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Safety aspects<br />

The incidence of VTE in the remaining ‘healthy user’ group<br />

then becomes less and less over time. This is the major factor<br />

responsible for the ‘healthy user’ effect.<br />

OC1<br />

OC2<br />

Number of adverse events<br />

time<br />

Fig. 16: User cohort effect (the ‘healthy user’ effect)<br />

or attrition of the susceptibles<br />

(Lewis et al 1997)<br />

Selective<br />

prescribing<br />

A second biasing factor was also operating in the<br />

epidemiological studies called prescribing bias or selective<br />

prescribing. The third-generation Pills were selectively<br />

prescribed to women with risk factors for cardiovascular<br />

disease, such as age, personal or family history of VTE, clinical<br />

venous signs, chronic inflammatory disease, anesthesia or<br />

plaster cast, obesity, diabetes, standing working position,<br />

alcohol abuse, smoking or a combination of risk factors<br />

(Lunsen van 1996; Lis et al 1993; Poulter et al 1996;<br />

Heinemann et al 1996; Farmer 1996; Herings et al 1996;<br />

Jamin and De Mouzon 1996; Lewis et al 1996; Farmer et al<br />

1997; Lidegaard 1997; Dunn et al 1998). As a result of<br />

selective prescribing, cardiovascular adverse effects could be<br />

more frequently observed in users of the third-generation OCs.<br />

30

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