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Along- and Cross-Track Errors - National Hurricane Center

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• Represents probable<br />

track of tropical cyclone<br />

center<br />

• Formed by connecting<br />

circles centered on each<br />

forecast point (at 12, 24,<br />

36 h, etc.)<br />

• Size of the circles<br />

determined so that, for<br />

example, the actual<br />

storm position at 48 h<br />

will be within the 48‐h<br />

circle 67% of the time<br />

NHC Forecast Cone

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