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H I G H L I G H T S<br />

9/2010 FINMECCANICA MAGAZINE<br />

US DEFENSE:<br />

FUTURE<br />

EXPENDITURE<br />

David J. Berteau<br />

Senior Adviser and Director, Defense Industrial Initiatives Group’<br />

Center for Strategic and International Studies<br />

DESPITE THE BUDGETARY PRESSURES ON THE ACCOUNTS OF<br />

THE US DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE, THE NEED TO TACKLE AND<br />

OVERCOME CURRENT CHALLENGES WILL REQUIRE THE US AD-<br />

MINISTRATION TO TAKE DECISIONS AIMED AT MAKING CON-<br />

TRACTS MORE EFFICIENT AND OPTIMISING COMPETITIVENESS<br />

For the past decade, European defense<br />

firms such as <strong>Finmeccanica</strong><br />

have seen growth in their revenue.<br />

The US independent think tank, the<br />

Center for Strategic and International<br />

Studies (CSIS), tracks the financial performance<br />

of European firms in a separate<br />

European Defense Index. That Index<br />

shows overall revenue growth of<br />

nearly 100 per cent since 2001, but it also<br />

shows that most of that growth has<br />

not been in Europe. European defense<br />

spending has declined steadily in the<br />

past 10 years, as CSIS will report in a<br />

new study to be released later this summer<br />

in Washington, DC. Our study<br />

shows that most of the growth has<br />

been in Asia, the Middle East, and the<br />

United States. This makes it important<br />

to understand what is likely to happen<br />

as increasing budget pressures impact<br />

spending by the US Department of Defense<br />

(DoD) over the next five to ten<br />

years.<br />

In late July, President Obama signed the<br />

Fiscal Year 2010 Supplemental Appropriations<br />

Act, adding USD 33 billion and<br />

bringing FY2010 DoD spending to more<br />

than USD 700 billion. FY2011 projections<br />

call for a similar number, although the<br />

final congressional figure may be slightly<br />

down. Of that total, roughly USD 400<br />

billion is spent on contracts for systems,<br />

research, and services. This total has<br />

doubled in the past ten years and has<br />

been the source of revenue growth for<br />

defense contractors, including those<br />

from Europe. DoD is dependent on the<br />

private sector for needed equipment,<br />

technology, services, and personnel sup-<br />

port, and those needs are not going<br />

away. But will that growth trend continue?<br />

Almost certainly, it will not.<br />

Last January, US Defense Secretary<br />

Robert Gates announced an Obama Administration<br />

commitment for one per<br />

cent annual growth in DoD spending.<br />

This seems promising, until we realize<br />

that there are three big challenges for<br />

future US defense spending and that<br />

none of these challenges will be solved<br />

by that one per cent growth in the defense<br />

budget.<br />

The first challenge for US defense<br />

spending is how to move away from the<br />

dependency on supplemental appropriations.<br />

Since 2001, Congress has provided<br />

DoD up to USD 200 billion per year in<br />

unbudgeted spending through supplemental<br />

appropriations for Overseas<br />

Contingency Operations (or OCO). In<br />

FY2010, total OCO funding will be more<br />

than USD 160 billion, designed to pay<br />

for the added costs of operations in Iraq<br />

and Afghanistan as well as support<br />

costs back home. A detailed look at<br />

what the money is spent for will show<br />

20 21

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