11.07.2014 Views

2009/2010 Stage 2 Problem Statement - SME

2009/2010 Stage 2 Problem Statement - SME

2009/2010 Stage 2 Problem Statement - SME

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong><br />

<strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA<br />

Student Design<br />

Competition<br />

PHASE TWO<br />

Risk Assessment and Analysis<br />

Formulated By:<br />

Brendan Fisher, Fisher & Strickler Rock Engineering, LLC<br />

Joe Carnahan, Luck Stone<br />

Corporation<br />

Brady Johnson, Granite Construction, Inc.<br />

Eric Achelpohl, Vulcan Materials Company


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

1. General Background Information<br />

During a due diligence process, one of the goals of an engineering team is to identify,<br />

understand, evaluate, and mitigate risk. Risk can be understood and reduced in many ways,<br />

including site visits, further exploration, analysis of past mining, and personal experience(s).<br />

This problem is intended to highlight potential real-world issues that arise during a due diligence<br />

process. How your team reacts to these issues, communicates understanding, and develops<br />

creative solutions will determine the success of your project.<br />

This problem focuses on the importance of the structural and engineering geology in regards to<br />

mine planning and reserve estimation. It also highlights potential maintenance problems that<br />

may occur if geologic conditions are encountered that were not anticipated during the mine<br />

planning and feasibility studies.<br />

This problem uses data from actual mining companies in the United States. This is real data and<br />

therefore will represent the type of information that you will have as a mining engineer of the<br />

future. The companies that donated this information have hundreds of thousands of dollars<br />

invested in the data you will be using and this information is proprietary to those companies.<br />

Therefore, the data should be respected, not reproduced, and kept confidential-this includes the<br />

actual location of the quarry, should it be accidentally disclosed.<br />

1.1. <strong>Problem</strong> <strong>Statement</strong><br />

From the information in Phase One, further due diligence of the Bev Quarry was required. A<br />

visit to the quarry and a small drill exploration project were completed. You will be required to<br />

update the Phase One submission to reflect the results of the further due diligence. Also, the<br />

board of directors will be interested in a full 20-year financial model so a final decision can be<br />

made. Because your competitors are also interested in the Bev Quarry, your results and<br />

recommendations must be presented on February 28, <strong>2010</strong> so that the board of directors can<br />

make a timely decision.<br />

2


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

2. Bev Quarry Highwall Stability Concerns<br />

While driving around the pit during the site visit, your group became concerned about the<br />

conditions and stability of the highwalls and the associated risk. To further understand the long<br />

term stability and ensure the mine plan is achievable, your team hired a geotechnical consulting<br />

company to complete a highwall stability analysis. Unfortunately, your team could only afford<br />

to pay for the data collection portion of the project, therefore, the analysis must be completed inhouse.<br />

The following is the collected data and recommended analysis from the consulting<br />

company.<br />

2.1. Geology<br />

The quarry is situated within the piedmont physiographic province of the southeastern United<br />

States. The rock mass consists of granite and granitic gneiss which is light to dark pinkish gray,<br />

coarse-grained, very blocky, and strong.<br />

2.2. Groundwater<br />

Groundwater was encountered in numerous rock core borings at an elevation of about 375 feet<br />

m.s.l.<br />

3


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

2.3. Geologic Structure<br />

Through hand measurements and remote sensing methods, your geotechnical consultant<br />

collected structural orientation data in the quarry. There are a total of four prevalent joint sets in<br />

the rock mass which have the orientations as presented in Table 1.<br />

Table 1: Dip and dip direction of joint sets at Bev Quarry<br />

Joint Set Dip (degrees) Dip Direction (degrees)<br />

J1 60 359<br />

J2 78 212<br />

J3 14 132<br />

J4 78 306<br />

The average dip and dip directions reported in Table 1 are based on 453 structural measurements<br />

and the stereonet used to establish the joint sets is shown in Figure 1. It is evident that the<br />

average dip and dip directions (and also the number of joint sets) is based on the judgment of the<br />

Engineering Geologist who completed the field mapping and interpreted the stereonets.<br />

Figure 1: Stereonet from Bev Quarry Rock Mass<br />

The intersections of Joint Sets J2, J3, and J4 create orthogonal blocks. Joint Set J3 is associated<br />

with faulting in the region and therefore, in many cases, this joint set is sheared, filled with clay<br />

gouge, and slightly altered. Joint Sets J1, J2 and J4 are generally ‘clean’ and smooth or slightly<br />

rough and moderately weathered.<br />

4


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

2.4. Summary of Rock Mass Properties<br />

A number of laboratory tests were completed on intact samples of rock recovered during rock<br />

coring. The testing campaign was completed to supplement the limited data presented in the<br />

