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Welcome to <strong>the</strong><br />

world of currencies


What is a currency?<br />

• A generally acceptedmedium of exchange for goods and services, issued by a government<br />

and circulated within an economy.


World currencies<br />

• Different countries have different currencies.


What is currency exchange rate?<br />

• Each currency of a country is valued with o<strong>the</strong>r currency, <strong>the</strong> net ratio is called exchange rate.


<strong>Currency</strong> exchange rates<br />

• Each currency exchange rate represents a pair of currency.<br />

• Examples of currency pairs:<br />

USD/INR - US Dollar against Indian Rupee<br />

EUR/USD - Euro against US Dollar<br />

EUR/GBP - Euro against British Pound<br />

GBP/INR - British Pound against Indian Rupee


How is currency quoted?<br />

• Each currency is quoted/paired/valued with ano<strong>the</strong>r currency.<br />

USD/INR = 55.60<br />

Base currency<br />

Quote currency<br />

• Quote of USD/INR = 55.60 means for every 1 USD paid, INR 55.60 will be received.<br />

• Quote of EUR/USD = 1.2745 means for every 1 Euro paid, 1.2745 USD will be received.


Understanding appreciation & depreciation of currency<br />

$<br />

`<br />

• How valuation of rupee changes?


Valuation changes due to<br />

Economic forces - inflation<br />

rate, purchasing power,<br />

interest rate<br />

Market forces - supply &<br />

demand of dollar & rupee<br />

due to economic factors<br />

The value of a currency depends on demand and supply of currency.<br />

Demand depends on economic valuations & economic factors.


Economic forces affecting rupee…<br />

• Macro economic reviews<br />

• Monetary policy<br />

• Banking policies<br />

• Economic data announcements<br />

• Global economic scenario<br />

• Global capital flow<br />

• Performance of equity/financial markets<br />

• Performance of o<strong>the</strong>r currencies<br />

• Performance of key commodities affecting trade<br />

• Policy announcements affecting flows – trade or capital<br />

Do we have<br />

control on<br />

<strong>the</strong>se<br />

factors???


Impact of economic news on rupee…<br />

News flow Meaning Impact on rupee<br />

Greek crisis<br />

Euro crisis<br />

FII outflow<br />

Rise of OIL price<br />

Overseas loan payment<br />

RBI managing strong rupee<br />

FII/FDI inflow in India<br />

Overseas borrowing<br />

Higher bank rates<br />

News: GDP will improve<br />

NRI sending money<br />

Gold rises<br />

RBI managing rupee fall<br />

Outflow of Greek currency & investment in USD.<br />

USD demanded in market against Euro<br />

FII sell rupee & buy USD<br />

Higher inflation - Low purchasing power,<br />

& demand for more USD, fall of rupee value against USD<br />

Payment in USD against rupee. Corp sell rupee & buy USD<br />

Demands dollars & supply rupee<br />

Inflow by FDI/FII supply of USD & demand of rupee<br />

Demands for dollars by corporate against INR<br />

Investment by FII for bank interest<br />

Foreign investors will bring money to invest<br />

USD flow<br />

Buying gold against USD. Supply of USD.<br />

Demand for dollar against rupee. Outflow of dollar<br />

Depreciation<br />

Depreciation<br />

Depreciation<br />

Depreciation<br />

Depreciation<br />

Depreciation<br />

Appreciation<br />

Appreciation<br />

Appreciation<br />

Appreciation<br />

Appreciation<br />

Appreciation<br />

Appreciation


How is change in currency rate a financial risk?


USD-INR in last 4 years


USD-INR movement impact…<br />

Do we know<br />

what will be<br />

USD-INR rate<br />

next???


What is currency risk?<br />

When rise or fall in value of one currency against ano<strong>the</strong>r currency has direct<br />

or indirect impact on financial statements, it is a currency risk.


