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Wale Aboyade's thesis - lumes

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Akinwale Aboyade, LUMES Thesis, 2003/2004<br />

2 Explanation of Central Concepts and literature review<br />

This chapter contains an explanation of the central concepts used in this report. These concepts are<br />

climate change, sustainable development, MSW management, LFG capture and utilization. A review of<br />

applications of system dynamics on the climate change dimensions of MSW management is also given.<br />

2.1 Climate Change background<br />

Anthropogenic climate change is caused by the increase in the quantities of green house gases (GHGs)<br />

in the atmosphere as a result of various human activities. GHGs the most important of which are -<br />

carbon (IV) oxide (CO 2 ), methane (CH 4 ), dinitrogen-oxide (N 2 O), hydrofluorocarbons(HFC),<br />

perfluorocarbons-(PFC) and sulphur-hexafluoride(SF) - are otherwise naturally occurring atmospheric<br />

gases which performs the function of keeping the earth warm by trapping the sun’s heat. But their<br />

increased concentration caused by human actions has been shown to intensify this natural effect<br />

causing significant unnatural temperature changes in the earth’s temperature. Such temperature changes<br />

have been discovered could lead to major disturbances to the ecosystem: sea level rise and the flooding<br />

of low level plains, drought, and increased frequencies of floods, and other weather related natural<br />

disasters are likely to occur in various parts of the world putting millions at risk (IPCC, 1996).<br />

CO 2 is by far the most significant GHG as it is released from nearly all human activity that has<br />

contributed to the economic growth witnessed in the past century, especially transport, industry and<br />

agriculture. Methane, the next most<br />

significant in terms of quantity is<br />

mostly emitted from anaerobic<br />

degradation of organic waste, the<br />

burning of biomass and natural gas<br />

leakage (Bingemer and Crutzen,<br />

1987).<br />

Historically developed countries<br />

have been largely responsible for<br />

the bulk of these emissions as the<br />

activities that lead to it, industry<br />

and transport – are found with the<br />

highest intensities in these<br />

countries (see figure 2.1).<br />

Figure 2.1 CO2 emissions per capita 1973, 1990 and 2001 : Unander F.<br />

(2003)<br />

In a bid to better understand the climate change phenomena and its implications, the WMO 1 and<br />

UNEP 2 in 1988 set up the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) composed of scientists<br />

and academics, as well of official government representatives, with a mandate to study the<br />

phenomenon and give appropriate advice on its implications to the participating governments (Weart,<br />

2003). Their first report – the FAR (First Assessment Report) released in 1990 established that the<br />

1 World Meteorological Organization<br />

2 United Nations Environmental Program<br />

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