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Portfolios - EDHEC-Risk

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Extreme Tracking Error Across Market Conditions<br />

• In 7 out of 10 cases, the diversified strategy does not lower<br />

VaTER compared to the individual strategy with the lowest<br />

VaTER; this is hardly surprising: diversification is not meant to<br />

address extreme risk, and we should turn to hedging.<br />

Diversified (50% Minimum<br />

Minimum Volatility Maximum Sharpe Ratio Volatility + 50% Maximum<br />

Sharpe Ratio)<br />

Conditioning Variable Regime 95% Value at Tracking Error <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Annualised Equity Market Excess<br />

Returns (Market –risk free rate)<br />

Low 5.13% 4.99% 5.13%<br />

2 2.92% 3.11% 2.89%<br />

3 3.18% 3.03% 2.99%<br />

4 3.65% 3.50% 3.52%<br />

High 4.95% 4.66% 4.71%<br />

Conditioning Variable Regime 95% Value at Tracking Error <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Annualised Market Volatility (of Excess<br />

Market Return)<br />

Low 2.39% 2.83% 2.54%<br />

2 3.02% 2.86% 2.86%<br />

3 3.33% 3.59% 3.50%<br />

4 4.06% 4.05% 3.90%<br />

High 7.10% 6.77% 7.11%<br />

25

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