When is currency a risk?<br />

• <strong>Currency</strong> risk occurs when<br />

- transactions undertaken by entity involves international currencies.<br />

- rate of exchange has direct or indirect impact on its financial statements.<br />

• Transactions may be<br />

- receivable or payable fx instruments.<br />

- purchase/sale commitments in fx.<br />

- future transactions in a foreign currency.<br />

- speculative transactions.


Who is affected by currency market?<br />

Corporate, exporters,<br />

importers, governments,<br />

central & o<strong>the</strong>r banks,<br />

financial markets, individuals<br />

- travellers, students


How is exchange rate a financial risk?<br />

• Mr. ABC is an exporter and has to receive USD 5 million as payment for his exported<br />

goods next month. If today USD-INR rate is 55.60, Mr. ABC is expecting to receive<br />

INR 27.8 Crs. (5*10^6*55.60 = 27.8 Cr).<br />

• By <strong>the</strong> time of payment delivery, if USD-INR moves to 57.30, Mr. ABC will receive<br />

INR 28.65 Cr. He will gain additional INR 0.85 Cr.<br />

• In a situation, USD-INR changes to 53.50 at <strong>the</strong> time of delivery, Mr. ABC will receive<br />

INR 26.75 Cr. A loss of INR 1.05 Cr.<br />

• In above situations, Mr. ABC will hugely gain or lose basis exchange rate<br />

movement in USD-INR, for which he has no control.


How is currency a risk – more examples...<br />

• Mr. XYZ imports goods. He is expecting delivery of his contract next month and has to<br />

pay USD 10 million at <strong>the</strong> time of goods delivered.<br />

• If today USD-INR rate is 55.60, XYZ has to pay INR 55.60 Cr. (10*10^6*55.60 = 55.6 Cr).<br />

• By <strong>the</strong> time of payment, if USD-INR moves to 57.30, Mr. XYZ will have to pay INR 57.30<br />

Cr. He will have to pay additional INR 1.70 Cr.<br />

• In a situation, USD-INR changes to 53.50 at <strong>the</strong> time of delivery, Mr. XYZ will have to pay<br />

INR 53.50 Cr. A gain of INR 2.10 Cr.<br />

• In above situations, Mr. XYZ will gain or lose basis exchange rate movement in<br />

USD-INR, for which he has no control.


Some more situations -<br />

• Anjali Jewellers is importing 100 KG of Gold, worth INR 30 Cr from US.<br />

• Ruchi Soya has entered in a contract to export Soya Oil to US worth INR 20,000 Cr next year.<br />

• Indian importer ABC partners has deposited USD 5 Million as refundable guarantee deposit<br />

to tie up with US Company for 5 Years.<br />

• Same ABC partners is sourcing business from US every month worth INR 25 Cr every year.<br />

• Indo-Call runs 1000-seat BPO in India and US. Receives $100 per day as servicing fee.<br />

• What happens if <strong>the</strong> INR depreciates against USD - rate moves from $50 to &52 in a month


And <strong>the</strong> fx risks -<br />

• Anjali Jewellers’ operating profit falls with Rs 1.2 Cr every month.<br />

• Ruchi Soya’s net income rises by 800 Cr a year.<br />

• ABC partners will receive INR 10 Million extra on conversion of his deposit.<br />

• Same ABC partners’ profit for <strong>the</strong> year increases to 1Cr for <strong>the</strong> year.<br />

• Indo-Call receives Rs 60 Lakh additional gain each month.


Problem - currency exposure risk solution - hedging


Problem -<br />

• Firms involved in international transactions face a risk, an unknown gain/loss,<br />

on account of unanticipated changes in exchange rates.<br />

• These transactions are quantified in terms of ‘international exposure’.<br />

• Un-hedged exposures adversely affects P&L of companies and creates<br />

operational hitches like cash flow requirements etc.


