />

in the explosion. Al-Qaeda, suffering from the loss of<br />

some of its important leaders and having weakened<br />

as an organisation, continues to encourage individual<br />

jihadists and radical groups to commit suicide attacks<br />

against the West. The Somali terrorist organisation<br />

Al-Shabaab joined forces with Al-Qaeda in February<br />

2012.<br />

Despite the changes in the operating environment,<br />

terrorist threat in Finland has remained low so far.<br />

The pre-trial investigation of Finland’s first terrorist<br />

offence was launched in autumn 2011, and in early<br />

2013 the case will be submitted for consideration<br />

of charges. The investigation concerns supporting<br />

Al-Shabaab.<br />

The <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> is actively<br />

involved in the well-functioning cooperation networks<br />

established to counter international terrorism. These<br />

networks include among their members intelligence<br />

and security authorities from both Europe and other<br />

parts of the world.<br />

6


Countering of illegal intelligence 2012<br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> activity causes<br />

substantial economic damages<br />

The amount of foreign intelligence personnel in<br />

Finland grew slightly during 2012. The main aims<br />

of foreign intelligence include forecasting political<br />

developments in Finland and influencing decisionmaking.<br />

During the 2000s, the main attention of<br />

political intelligence switched from the <strong>Finnish</strong><br />

domestic policy to the country’s international<br />

relations. The <strong>Finnish</strong> security and EU policies,<br />

and Finland’s stance on Nato in particular, have<br />

remained key targets for political intelligence.<br />

Through military intelligence, foreign states try<br />

to chart Finland’s military preparedness and the<br />

resilience of the society. Furthermore, they aim<br />

at acquiring both technology that can be used for<br />

military purposes and knowhow to support the<br />

states’ own armed forces. The military intelligence<br />

against Finland has remained on the same level as<br />

in the last few years.<br />

High-level technological research and its applications<br />

already in production are constant targets<br />

for intelligence gathering. The resulting damages<br />

may be severe and have a significant impact on<br />

the competitiveness of our national economy. Over<br />

the past few years, the main focus of intelligence<br />

activity has lied on monitoring the development<br />

of new fields of research. Last year, particular<br />

interest was taken in the energy and chemical<br />

industries. In 2012, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong><br />

<strong>Service</strong> also undertook a survey on illegal<br />

intelligence gathering against <strong>Finnish</strong> companies<br />

during the years 2009–2011. According to the<br />

survey, 12% of the companies had themselves<br />

observed that they had been targets for illegal<br />

intelligence gathering, whereas 16% suspected it<br />

had happened. The results are similar to those of<br />

corresponding surveys conducted earlier.<br />

In their activity, some intelligence services resort<br />

to using persons for whom fake identities and<br />

life stories have been created in order to conceal<br />

their real identity and background. The <strong>Finnish</strong><br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> monitors such illegals<br />

activity. Illegals cases recently revealed in Europe<br />

have shown that intelligence services still continue<br />

their illegals programmes, despite their high cost<br />

and long duration.<br />

In early 2012, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong><br />

<strong>Service</strong> suggested that so-called refugee espionage<br />

should be criminalised also in Finland. The<br />

Ministry of Justice has started to look into the<br />

matter. During the year 2012, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> continued to monitor<br />

refugee espionage in order to evaluate the extent<br />

and seriousness of the phenomenon.<br />

7


2012<br />

Terrorist threat assessment<br />

Despite the changes occurred in the operating<br />

environment, the direct threat posed to<br />

Finland or the <strong>Finnish</strong> population by organised<br />

radical Islamist or other kind of terrorism<br />

has remained low. From the point of view of<br />

radical Islamist or other terrorist organisations,<br />

Finland is not a significant target area<br />

for violent activities. There are now more<br />

persons with connections to international<br />

terrorism residing in Finland than in the previous<br />

years who seek to support the activity<br />

of foreign radical organisations in different<br />

ways. Some of them support terrorist groups<br />

also by taking part in armed fighting in<br />

conflict areas. The threat posed by radicalised<br />

individuals, as well as their motives, are<br />

difficult to predict. Terrorism-related incidents<br />

elsewhere may affect the security situation in<br />

Finland rapidly and in an unexpected way.<br />

Proliferation control<br />

Some states seek to obtain technology<br />

and related know-how that can, in addition<br />

to acceptable purposes, be used<br />

for developing nuclear weapon and other<br />

mass destruction weapon programmes<br />

in violation of international regulations<br />

and conventions. Such dual use goods<br />

were acquired from Finland also in 2012.<br />

The acquiring operations become more<br />

complex, which renders them more difficult<br />

to detect and prevent. International<br />

information exchange related to proliferation<br />

increased by 20% from the previous<br />

year.<br />

Illegals activity still part of the intelligence<br />

services’ modus operandi<br />

• the aim is to conceal the country of origin of the espionage activity<br />

• a fake identity, often starting from the birth certificate, is created for the<br />

