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Systems Analysis of Zaragoza Urban Water - SWITCH - Managing ...

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<strong>Systems</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Zaragoza</strong> UWS<br />

Guillermo Penagos<br />

Hydropower<br />

Generation<br />

Agriculture<br />

Climate<br />

change<br />

Upstream<br />

abstraction<br />

Upstream<br />

pollution<br />

Insufficient raw<br />

water quantity<br />

and quality<br />

Population<br />

growth<br />

People's<br />

consumption<br />

petterns<br />

Aging<br />

infrastructure<br />

Increased<br />

industrialization<br />

Limitations<br />

<strong>of</strong> existing<br />

technology<br />

Drinking <strong>Water</strong><br />

Treatment<br />

Inefficiency<br />

Inefficient water use<br />

and water losses<br />

Insufficient pollution<br />

removal from<br />

sewage<br />

Eficiency<br />

<strong>Urban</strong> <strong>Water</strong><br />

System<br />

Focus problem<br />

Excesive<br />

resource<br />

consumption<br />

High pollution<br />

loads to the<br />

environment<br />

Figure 18. An exercise <strong>of</strong> problem tree analysis for <strong>Zaragoza</strong>. The core problem would be to<br />

improve the effectiveness and the efficiency <strong>of</strong> the UWS.<br />

The drivers identified in figure 18 are classified in figure 19 by a matrix <strong>of</strong> uncertainty<br />

vs importance. The criteria for such classification are described next.<br />

Increasing importance <br />

More important – less uncertain<br />

• <strong>Urban</strong>ization<br />

• Availability <strong>of</strong> funds<br />

• Dependence on fossil fuels<br />

• Existing infrastructure<br />

Less important – less uncertain<br />

• DWT and WWT technologies<br />

Increasing uncertainty <br />

More important – more uncertain<br />

• Climate change<br />

• <strong>Water</strong> abstraction use<br />

• Population increase<br />

Less important – more uncertain<br />

• Storm water<br />

Figure 19. Matrix <strong>of</strong> uncertainty vs importance to classify drivers <strong>of</strong> <strong>Zaragoza</strong> UWS<br />

sustainability<br />

4.4.1 Criteria for classification <strong>of</strong> drivers<br />

4.4.1.1 Less important – less uncertain<br />

• Introduction <strong>of</strong> new DWT and/or WWT technologies is not planned for<br />

<strong>Zaragoza</strong> during the next decade since current infrastructure is being<br />

upgraded and costs will still be paid in the coming years.<br />

44

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