We need to manage our fx exposure<br />

Payables<br />

Receivables<br />

Imports<br />

Exports<br />

Capital good<br />

imports<br />

Overseas borrowings -<br />

FCCBs, ECBs<br />

Foreign deposits<br />

Engineering<br />

offshore contracts<br />

Capital flows -<br />

FDI, FI<br />

Service export<br />

contracts


Solution on fx risk - hedging<br />

• Hedging is a position established in one market in an attempt to offset<br />

exposure in some opposite position in ano<strong>the</strong>r market.<br />

• The goal is to minimize one's exposure to unwanted risk.<br />

• Hedging is thus taking of a position, ei<strong>the</strong>r acquiring a cash flow or an asset<br />

or a contract(including a forward contract) that will rise(fall) in value to<br />

offset a fall(rise) in value of an existing position.


What is hedging – overview & concept?<br />

• Hedging is a position established in one market in an attempt to offset<br />

exposure in some opposite position in ano<strong>the</strong>r market.<br />

• The goal is to minimize one's exposure to unwanted risk.<br />

• Hedging is thus taking of a position, ei<strong>the</strong>r acquiring a cash flow or an asset<br />

or a contract(including a forward contract) that will rise(fall) in value to<br />

offset a fall(rise) in value of an existing position.


Keeping it simple - how to hedge?<br />

Forex receivable<br />

• Short/Sell futures<br />

Forex payable<br />

• Long/Buy futures


Cost of hedging & management of hedge<br />

• Set price for transacting a foreign currency in <strong>the</strong> future<br />

• Hedge forex exposure<br />

• Cost to “lock in” this exchange rate<br />

- margin deposits<br />

- premium related to future rate for currency<br />

- brokerage fee to obtain contract<br />

- mark to market cash flow<br />

- net settlement cash flow


Problem - currency <strong>Currency</strong> exposure Exposure risk Risk<br />

Solution - hedging Hedging<br />

Best Tool - currency <strong>Currency</strong> derivatives Derivatives


What are currency derivatives?<br />

• The term 'Derivatives' indicates it derives its value from some underlying i.e. it has<br />

no independent value. Underlying can be securities, stock market index,<br />

commodities, bullion, currency etc.<br />

• <strong>Currency</strong> derivatives implies contracts where underlying would be <strong>the</strong> currency<br />

exchange rate.<br />

• Examples of currency trading pairs:<br />

- USD-INR – US Dollar against Indian Rupee<br />

- USD-EUR – US Dollar against Euro<br />

- EUR-GBP – Euro against British Pound


<strong>Currency</strong> Derivatives @ <strong>ICICI</strong>direct.com


<strong>Currency</strong> trading @ <strong>ICICI</strong>direct.com<br />

• Products offered<br />

- 4 currency pairs<br />

• USD-INR – 6 month forward contracts available for trading<br />

• GBP-INR – 3 month forward contracts available for trading<br />

• EUR-INR - 3 month forward contracts available for trading<br />

• JPY-INR – 2 month forward contracts available for trading<br />

- Only futures<br />

- Option trading not available<br />

• Trading screens<br />

- Online through web-trading<br />

- Call n trade facility


<strong>Currency</strong> Trading @ <strong>ICICI</strong>direct.com<br />

Symbol USD/INR EUR/INR GBP/INR JPY/INR<br />

Instrument Type<br />

Units of Trading<br />

Underlying<br />

Tick Size<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Contract Trading Cycle<br />

Last trading Cycle<br />

FUTCUR<br />

1 unit denotes<br />

1000 Dollar<br />

The Exchange rate<br />

in INR for US Dollars<br />

0.25 paise or<br />

INR 0.0025<br />

RBI reference rate<br />

on last trading day<br />

FUTCUR FUTCUR FUTCUR<br />

1 unit denotes<br />

1000 Eur<br />

The Exchange rate in<br />

INR for Euro<br />

0.25 paise or<br />

INR 0.0025<br />

RBI reference rate<br />

on last trading day<br />

1 unit denotes<br />

1000 GBP<br />

The Exchange rate in<br />

INR for Pound Sterling<br />

0.25 paise or<br />

INR 0.0025<br />

RBI reference rate<br />

on last trading day<br />

1 unit denotes<br />

1000 Yen<br />

The Exchange rate in<br />

INR for Japanese Yen<br />

0.25 paise or<br />

INR 0.0025 (The Quote<br />

will be for 100 JPY)<br />

9.00 am to 5.00 p.m. ( Monday - Friday )<br />

12 months Trading Cycle<br />

Two working days prior to <strong>the</strong> last business day of <strong>the</strong> expiry month at 12.15 pm<br />

