DRAFT Climate Action Plan - PMC

ES
FIGURE ES-2 – 2008 BASELINE GHG EMISSIONS BY SECTOR
Transportation
35%
Commercial/
Industrial
39%
GHG EMISSIONS PROJECTIONS
Waste
6%
Other
4%
The basis for all growth scenarios is a business-as-usual (BAU) projection. The BAU
projection forecasts emissions to reflect the City’s growth projections without regulatory
or technical intervention to reduce GHG emissions. The BAU projection is based on
population, housing, employment, and vehicle miles traveled projections for 2020 and
2035, as shown in Table ES-2. The population, housing, and employment forecasts
come from the City’s General Plan, while VMT projections are derived from the
Sunnyvale Travel Demand Forecast Model.
TABLE ES-2 – SUNNYVALE COMMUNITY GROWTH INDICATORS
2008 2010 2020 2035
Residential
16%
Draft
Percentage
Change
Population 133,110 136,180 151,550 174,600 31%
Households 54,130 55,380 61,630 71,000 31%
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Jobs 73,630 77,950 99,570 132,000 79%
Service Population 206,740 214,130 251,120 306,600 48%
These indicators are then applied to the 2008 GHG emissions inventory to determine a
business-as-usual growth scenario. Under the BAU scenario, community-wide emissions
will grow by approximately 24% by the year 2020 to 1,580,040 MTCO 2 e and by 60% by
2035 to 2,028,640 MTCO 2 e, as shown in Figure ES-3.
CITY OF SUNNYVALE CLIMATE ACTION PLAN
ES-3