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Kouli_etal_2008_Groundwater modelling_BOOK.pdf - Pantelis ...

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294<br />

K.L. Katsifarakis<br />

fields with very regular shape. Even in the most sophisticated numerical models, though, field<br />

boundaries are smoothed to successive linear segments. Moreover it should be kept in mind<br />

that impermeable boundaries are actually inferred from geological maps, supported,<br />

sometimes, by geophysical exploration. A certain degree of inaccuracy enters the definition of<br />

constant head boundaries, too, although they are visible, since inclined coasts should be<br />

considered as vertical in two-dimensional flow models. In some cases, the scope of the study<br />

plays a role in the final judgement of the researcher. If, for instance, it is checked whether a<br />

pumping scheme results in excessive water level drawdown, placing an impermeable<br />

boundary relatively closer to pumped wells, leads to increased safety factor.<br />

As computers become more and more efficient, one is tempted to use the most<br />

complicated available model, since the importance of computational volume and computer<br />

memory requirements become less and less important. But, as already implied in the previous<br />

paragraphs, this might not be the best choice. Detailed models produce better results, only if<br />

they are fed with accurate and adequate field data. Moreover, the implicit error, which is due<br />

to the numerical procedure, might go undetected, as the users of complicated numerical<br />

models tend to be too confident of their results.<br />

3. The Role of the Optimization Model<br />

In groundwater resources management, models for flow simulation are very often combined<br />

with optimization ones. In the last few years, evolutionary methods, such as genetic<br />

algorithms, become more and more popular as optimization tools, e.g. McKinney and Min-<br />

Der Lin (1994), Ouazar and Cheng (2000). Use of these methods requires that the flow<br />

simulation model is run many times. Thus, the total computational volume may become the<br />

limiting factor and the balance between accuracy and computational efficiency should be<br />

reconsidered. To clarify this point, genetic algorithms, the most common evolutionary<br />

method, is briefly outlined.<br />

3.1. Outline of the Method of Genetic Algorithms<br />

Genetic algorithms (G.A.), initially introduced by Holland (1975), are a mathematical tool<br />

with a wide range of applications. They are particularly efficient in optimization problems,<br />

especially when the respective objective functions exhibit many local optima or discontinuous<br />

derivatives.<br />

There are already extensive books, e.g. Goldberg (1989), Michalewicz (1996), Reeves<br />

and Rowe (2003), which deal with the theoretical background, the perspectives, the<br />

computational details and the applications of genetic algorithms (and other evolutionary<br />

techniques). Their main concepts are briefly described in the following paragraphs.<br />

As their name implies, genetic algorithms are essentially a mathematical imitation of the<br />

biological process of evolution of species. They start with a number of random, potential<br />

solutions of the investigated problem. These solutions, which are called chromosomes,<br />

constitute the population of the first generation. In binary genetic algorithms, each<br />

chromosome is essentially a binary string. The number of its characters, which are called<br />

genes, is usually predetermined.

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