Phase One question. Table 2 is a summary of the testing data completed and the variation of the<br />

testing results.<br />

Table 2: Summary of Rock Properties at Bev Quarry<br />

Lab Testing Units Min. Max. Mean 5 Std. Dev.<br />

UCS 1 psi 7,000 21,000 14,000 2,350<br />

Clean Joint Friction Angle 2 degrees 31 47 39 2.5<br />

Clay Friction Angle 3 degrees 18 27 22 1.5<br />

Other Rock Mass Properties Units Min. Max. Mean 6 Std. Dev.<br />

RQD 4 % 0 100 45 15<br />

Discontinuity Spacing in 2.0 50.0 26 26<br />

Notes:<br />

1. UCS is Uniaxial Compressive Strength of intact rock.<br />

2. Cohesion intercept at low normal stress is zero psi.<br />

3. Cohesion intercept at residual condition is zero psi.<br />

4. RQD is Rock Quality Designation.<br />

5. UCS and friction angle distributions are assumed normal.<br />

6. Triangular and exponential distributions assumed for RQD and Disc. Spacing, respectively.<br />

5


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

2.5. Assignment<br />

As the mining engineer, your responsibility is to specify the inclination of the quarry pit walls<br />

based on the information given above. For your convenience, the Engineering Geologist who<br />

collected the discontinuity data has subdivided the quarry into engineering ‘sectors’, as seen<br />

below in Figure 2.<br />

According the permit, as presented in Phase One, safety benches are required to be a minimum<br />

of twenty five feet with a maximum bench height of one hundred feet. The maximum bench face<br />

slope is 0.2H:1V. The pit floor can be no lower than 250 feet m.s.l.<br />

Complete an analysis of your mine design and determine the most appropriate final highwall<br />

design for the data given, for the sectors stated below. The bench angles should be based on<br />

kinematic analyses while the overall pit slope angle is a function of the strength of the rock mass.<br />

Inter ramp angles should be based on the results of the overall pit slope angle as appropriate. In<br />

order to conserve time and so that you can focus on other aspects of the design, your engineering<br />

manager has completed the kinematic analysis for sectors 1, 3, 5 and 6. The maximum safe<br />

bench angles are 68, 75, 66, and 90 degrees; respectively. This does not take into account the<br />

overall slope angle, which needs to be determined by your team. An appropriate safety factor for<br />

static conditions is 1.3 given the reliability of the geotechnical data available (and the perceived<br />

risk associated with that safety factor). Seismic loading need not be addressed.<br />

6


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

Figure 2: Bev Quarry showing Design Sectors.<br />

7


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

2.6. Questions to Address<br />

During the last meeting with your engineering department, the following questions were raised.<br />

Your team needs to answer as many of them as possible before the board of directors meeting.<br />

1. What are the safe slope angles for the pit slope walls? Disregard any weathered rock or<br />

soil at the surface for this exercise.<br />

2. What percent rock fall catchment is expected for the 25-foot safety benches and is this<br />

catchment acceptable during the mining? Risk cannot be eliminated, but as a mining<br />

engineer, your job is to assist in establishing the risk that your company is willing to<br />

accept while the ultimate decision will be made by management and any stakeholders.<br />

3. If presplit blasting was used to excavate the pit slope walls, or there was a contingency<br />

for detailed bench geological mapping and reinforcement of potential structural failures<br />

during mining, would that make a difference in the amount of aggregate available for<br />

mining? What would be acceptable pit slope inclinations if presplit blasting was chosen<br />

over production blasting for the final walls and what would be the increase in volume of<br />

aggregate available for mining?<br />

4. In general terms, how would you establish the savings or loss of revenue associated with<br />

pre-split blasting and/or reinforcing unstable rock blocks within benches of the highwall<br />

with regards to the amount of minable aggregate available while maintaining the safety<br />

factor required for this quarry?<br />

5. Do you think that there is value in collecting additional geotechnical data and how would<br />

the additional data be used to more accurately establish the pit wall inclinations?<br />

