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Global Market Forecast 2011-2030 - EADS

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3<br />

Single Aisles<br />

connecting people<br />

single-aisle aircraft, like the a320 family and the<br />

737NG, are a very signifi cant part of today’s<br />

aviation network. taking aircraft above 100 seats,<br />

87% of all routes are fl own by single-aisles and 78%<br />

of all seats offered globally are on a single-aisle aircraft.<br />

they really do connect people.<br />

this is a broad segment, covering from about 100<br />

seats to 210 seats. it is no surprise therefore that<br />

the most successful products in this market are<br />

those that offer a complete family, offering maximum<br />

choice and fl exibility for airlines, with the largest of<br />

these very often needing the complete spectrum<br />

of size on offer. as single aisle aircraft are an important<br />

component of the fl eet today and will still be in 20<br />

years time, it is also no surprise that this segment<br />

should become the focus of new entrants and efforts<br />

to reduce the environmental impact of aviation.<br />

today, there is an opportunity to further reduce the<br />

environmental footprint of these aircraft through new<br />

engine and aerodynamic technologies, but also to<br />

reduce their cost of operation by reducing fuel burn.<br />

this is also signifi cant due to the fact that as fuel prices<br />

rise, fuel becomes an ever increasing share of an airline’s<br />

operating costs. at airbus, the a320neo will reduce<br />

fuel burn by 15% when it comes into service in<br />

2015. another big step in aviation’s development,<br />

magnifi ed by the importance of this segment to the<br />

overall aviation network.<br />

87%<br />

of all routes<br />

78%<br />

of seats<br />

87%<br />

of frequencies<br />

78%<br />

of the fl eet in 2010<br />

73%<br />

of the fl eet by <strong>2030</strong><br />

71%<br />

of new deliveries<br />

in the next 20 years<br />

aircraft ≥ 100 seats<br />

87 aviation "mega-cities" in <strong>2030</strong><br />

Destinations with more than 10 000 daily long haul pax<br />

Seattle<br />

Detroit<br />

Dallas<br />

Mexico<br />

city<br />

Boston<br />

Panama<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Bogota<br />

Dublin<br />

Lisbon<br />

Barcelona<br />

Accra<br />

Cairo<br />

Jeddah<br />

Lagos<br />

Vienna<br />

Istanbul<br />

Tehran<br />

Kuwait<br />

Addis<br />

Dhaka<br />

Taipei<br />

Manila<br />

Ho Chi Minh<br />

Lima<br />

Luanda<br />

Nairobi<br />

Brisbane<br />

2010 mega-cities<br />

Additional aviation mega-cities from 2010<br />

Santiago<br />

Rio de<br />

Janero<br />

Perth<br />

Auckland<br />

<strong>Global</strong> <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Forecast</strong> 8

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