Along- and Cross-Track Errors - National Hurricane Center

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2010 Atlantic Track Errors by Storm Igor, Richard and Tomas were notable successes Danielle (sharper recurvature than forecast) and Lisa (moved unexpectedly eastward for two days) presented challenges Forecasts for Earl were better than average through 72 h, but 96-h and 120-h errors were larger
Atlantic Track Error Distribution (48 h) Average error 90 n mi, but outliers still occur!
Page 1 and 2: National Hurricane Center Forecast
Page 3 and 4: NHC Forecast Verification • Syste
Page 5 and 6: 2010 Atlantic Verification VT NT TR
Page 7: Atlantic Track Error Trends (1990
Page 11 and 12: Forecast Error Distributions and Co
Page 13 and 14: Along‐ and Cross‐Track Errors F
Page 15 and 16: Atlantic 5‐Year Mean Errors Inten
Page 17 and 18: Intensity Error Distribution (48 h)
Page 19 and 20: Atlantic Genesis Forecasts Results
Page 21 and 22: Summary • Atlantic basin track er

Along- and Cross-Track Errors - National Hurricane Center

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