School Community Integration Pilot Project - Department of Education

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A comparative analysis of education expenditure in Eastern Cape schools – November 2004 6.2. Scenario 2: The Current Establishment Of 67,074 This scenario simulates the impact of a three year phased introduction of the 2004 agreed establishment of 67,074, to which person to post matching is currently being completed. The average LER would fall from 32.2 to 31.0 over the three year period. Permanent educator numbers rise gradually from the current in post numbers of 64,845 in 2004/05 to a filled establishment of 67,124 in 2007/08. The impact of this scenario on the public school budget is set out in the table and charts below. It would be a damaging scenario for education over the medium term, with both the size and relative proportion of the non-personnel non-capital budget falling after 2005/06 to R429 million by 2007/08, 4% of the total public school budget. Such a non-personnel non-capital budget would be completely insufficient to support quality education in the classroom through adequate provision of learner materials. NPNC per capita would fall to an unacceptable R206. Capital expenditure would fall to R139 million, insufficient to eliminate the backlog over an acceptable period. Table 29: Projected public school expenditure – current establishment of 67,074, R million 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 Educator numbers 64,845 65,588 67,074 67,074 Personnel - R million 8,525 9,177 9,977 10,576 Non-personnel non-capital - R million 504 638 544 429 NPNC per capita 242 307 262 206 Transfers 26 22 15 12 Capital 312 261 177 139 TOTAL BUDGET/EXPENDITURE 9,610 10,405 10,975 11,362 Percentage personnel 89% 88% 91% 93% Percentage non-personnel 5% 6% 5% 4% Growth rate in personnel 8% 9% 6% Growth rate in non-personnel 27% -15% -21% Chart 6: Educator numbers – current establishment of 67,074 Educator numbers 67,500 67,000 66,500 66,000 65,500 65,000 64,500 64,000 63,500 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 44
A comparative analysis of education expenditure in Eastern Cape schools – November 2004 Chart 7: Percentage of the public school budget on personnel – current establishment of 67,074 Percentage personnel 94% 93% 92% 91% 90% 89% 88% 87% 86% 85% 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 Chart 8: Percentage of the public school budget on non-personnel non-capital – current establishment of 67,074 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Percentage non-personnel 0% 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 Chart 9: Percentage of the public school budget on non-personnel non-capital – current establishment of 67,074 NPNC per capita 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 307 242 262 206 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 45
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Province of the EASTERN CAPE DEPART
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CONTENTS SUMMARY i 1. INTRODUCTION
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A comparative analysis of education
Page 7 and 8: A comparative analysis of education
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School Community Integration Pilot Project - Department of Education

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