Last working day ( excluding Saturdays ) of <strong>the</strong> expiry month. The last working day will b e <strong>the</strong><br />

Final Settlement Day same as that for interbank Settlements in Mumbai<br />

Daily Settlement : T+ 1<br />

Final Settlement : T + 2<br />

Mode of Settlement Cash Settled in INR<br />

Daily Settlement price (DSP)<br />

Calculated on <strong>the</strong> basis of <strong>the</strong> last half an hou weighted average price<br />

Final Settlement Price<br />

RBI reference rate<br />

on last trading day


Margin calculation in currency futures<br />

Pair Underlying Contract example<br />

Qty Lot size LTP<br />

Contract<br />

value<br />

Margin<br />

per lot<br />

Margin<br />

%<br />

USD-INR<br />

USD<br />

against INR<br />

FUT-USD-INR-<br />

28-08-2013<br />

1<br />

1000<br />

62.7425 62742.5 5333 8.5%<br />

EUR-INR<br />

EUR<br />

against INR<br />

FUT-EUR-INR-<br />

28-08-2013<br />

1<br />

1000<br />

83.6325 83632.5 3764 4.5%<br />

GBP-INR<br />

GBP<br />

against INR<br />

FUT-GBP-INR-<br />

28-08-2013<br />

1<br />

1000<br />

98.0925 98092.5 4904 5%<br />

JPY-INR<br />

JPY<br />

against INR<br />

FUT-JPY-INR<br />

28-08-2013<br />

1<br />

1000<br />

64.6925 64692.5 3882 6%


Equity<br />

<strong>Currency</strong><br />

Derivatives


Equity derivates vs currency derivatives<br />

Underlying<br />

• Market indices like nifty, bank nifty<br />

• Equity scrips<br />

• <strong>Currency</strong> pair is used as indices like<br />

USD-INR, EUR-INR


Equity derivates vs currency derivatives<br />

Margins<br />

• Vary from 11% to 35%, and upto<br />

60% in exception.<br />

• Low margins in indices – starting<br />

from 11%.<br />

• Prime stock margins vary<br />

from 16% to 25%.<br />

• General stocks margins start from<br />

25% and above.<br />

• 1 contract of nifty worth,<br />

Rs 2,45,000/- available at margin of<br />

Rs 26950. (@4900).<br />

• Margins very low.<br />

• Vary from 8.5% for USD INR.<br />

• Exceptional margin applicable and<br />

extended to 1 - 2%.<br />

• 1 Lot position of USD-INR available<br />

at Rs 5200/-.<br />

• For contracts, equivalent to nifty -<br />

Rs 2,45,000/-, only Rs 20825/- is<br />

required.


Equity derivates vs currency derivatives<br />

Lot size<br />

• Lot size is based on contract value.<br />

• Standard value set by NSE is<br />

Rs 2.5 Lakhs.<br />

• Number of units in lot vary as per<br />

market price of scrip at <strong>the</strong> time<br />

of initiating <strong>the</strong> contract by NSE.<br />

• Lot size is based on number of units<br />

of underlying in contract.<br />

• Standard is 1000 Units of currency.<br />

• Lot value is not <strong>the</strong> set standard.


