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Testing Distributional Dependence in the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak ...

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Table 8. Pairwise <strong>Distributional</strong> Tests: Change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Shape of Distribution [N = 69]<br />

Panel A. Mass to <strong>the</strong> Left, Low Support<br />

#3<br />

#7<br />

#11<br />

#3<br />

#3<br />

#7<br />

Distributions Compared<br />

#1<br />

#1<br />

#1<br />

#7<br />

#11<br />

#11<br />

58<br />

all subjects<br />

p-value for test of means<br />

basic<br />

<strong>in</strong>structions<br />

detailed<br />

<strong>in</strong>structions<br />

0.0847* 0.0993* 0.2566<br />

0.1499 0.0955* 0.4040<br />

0.0356** 0.0628* 0.1441<br />

0.3215 0.4241 0.3286<br />

0.6469 0.5440 0.6599<br />

0.8169 0.6344 0.8097<br />

Notes: Reported p-values give <strong>the</strong> probability from <strong>the</strong> one-tailed test that <strong>the</strong> mean of <strong>the</strong> elicitations from<br />

<strong>the</strong> distribution with more mass to <strong>the</strong> left is greater than <strong>the</strong> mean of <strong>the</strong> elicitations from <strong>the</strong> matched<br />

paired distribution with more mass to <strong>the</strong> right. Distributions 1, 2, 4, 5, 9, and 14 each appeared twice<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> 20 rounds. The tests reported here reflect only <strong>the</strong> observations when subjects submitted a<br />

valuation for a specified distribution for <strong>the</strong> last time. The symbols *, **, and *** <strong>in</strong>dicate significance at<br />

<strong>the</strong> 10%, 5%, and 1% levels respectively.

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