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Wale Aboyade's thesis - lumes

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Akinwale Aboyade, LUMES Thesis, 2003/2004<br />

4.1.3.3 Methane emissions from Olusosun SWDS<br />

Narrowing down to Olusosun SWDS where even more data is available, and where the emission model<br />

used (the first order decay (FOD)model) is a better representation of the fate of CH 4 emissions in<br />

landfills, the results are as shown in the charts below under the following assumptions.<br />

<br />

<br />

L o – Methane generation potential (same as MCF*DOC*DOCF*16/12 in the default method)<br />

and here assumed to be about 150m 3 /Mg. A conservative estimate when compared with<br />

1(0m 3 /Mg for Brazil which has a similar waste composition ( Mailly, 2004).<br />

K- methane generation constant for lack of data is assumed to be the default suggested by IPCC<br />

- 0.05<br />

80000<br />

1<br />

1<br />

40000<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1<br />

1991.00 2000.75 2010.50 2020.25 2030.00<br />

Years<br />

Figure 4.6 Methane emissions from Olusosun SWDS<br />

(Source: own construct)<br />

The graph shows methane emission from Olusosun reaching its peak of about 76,000 tonnes of<br />

methane in 2014 thereabouts with an average annual emission of 63,000 tonnes during the project’s<br />

lifetime. It also shows that Olusosun will still be generating emissions well beyond 2030. A sensitivity<br />

analysis varying k and L o by ±15% shows that this varies from a low of 47,000 tonnes to a high of<br />

78,000 tonnes CH 4 .<br />

4.1.3.4 Utilization potential<br />

Although there are various uses of methane generated from landfills, this study will only consider<br />

flaring and electricity generation. Allowing for a 25% uncertainty in the following figures and<br />

34

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