Equity derivates vs currency derivatives<br />

Tick size<br />

• Tick size of Eq Dv is Rs 0.05 i.e. 5 Paise.<br />

• Example of bid & offer<br />

Eq Dv<br />

Best bid price Best offer price<br />

55.95 56.00<br />

55.90 56.05<br />

55.85 56.10<br />

55.80 56.15<br />

• Fx Dv tick size is Rs 0.0025 or 1/4th<br />

of 1Paise or 0.0025 Paise.<br />

• Example of bid & offer<br />

Best bid price<br />

Fx Dv<br />

Best offer price<br />

55.9875 55.9900<br />

55.9850 55.9925<br />

55.9825 55.9950<br />

55.9800 55.9975<br />

55.9775 56.0000


Equity derivates Vs currency derivatives<br />

Exposure with Rs 1 Lakh fund<br />

• 3 nifty contracts can be taken as<br />

position(avg margin 11%).<br />

• 3 lots of nifty stocks<br />

(avg margin 14-15%).<br />

• 2 lots of junior nifty stocks.<br />

• 1 lot of fair margin stock.<br />

• FX Dv is low margin & high<br />

leverage product.<br />

• You can take position of 20 lots<br />

of USD-INR.<br />

• You can take position of 26 lots<br />

of EUR-INR.<br />

• Position value is worth<br />

Rs 12 lakhs.


Equity derivates vs currency derivatives<br />

Instrument<br />

Funds<br />

available<br />

Contract<br />

size<br />

Price<br />

Contract<br />

value<br />

Margin<br />

on<br />

contract<br />

Margin<br />

value<br />

No. of<br />

contracts<br />

on full<br />

margin<br />

Position<br />

value in<br />

lakhs<br />

Nifty 100000 50 4900 245000 11% 26950 3 7.35<br />

ITC 100000 1000 233 233000 14% 32620 3 6.99<br />

PFC 100000 2000 150 300000 19% 57000 2 3.00<br />

USD INR 100000 1000 62.75 62750 9% 5333.75 19 11.76<br />

EUR INR 100000 1000 83.68 83680 4.5% 3765.6 27 22.22<br />

• In Eq dv, Rs 1 Lakh can allow 3 Lots of nifty and total position value will be Rs 7.35 Lakhs<br />

(assuming nifty price at 4900 and 11% margin).<br />

• In FX, Rs 1 Lakh can allow 19 lots of USD-INR and total position value will be Rs 11.76 Lakhs<br />

(assuming USD-INR pair at Rs 62 with 8.5% margin).<br />

• <strong>Currency</strong> derivatives consumes lower margin & provides 3 times higher exposure than equity derivatives.


Daily currency report, provided by <strong>ICICI</strong> Securities research


Monthly <strong>Currency</strong> Derivatives Research Report


Disclaimer<br />

<strong>ICICI</strong> Securities Ltd.( I-Sec). Registered office of I-Sec is at <strong>ICICI</strong> Securities Ltd. - <strong>ICICI</strong> Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400020, India, Tel No : 022 - 2288 2460, 022 - 2288<br />

2470. I-Sec is a Member of National Stock Exchange of India Ltd., SEBI Regn. No. INB 230773037 (CM), SEBI Regn. No. INF 230773037 (F&O), SEBI Regn No. INE230773037 (CD), Bombay<br />

Stock Exchange Ltd., SEBI Regn. No. INB011286854 (CM), SEBI Regn No. INF010773035 (F&O). Name of <strong>the</strong> Compliance officer: Ms. Mamta Jayaram Shetty, Contact number:<br />

022-40701000, E-mail address: complianceofficer@icicisecurities.com. Kindly read <strong>the</strong> Risk Disclosure Documents carefully before investing in Equity Shares, Derivatives or o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

instruments traded on <strong>the</strong> Stock Exchanges. The contents herein above shall not be considered as an invitation or persuasion to trade or invest. Investors should make independent<br />

judgment with regard suitability, profitability, and fitness of any product or service offered herein above. I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind<br />

arising out of any actions taken in reliance <strong>the</strong>reon.The contents of this <strong>presentation</strong> are solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document<br />

or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or o<strong>the</strong>r financial instruments or any o<strong>the</strong>r product. While due care has been taken in preparing this <strong>presentation</strong>, I-Sec<br />

and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any inaccurate, delayed or incomplete information nor for any actions taken in reliance <strong>the</strong>reon.


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