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ADWEC 2008 Statement of Future Capacity Requirements 2008 ...

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RSB Approved Version- 4 th August <strong>2008</strong><br />

supplies to more pr<strong>of</strong>itable industrial purposes. Abu Dhabi and the UAE more<br />

generally are therefore not alone in needing to consider alternate fuels to known<br />

natural gas supplies.<br />

7.1.2 Technologies<br />

Oil Stations<br />

GCC oil fired stations are typically built using the conventional configuration <strong>of</strong><br />

steam boilers with steam turbines, however some <strong>of</strong> Saudi Arabia’s crude oil fired<br />

stations will be equipped with gas turbines adjusted to the firing <strong>of</strong> crude oil. The<br />

main reason for constructing oil fired stations is insufficient gas supplies. On the Red<br />

Sea coast in Saudi Arabia almost all existing and new power plants will be fired with<br />

crude oil.<br />

Kuwait is also planning that part <strong>of</strong> its new capacity will be fuelled with crude oil.<br />

Since GCC crude oil closely approximates light oil it can easily be used in power<br />

generation. When crude oil is used as the main fuel, it is possible to construct<br />

cogeneration power plants (electricity and water) with a fuel utilisation factor close to<br />

90%, i.e. the same as natural gas. The main disadvantage <strong>of</strong> crude oil is its very high<br />

spot price. A crude oil price <strong>of</strong> 100 US$/barrel is equivalent to about $17.6 - $18<br />

MBTU 18 depending on the crude oil specification. This is about 70% - 80% higher<br />

than the recent high North American market price <strong>of</strong> gas ($10 per MMBTU 19 ) and<br />

approximately five times higher than price <strong>of</strong> coal ($3 per GJ = ~$3.2/MMBTU).<br />

Oil fired stations are also somewhat more unreliable than gas fired stations, thereby<br />

reducing the reliability <strong>of</strong> the entire system via an increased system forced outage<br />

rate. Furthermore oil fired stations also tend to have higher operation and maintenance<br />

costs than gas fired stations.<br />

In economic terms it is perhaps better to consider the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> burning oil,<br />

i.e. the revenue forgone by not exporting the oil. As long as more revenue can be<br />

earned by exporting the oil than the total costs (including environmental, security <strong>of</strong><br />

supply and infrastructure etc) associated with burning alternate fuels in place <strong>of</strong> oil,<br />

then the oil should be exported and not burnt in domestic power stations.<br />

18 There are approximately 6 GJ per barrel <strong>of</strong> oil, 1 GJ = 0.9478 MMBTU or 1 MMBTU = 1.055 GJ,<br />

and so $100 per barrel / 6 GJ = $16.67 per GJ / 0.9478 = $17.6 per MMBTU.<br />

19 According to the MEED magazine <strong>of</strong> 16 May <strong>2008</strong>, Qatar sold LNG to the Korean Gas Company in<br />

2007 at about $11 per MMBTU, and to Japanese buyers in early <strong>2008</strong> up to $12 per MMBTU.<br />

<strong>Statement</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>Capacity</strong> <strong>Requirements</strong> <strong>2008</strong> – 2030 38

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