person<br />

• personal history and life story, the so-called legend, is created for the<br />

espionage activity<br />

• operations that last for decades<br />

• an expensive method, major resources are needed for the support activity<br />

8


<strong>Security</strong> work 2012<br />

Radical activity was small-scale<br />

Internal security<br />

No danger was posed to the state security in Finland<br />

by radical extraparliamentary movements in 2012.<br />

Anarchist activity, which had slightly grown in<br />

2011, decreased, and no significant illegal actions<br />

were committed within its sphere in 2012. Elsewhere<br />

in Europe, too, anarchist and other extreme<br />

left activity decreased from the previous year.<br />

Radical activity conducted mainly by local skinhead<br />

and neo-Nazi groups in Finland last year was quite<br />

marginal. The increased confrontation observed in<br />

2012 between the extreme right movement and antifascist<br />

actors is, however, a cause for concern.<br />

Individuals or small operational cells using the<br />

leaderless resistance tactic pose a potential security<br />

threat related to domestic extremism also in Finland.<br />

There have been efforts to improve the identification<br />

and prevention of threats through an increasingly<br />

close and extensive cooperation between authorities.<br />

One example of this cooperation is the participation<br />

of the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> in violent<br />

extremism prevention programme launched in 2012.<br />

<strong>Security</strong> of state leaders<br />

The <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> monitored<br />

the security situation relating to state leaders and<br />

maintained situation awareness in 2012. No significant<br />

change was observed in the security situation.<br />

Moreover, no factors turned out that would have<br />

compromised the security of state visits or other<br />

important events relating to state leadership in the<br />

security arrangements of which the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> was involved.<br />

In 2012, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

investigated several individual threat and harassment<br />

incidents against the state leaders and members of<br />

parliament.<br />

Two major elections were organised in 2012:<br />

Presidential elections early in the year and municipal<br />

elections in the autumn. The <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong><br />

<strong>Service</strong> took part in guaranteeing the security<br />

of both elections by having security talks with the<br />

persons in charge of the security of the candidates<br />

and parties in advance. Some threat and harassment<br />

incidents were investigated also in connection with<br />

the elections.<br />

Number of personal security clearances has<br />

become stable<br />

The number of personal security clearances carried<br />

out by the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

remained almost unchanged in 2012. Over 16,000<br />

standard security clearances were conducted in total.<br />

At present, around 160 companies and facilities are<br />

included in the security clearance procedure.<br />

As a Designated <strong>Security</strong> Authority (DSA) responsible<br />

for facility security clearances, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> has been involved in providing<br />

<strong>Finnish</strong> companies better chances of participating in<br />

international classified projects already for several<br />

years. These clearances are carried out on the basis<br />

of international information security obligations.<br />

In 2012, the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

also took part in the work of a working group preparing<br />

the <strong>Security</strong> Clearance Act reform.<br />

9


2012<br />

The division of posts at the <strong>Finnish</strong><br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong> in 2012<br />

<strong>Security</strong> clerances conducted by Supo<br />

in 2003–2012<br />

29.5% other<br />

personnel, women<br />

(29.1% / 2011)<br />

14% other<br />

personnel, men<br />

(14.4% / 2011)<br />

47.7% policemen<br />

(48% / 2011)<br />

18000<br />

16000<br />

14000<br />

12000<br />

10000<br />

8000<br />

6000<br />

4000<br />

2000<br />

8.8% policewomen<br />

(8.5% / 2011)<br />

0<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Briefings on preventive security work held by the <strong>Finnish</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Service</strong><br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

Companies and<br />

other entities<br />

Authorities<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

10


2012<br />

High confidence in Supo<br />

A survey concerning the views of the citizens on Supo’s activity is carried out yearly at Supo’s request.<br />

The latest survey was conducted on 10–21 December 2012 and the sample was drawn from people<br />

aged 15–79 living in continental Finland. A total of 1005 interviews were carried out.<br />

The confidence interval of the results is +/- 3 percentage points.<br />

According to Finns, Supo has performed its duties either very well or somewhat well (77%)<br />

very well somewhat well not well, not badly cannot say somewhat badly badly<br />

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%<br />

2012<br />

2011<br />

2010<br />

More than four out of five (84%) interviewed Finns have high confidence in Supo<br />

high rather high cannot say not very high non-existent<br />

2012<br />

0%<br />

20% 40% 60% 80% 100%<br />

2011<br />

2010<br />

11


2012 2011<br />

www.supo.fi

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