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What Really Causes Alzheimer's Disease - Soil and Health Library

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techniques, medical researchers must still rely on such problematic<br />

diagnosis by exclusion “until the characteristic lesions<br />

of Alzheimer’s disease can be documented on pathological examination<br />

of the brain.” 26 Since so few autopsies are conducted<br />

on the elderly, it is very difficult to obtain accurate data capable<br />

of establishing variations in the incidence of Alzheimer’s<br />

disease over time. As a result, it is hard to determine how<br />

much, if any, the risk of developing the disease has changed in<br />

specific age groups since it was first recognized in the early<br />

20 th century by Alzheimer. 27<br />

This problem of diagnosis without autopsy does not mean that<br />

there have been few surveys of the demented. Indeed, in 1998,<br />

Ineichen 28 identified over 100 epidemiological surveys of dementia<br />

published from a wide variety of countries. <strong>What</strong> can<br />

all this information tell us about the age-adjusted incidence of<br />

Alzheimer’s disease? Is it increasing? This is still a very difficult<br />

question to answer with any certainty. There can be no<br />

doubt, for example, that the age-adjusted mortality rates for<br />

Alzheimer’s disease have risen over the past decade in both<br />

Arizona 29 <strong>and</strong> Missouri. 30 However, how much this is the result<br />

of a true increase in incidence of the disease in particular age<br />

groups, <strong>and</strong> how much it simply reflects improved diagnosis,<br />

changes in public <strong>and</strong> physician attitudes towards Alzheimer’s<br />

disease, alterations in the coding <strong>and</strong> classification of dementia,<br />

<strong>and</strong> decreases in other leading causes of death is very<br />

unclear. 31<br />

Studies of temporal change in dementia incidence really require<br />

repeated surveys of the health of large populations. As a<br />

consequence, they tend to be rare because they are complex,<br />

costly, <strong>and</strong> involve extended fieldwork over long periods of<br />

time. The most robust such study comes from the Swedish<br />

Isl<strong>and</strong> of Lundby 32 whose entire population of approximately<br />

2,500 was examined several times between 1947 <strong>and</strong> 1972.<br />

19

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