8


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

3. Bev Quarry Additional Drilling<br />

As part of the continued due diligence, your team was allowed to drill four new holes. The holes<br />

could be either confirmation holes to validate previous work, or new holes to explore new areas<br />

or fill in gaps.<br />

3.1. Hole Type and Location<br />

You may choose two types of core holes as part of the evaluation drill program: “core holes”,<br />

which contain the contacts between the major structural elements, or “LA holes’ which are core<br />

holes that are split and sampled for LA at 10ft intervals.<br />

A list of the drill locations are located in Table 3 and Table 4. You may also use the map posted<br />

in the SDC Headquarters room to select your drill locations.<br />

Table 3: Core Hole Locations<br />

( )<br />

Hole_id easting northing<br />

NC-001 5194 5237.5<br />

NC-002 3803 5915<br />

NC-003 5893 4926.5<br />

Table 4: LA Hole Locations<br />

Hole_id easting northing<br />

NCLA-001 5712.5 3741<br />

NCLA-002 4673 6178<br />

NCLA-003 5113 4225<br />

NCLA-004 3587 4427<br />

NCLA-005 5273 6807<br />

NCLA-006 4060 4363<br />

NCLA-007 4499 4897<br />

NCLA-008 5307 6183<br />

NCLA-009 4350 6912<br />

NCLA-010 5539 4494<br />

NCLA-011 4736 3911<br />

3.2. Assignment<br />

The new drill holes must be compared to your existing core holes and added to the geologic<br />

model. In doing this, you should address the following questions that were raised in your last<br />

meeting:<br />

1. How do the new holes affect your original model?<br />

2. How does this additional information affect your reserve estimate?<br />

3. Are there any new concerns regarding this information?<br />

4. Do the new cores help/hurt the project risk assessment?<br />

9


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

4. Economic Outlook<br />

One year ago, the outlook for the economy was bleak, showing no signs of recovery. However,<br />

recently, economic growth has begun and there are signs of a strong recovery. The board of<br />

directors is more optimistic than ever about the future and especially the market potential that<br />

exists around the Bev Quarry. Since your previous work in Phase 1, a competitor analysis has<br />

been completed. The analysis used information acquired from county permit data and aerial<br />

photography. A summary of the competitor analysis can be seen in Table 5.<br />

Table 5: Competitor Analysis<br />

Yearly Production Reserves<br />

Producer Site Name (tons) (tons)<br />

SDC Co all 3,000,000 12,000,000<br />

SDC Co (potentially) Bev Quarry 1,500,000 ??<br />

John's Trucking Gertrude Quarry 200,000 10,000,000<br />

Construction Aggregates Co Smithville 3,500,000 31,500,000<br />

Reliable Bob Sampson Quarry 5,000,000 120,000,000<br />

Happiness Mining Baker St. Sand and Gravel 500,000 150,000,000<br />

Bic Construction Green Quarry 500,000 6,000,000<br />

It is apparent that some of the competition in the local market will be running out of reserves in<br />

the near future and the board of directors would like a recommendation as to whether or not the<br />

Bev Quarry should try to capture the additional market demand. If so, complete a production<br />

expansion strategy with financial analysis. If not, describe the reasons. Please assume that the<br />

local market is “at capacity” and that the market demand will remain constant for the foreseeable<br />

future.<br />

The financial constraints are the same as in Phase One--in order for this to be an attractive<br />

investment for the company, an IRR of 17.5% needs to be achieved. The company traditionally<br />

uses a Cost of Capital of 8% and the corporate tax rate is 34%. You can refer to Table 6 for<br />

wage information.<br />

10


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

Table 6: Wage Information<br />

Classification<br />

Salary<br />

Quarry Foreman<br />

29.00 $/hr<br />

Blast Overseer/Driller Overseer 25.00 $/hr<br />

Driller<br />

20.00 $/hr<br />

Haul Truck Operator<br />

18.00 $/hr<br />

Over Road Driver<br />

15.00 $/hr<br />

Loader Operator<br />

22.00 $/hr<br />

Plant Operator<br />

20.00 $/hr<br />

Plant Laborer<br />

15.00 $/hr<br />

Plant Mechanic<br />

21.00 $/hr<br />

Mechanic<br />

20.10 $/hr<br />

Electrician<br />

25.00 $/hr<br />

Scale operator<br />

14.00 $/hr<br />

Engineer<br />

75,000 $/year<br />

Site Manager<br />

95,000 $/year<br />

Quality Engineer<br />

65,000 $/year<br />

Safety Professional<br />

55,000 $/year<br />

11


<strong>2009</strong>-<strong>2010</strong> <strong>SME</strong>/NSSGA Student Design Competition<br />

5. Presentation Requirements<br />

The board of directors has asked your team to update your Phase One evaluation and update your<br />

recommendation considering the further due diligence efforts. The following information will be<br />

required at your presentation:<br />

Update your Phase One evaluation of the property, given the feedback from the judges<br />

and recent due diligence efforts.<br />

Update your purchase offer, if necessary.<br />

Perform an economic evaluation of the property to determine operating costs, capital<br />

requirements, NPV, IRR, etc., for a 20-year period.<br />

Evaluate risk (highwall safety, reserves, market, financial) associated with the Bev<br />

Quarry, and give recommendations.<br />

12

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!