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Driverless Vehicles Make Inroads in Military - Velodyne Lidar

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Technology Gap<br />

Driv<strong>in</strong>g Down<br />

the Cost of Change<br />

At last year’s <strong>Driverless</strong> Car Summit <strong>in</strong> Detroit,<br />

Google’s Chris Urmson said the company’s selfdriv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cars have $150,000 of equipment on<br />

board, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a $70,000 lidar. And while that price<br />

for a prototype driverless car system created by a company<br />

with nearly $11 billion <strong>in</strong> profits last year isn’t<br />

worth a second glance, it would amount to sticker shock<br />

for the average consumer already dropp<strong>in</strong>g a lot of cash<br />

on a new car.<br />

“Right now a lot of these systems are <strong>in</strong> the prototype<br />

phase, and so the hardware that’s be<strong>in</strong>g purchased is either<br />

a one- or two-off, low-volume [production] price,<br />

so that adds up as you go through any vehicle outfit with<br />

the required sens<strong>in</strong>g technology, comput<strong>in</strong>g technology<br />

and th<strong>in</strong>gs like that,” says Ryan Lamm, manager of research<br />

and development for <strong>in</strong>telligent vehicle systems<br />

at Southwest Research Institute.<br />

Southwest has first-hand experience <strong>in</strong> how to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />

down the cost of sensor technology. The research firm<br />

is the prime contractor <strong>in</strong> the Navy’s Small Unit Mobility<br />

Enhancement Technologies program, which aims<br />

to make unmanned ground vehicle technology capable<br />

yet also affordable. While Southwest Research Institute<br />

doesn’t produce sensor hardware, it worked to develop<br />

low-cost camera algorithms for vehicles that don’t rely<br />

on GPS data. And though this program has a military<br />

focus, Lamm says the concept translates to the driverless<br />

car community.<br />

“It actually translates quite well. ... A lot of the expertise<br />

and a lot of the secret sauce really is the software. And so<br />

the way we’ve developed a lot of the systems is to pretty<br />

much be agnostic of sensors, to not be dependent on<br />

specific types of platforms, to not be dependent on any<br />

specific type of hardware.”<br />

Like any other product, mass production will likely<br />

shr<strong>in</strong>k the cost of driverless car sensors, s<strong>in</strong>ce it will<br />

change how they are manufactured and also <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

competition, which also drives down cost. However,<br />

Lamm says there are keys that will also enable software<br />

prices to rema<strong>in</strong> low, like keep<strong>in</strong>g nonrecurr<strong>in</strong>g costs<br />

down through use of an extensible software framework.<br />

“Our philosophy is always that the software should be<br />

very modular, scalable and extensible so that you don’t<br />

The SUMET EV-1 vehicle, which can<br />

navigate autonomously <strong>in</strong> harsh terra<strong>in</strong>.<br />

Photo courtesy Southwest Research Institute.<br />

have to redo a lot of software when you want to add<br />

additional levels of autonomy or make changes to your<br />

hardware,” he says.<br />

Through this approach to mak<strong>in</strong>g autonomy software,<br />

the cost of updates is “essentially free” after you’ve developed<br />

the <strong>in</strong>itial framework, says Lamm.<br />

However, Southwest Research Institute isn’t a for-profit<br />

corporation try<strong>in</strong>g to sell shr<strong>in</strong>k-wrapped autonomy<br />

software. Many companies do license their software for<br />

royalties, just like how personal computer users pay for<br />

add<strong>in</strong>g software to their systems. A model like this could<br />

mean that the overall cost of go<strong>in</strong>g driverless would be<br />

higher.<br />

Modular, scalable software development also allows<br />

companies to keep up with Moore’s Law — the concept<br />

that the rate of comput<strong>in</strong>g power change over short time<br />

<strong>in</strong>tervals is exponential.<br />

“One of the key goals of all the work that we’ve done at<br />

[Southwest Research Institute], <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g some of the<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternally funded work that we’ve done, is to look at<br />

what’s possible to elim<strong>in</strong>ate dependence on expensive,<br />

vendor-proprietary solutions,” says Lamm. “We don’t<br />

build our systems around specific types of vehicles and<br />

what have you. By be<strong>in</strong>g extensible, what that does is it<br />

effectively takes the software cost factor, for slight modification<br />

or enhancements, out of the equation. So really<br />

then what you’re dependent upon <strong>in</strong> the end is the cost<br />

of the hardware.”<br />

The ultimate driver of price, however, is still the consumer.<br />

“What we’ve seen <strong>in</strong> the auto market is safety is a<br />

difficult sell,” says Lamm. “If you’re go<strong>in</strong>g to buy a new<br />

car, if you have the option for an enterta<strong>in</strong>ment package<br />

versus a special additional safety system, it’s likely that<br />

the end consumer will choose the enterta<strong>in</strong>ment package<br />

over the safety system. … This is a feature that’s go<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to cost several thousand dollars, possibly, and is the<br />

public will<strong>in</strong>g to pay that the next time they go out and<br />

buy their next car Or is the convenience, the mobility<br />

aspect of be<strong>in</strong>g able to be distracted while you’re sitt<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> your vehicle, is that worth that cost to you It’ll be<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to see how the market evolves.”<br />

MISSION CRITICAL • May 2013 13

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