15-20years years <strong>the</strong> average strategic horizon of Chinese and o<strong>the</strong>r Asian companies simpler product. But <strong>the</strong> company is not afraid to fail. Its vision and commitment to innovation remain undimmed. PEOPLE POWER Note <strong>the</strong> central role customers play when <strong>the</strong>se successful companies are <strong>for</strong>mulating both <strong>the</strong>ir mission and <strong>the</strong>ir vision. The customer must be at <strong>the</strong> heart of strategic thinking – or as late business guru Peter Drucker said, “business has only one valid purpose: to create a customer”. When businesses lose sight of this, problems begin. One of <strong>the</strong> most famous business articles of all time, Theodore Levitt’s Marketing Myopia, describes how easily it can happen: Ano<strong>the</strong>r big danger to a firm’s continued growth arises when top management is wholly transfixed by <strong>the</strong> profit possibilities of technical research and development... What gets shortchanged are <strong>the</strong> realities of <strong>the</strong> market. Consumers are unpredictable, varied, fickle, stupid, shortsighted, stubborn and generally bo<strong>the</strong>rsome. This isn’t what <strong>the</strong> engineer-managers say, but deep down in <strong>the</strong>ir consciousness, it is what <strong>the</strong>y believe. And this accounts <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir concentrating on what <strong>the</strong>y know and what <strong>the</strong>y can control, namely product research, engineering and production. The emphasis on production becomes particularly attractive when <strong>the</strong> product can be made at declining unit costs. There is no more inviting way of making money than by running <strong>the</strong> plant full blast. So an obsession with technical efficiency, or with profit and growth, can lead to a similarly myopic view. When both happen at once, things get ugly. In <strong>the</strong> 1990s, Delta was one of <strong>the</strong> most popular airlines in America, regularly coming in <strong>the</strong> top three <strong>for</strong> customer satisfaction. Its ground staff and aircrew were famous <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir smiles. It prided itself on <strong>the</strong> quality of its service, and was happy to spend money on staff training and support staff. A new CEO arrived and profitability was declared <strong>the</strong> new goal. Staff wages, benefits and training were frozen or cut. Delta’s staff stopped smiling. Their unhappiness and low morale quickly communicated itself to customers, who switched to o<strong>the</strong>r airlines. Within three years, Delta had declared bankruptcy. Today <strong>the</strong> airline is slowly recovering, but has not regained its <strong>for</strong>mer position. The process has been slow, painful – and expensive. FIVE YEARS TOO SHORT To paraphrase Benjamin Franklin, it takes years to build a reputation, but only a few minutes to lose it. Companies need to remember decisions have consequences, often unintended. If customers think a company is turning its back on <strong>the</strong>m in pursuit of its own selfish ends, <strong>the</strong>y will leave. So any short-term approach to strategy is a company-killer, as Delta and many o<strong>the</strong>rs have found. Companies need to do more than just survive <strong>for</strong> a few years; <strong>the</strong>y need to build plat<strong>for</strong>ms <strong>for</strong> growth that will sustain <strong>the</strong>m into <strong>the</strong> future. And yet in <strong>the</strong> west we are in danger of losing sight of <strong>the</strong> long term. Research has shown that Chinese and o<strong>the</strong>r east Asian companies typically have a strategic horizon of 15 to 20 years. They try to anticipate <strong>the</strong> future and set targets <strong>for</strong> where <strong>the</strong>y want to be in that time frame. British and American companies typically have a strategic horizon of two or three years – if that. Speaking at a conference some years ago, I lamented <strong>the</strong> fact that many companies plan <strong>the</strong>ir strategy only a year in advance. “At our firm,” said one delegate, “<strong>the</strong> planning horizon is one week.” That’s not strategy, it’s managing by focusing only on staying alive and snatching opportunities as <strong>the</strong>y arise. But what happens on <strong>the</strong> day when <strong>the</strong>re are no opportunities? Successful strategy demands long-term thinking. Those successful companies – Tata, Nestlé, Sony – are like <strong>the</strong> Roman god Janus, presenting two faces to <strong>the</strong> world. They look back to where <strong>the</strong>y have come from, remembering <strong>the</strong>ir purpose, <strong>the</strong>ir mission, <strong>the</strong> reasons why <strong>the</strong>y exist. And <strong>the</strong>y look <strong>for</strong>ward to <strong>the</strong> future, fashioning <strong>the</strong>ir own vision of <strong>the</strong> future and establishing where <strong>the</strong>y want to be in a manner consistent with that mission and purpose. They align where <strong>the</strong>y have come from with where <strong>the</strong>y are going. In this way, <strong>the</strong>y build on existing relationships with customers and continue to fashion new ones. They, and <strong>the</strong>ir shareholders, prosper over <strong>the</strong> long term because <strong>the</strong>y are also helping <strong>the</strong>ir customers to prosper. STRATEGIC INTENT Strategy and short-termism are fundamentally incompatible, strategic thinking that is not focused on <strong>the</strong> long term is not strategic thinking. Strategy is not about merely reacting to circumstances, it is about setting goals and charting a way <strong>for</strong>ward. Short-term plans that show how <strong>the</strong> company will deal with <strong>the</strong> challenges it faces in <strong>the</strong> here and now are always necessary. But <strong>the</strong>re must also be a degree of strategic intent. Even if we do not have detailed plans <strong>for</strong> 15 and 20 years hence – and few if any of <strong>the</strong> east Asian firms mentioned above do so – <strong>the</strong>re must still be a general agreement on where <strong>the</strong> company wants to be and how it will fulfil its mission. Companies like this can ignore, or at least ride out, short-term shocks like <strong>the</strong> current downturn, and keep <strong>the</strong>ir eyes focused on <strong>the</strong> end game. Taking this kind of approach requires vision and courage. But <strong>the</strong> results speak <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>mselves. Winners think long-term. Fur<strong>the</strong>r reading Bala Chakravarthy and Peter Lorange, Profit or Growth? Why You Don’t Have to Choose, Engelwood Cliffs: Wharton School Publishing, 2007. John P. Davis, Corporations, New York: Putnam, 1905. Yves Doz and Mikko Kosonen, Fast Strategy, Harlow: Pearson Education, 2008. Peter Drucker, The Effective Executive, New York: Harper & Row, 1967. Stewart Hamilton and Alicia Micklethwait, Greed and Corporate Failure: Lessons From Recent Disasters, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2006. Theodore Levitt, Marketing Myopia, Harvard Business Review, 1960. Mark Prendergrast, For God, Country and Coca-Cola, London: Phoenix, 1993. Morgen Witzel, Tata: The Evolution of a Corporate Brand, New Delhi: Penguin, 2010. ALAMY 34 MAY 2012 FINANCE & MANAGEMENT
DAILY INSIGHT AND FRESH ANALYSIS ONLINE BUSINESS AND FINANCE UPDATES MULTIMEDIA REPORTS AND WIDE-RANGING OPINIONS JOIN THE DEBATE AT <strong>ICAEW</strong>.COM/ECONOMIA facebook.com/economiamag twitter.com/economiamag linkedIn group: economiamagazine