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Portfolios - EDHEC-Risk

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Implementing the Diversifiers<br />

• Estimating covariance matrix parameters is a serious<br />

challenge, but a number of statistical techniques can prove<br />

effective in addressing this challenge.<br />

• If statistical techniques are useful for estimating risk<br />

parameter, statistics on the other hand does not allow us to<br />

estimate expected returns reliably.<br />

• Direct estimation of expected returns from past returns is close<br />

to useless (Merton (1980)).<br />

• What can we do in practice?<br />

– Give up “naïvely” on expected return estimation<br />

– Give up “smartly” on expected return estimation<br />

14

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