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Chapter 15 Internal Migration in Nepal - Central Bureau of Statistics

Chapter 15 Internal Migration in Nepal - Central Bureau of Statistics

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y hill Brahm<strong>in</strong> (28.2%), Thakuri (23.8%), Sanyashi (21.1%), Limbu (19.7%), Gurung (19%),<br />

Newar (18.9%), Chhetri (17.8%)Rai (16.7%), Mushlim (<strong>15</strong>.8%), and Damai (<strong>15</strong>.2%). Tharu and<br />

Yadav were the least migratory among female migrants.<br />

In all, 88.6 per cent <strong>in</strong>ternal migrants five years ago were liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the rural areas <strong>of</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> and<br />

only 11.4 per cent were liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the urban areas. A number <strong>of</strong> development variables are found to<br />

be associated with migration variables. The correlation coefficients show significant relationships<br />

<strong>of</strong> development <strong>in</strong>dices with migration variables. In-migration and net positive migration show<br />

positive signs <strong>of</strong> development. Even emigration tends to be good for the country <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong><br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g unemployment and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g remittances. Any poverty strategy <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> is bound to be<br />

more successful with a strong component <strong>of</strong> migration policy <strong>in</strong>tegrated with it.<br />

Further research <strong>in</strong> this area should focus on develop<strong>in</strong>g more recent <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> development<br />

and relat<strong>in</strong>g these with migration at the very district level and below. Poverty mapp<strong>in</strong>g exercise<br />

should be <strong>in</strong>corporated with spatial distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>- and-out-migrants as well as foreign born<br />

and absentee population with special focus on gender and children. <strong>Migration</strong> and the spread <strong>of</strong><br />

HIV/AIDS should be exam<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> relation to its effect on non-migrant population.<br />

<strong>15</strong>.5.2 Conclusion<br />

In 2003, <strong>Nepal</strong>'s population is estimated to have reached 25.1 million with a density <strong>of</strong> population<br />

approach<strong>in</strong>g 200 persons per square kilometer by 2005.<br />

Every two <strong>in</strong> five persons <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nepal</strong> lives below absolute poverty l<strong>in</strong>e and every other person <strong>in</strong> the<br />

rural area is poor. Even if the present level <strong>of</strong> poverty (38%) were reduced to 30 per cent, the<br />

absolute number <strong>of</strong> people below the poverty l<strong>in</strong>e will not decrease because <strong>of</strong> run away<br />

population growth rate. Only those under extreme poverty will rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> the villages but a large<br />

majority will migrate.<br />

High unemployment and underemployment will force people to rema<strong>in</strong> either under severe<br />

poverty or migrate to other places with<strong>in</strong> and outside the country for better opportunity for<br />

livelihood.<br />

The volume <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ter-district migration may double <strong>in</strong> the next census from the present 2.9 million.<br />

Urban areas will be the dest<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> more than 50 per cent <strong>in</strong> -migrants. This will create a severe<br />

shortage <strong>of</strong> services and security <strong>in</strong> urban areas, especially <strong>in</strong> the valley towns.<br />

<strong>15</strong>7

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