Technical Risk Assessment Handbook - Defence Science and ...

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Contents
Preface.................................................................................................................... iii
Contents..................................................................................................................iv
Chapter 1 Introduction ............................................................................................ 1
Chapter 2 Technical Risk Assessment in Capability Development ......................... 3
Technical risk activities up to First Pass Project Approval................................... 3
Technical risk activities at Intermediate Pass Project Approvals ......................... 5
Technical risk activities up to Second Pass Project Approval.............................. 5
How technical risk assessment develops ............................................................ 6
How is the technical risk information used......................................................... 7
Chapter 3 Fundamentals of Technical Risk Assessment........................................ 8
Introduction.......................................................................................................... 8
Risk assessment ................................................................................................. 8
Basis for assessing risk....................................................................................... 9
Fitness-for-Purpose issues................................................................................ 10
Technical risk sources....................................................................................... 11
Assessing technical risks................................................................................... 12
Risk criteria........................................................................................................ 13
The use of Readiness Levels in assessing technical risk.................................. 14
Capability option types ...................................................................................... 17
Chapter 4 Developing the Technical Risk Indicator .............................................. 18
Introduction........................................................................................................ 18
TRI structure...................................................................................................... 19
Chapter 5 Developing the Technical Risk Assessment......................................... 20
Introduction........................................................................................................ 20
Step 1 - Establish the context of use ................................................................. 20
Step 2 - Identify the sub-systems ...................................................................... 21
Step 3 - Assess the technology risks................................................................. 22
Step 4 - Assess the technical risks.................................................................... 24
Step 5 - Determining overall risk level ............................................................... 26
Technology and Technical risks in MOTS/COTS options.................................. 27
Technical risks in Modified OTS ........................................................................ 28
Technical risks in developmental options .......................................................... 29
Technical risk drivers......................................................................................... 29
Proposing possible risk treatment strategies ..................................................... 29
Residual risks .................................................................................................... 30
Confidence of assessment ................................................................................ 30
TRA structure .................................................................................................... 31
Risk analysis methods and expert judgements in TRA ..................................... 31
Acronyms.............................................................................................................. 33
Annex A Indicative Structure of Technical Risk Indicator...................................... 34
Annex B Indicative Structure of Technical Risk Assessment ................................ 35
Annex C TRL and SRL Descriptions..................................................................... 36
Annex D Potential considerations in Technical Risk Assessment......................... 40
Technical Risk Assessment Handbook Version 1.1