Annual Report 2012 - Swiss Life
Annual Report 2012 - Swiss Life
Annual Report 2012 - Swiss Life
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168 Consolidated Financial Statements<br />
at the same level (going concern) and the current cost ratios – adjusted for inflation – are thus assumed<br />
to hold good for the future as well. Future costs for maintaining classic solvency capital funded by the<br />
shareholders and which underpins the insurance business are charged to the MCEV. The <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Life</strong><br />
Group calculates the embedded value for all its life and health insurance companies. All other companies<br />
are taken into account at their IFRS net asset value. As a consequence, embedded value sensitivities<br />
do not affect the value of these companies.<br />
An analysis of sensitivity indicates to what extent the embedded value is affected by variations in risk factors.<br />
The analysis is based on changes in the assumptions used in the embedded value calculation whereby<br />
a specific risk factor is changed while holding all other assumptions constant. In practice, this is unlikely<br />
to occur and changes in some of the assumptions may be correlated. In the event of a change in a specific<br />
risk factor, the effect of different allocations to policyholder participation as a consequence is considered<br />
in the analysis. The changes in a specific risk factor are applied to the entire projection period.<br />
The sensitivity analysis with regard to insurance risk is as follows:<br />
Higher overall mortality would have a significant positive effect on the embedded value of life annuities<br />
(survival risk) whereas the negative effect on the embedded value of contracts with mortality risk<br />
is comparatively limited due to corresponding reductions in policyholder bonuses. Therefore, this<br />
sensitivity is considered not significant as an adverse risk for the embedded value.<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if the longevity improvement parameter had increased by 5%, the embedded<br />
value would have been CHF 60 million lower (2011: CHF 37 million lower).<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if morbidity had been 5% higher, the embedded value would have been<br />
CHF 61 million lower (2011: CHF 87 million lower).<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if morbidity had been 5% lower, the embedded value would have been<br />
CHF 54 million higher (2011: CHF 85 million higher).<br />
The sensitivity analysis with regard to market risk is as follows:<br />
The MCEV calculations of the <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Life</strong> Group are based on economic scenarios which are calibrated<br />
to market conditions at valuation date.<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if the interest rates had been 100 basis points higher, the embedded value<br />
would have been CHF 166 million higher (2011: CHF 283 million higher).<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if the interest rates had been 100 basis points lower, the embedded value would<br />
have been CHF 567 million lower (2011: CHF 729 million lower).<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if the swaption implied volatilities (interest rates) had been 25% higher, the<br />
embedded value would have been CHF 444 million lower (2011: CHF 709 million lower).<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if the swaption implied volatilities (interest rates) had been 25% lower, the<br />
embedded value would have been CHF 15 million lower (2011: CHF 544 million higher).<br />
At 31 December <strong>2012</strong>, if the market value of equity securities and property had been 10% higher, the<br />
embedded value would have been CHF 653 million higher (2011: CHF 746 million higher).<br />
<strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Life</strong> – <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2012</strong>