Global Market Forecast 2011-2030 - EADS

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dEMaNd FOr air travEl Innovative structure •Composite / Metallic technologies / Nano technologies Smart wing technologies •Sharklet Innovative •Natural Laminar structure Flow / Hybrid Laminar Flow •Composite / Metallic technologies / Nano technologies Alternative fuel/energy Smart wing technologies •Sharklet New Engines •Natural •Geared & Laminar Advanced Flow turbofan / Hybrid Laminar Flow •Open Rotor Alternative fuel/energy Air Traffic Management New •Green Engines trajectories •Geared •SESAR / & NextGen Advanced turbofan •Open Rotor Fuel cell technology Air Traffic Management •Green Innovative trajectories Cockpit •SESAR •Improved / NextGen Mission management •Fully exploit future ATM Fuel •Lower cell crew technology workload Innovative Cockpit •Improved Mission management •Fully exploit future ATM •Lower crew workload Innovation for weight reduction, fuel consumption reduction, more eco-efficient and greener aircraft Global Market Forecast 40
• Neural Technology the cabin electrical system can be compared to the human brain, with a network of intelligence pulsating through the cabin. this network will be built into the structural materials – cables and wires are a thing of the past. Known as ‘smart’ materials they can perform numerous functions, recognising the passenger, so that you too are ‘connected’ to the plane. • Ecological Materials the future passenger cabin will be fully ecological. instead of using non-renewable materials like metal and plastic, fully recyclable plant fi bres that can be grown to a custom shape will be used, sourced from responsible and sustainable practices. • Morphing Materials Materials that change shape and return to their initial form, like the organs of living creatures, are a very real possibility. Morphing materials might be metals that have a ‘memory’; or are covered with a ‘skin’ of material that carries a system that will instigate a shape change. a memory is created by providing materials with a certain level of intelligence. this means the ability to ‘control’, so a sensor system and an activator system will exist within the material. • Self-reliant Materials Materials will be self-cleaning. think of the leaves of a lotus plant, which water rolls off in beads, taking contaminants with it. today this is already used on the surfaces of cabin bathrooms. in the future this will be found on the fabric of seats and the carpets on which we walk. these intelligent materials could well be selfrepairing. self-repair of this kind is already used today in surface protection. certain paints can seal a scratch just as the human skin heals itself when scratched. • Transparent Panels Materials of the future can accommodate additional functionality that provides opacity or transparency on command, negating the need for windows. this smarter structure would help to make the aircraft lighter and more fuel-effi cient while giving passengers 360 degree views of the skies. the planes of the future will offer an unparalleled, unobstructed view of the wonders of the fi ve continents. • Holographic Technology scenes refl ecting the destination, a city skyline or a tropical forest, will be projected onto the walls’ a private cabin can refl ect your bedroom at home, a business conference or even a zen garden, thanks to the projection of virtual decors. Holographic technology will have advanced to such a degree that the virtual world will be indistinguishable from the real. • Energy Harvesting smart energy solutions such as energy harvesting will be a part of the cabin environment. ‘Excess’ energy will be collected from solar panels on the window blind and your body heat by the seat and fl oor as you relax or sleep, all to fuel cabin appliances. Science fact or science fiction some of us will see, some of us will make it happen.
Page 1: delivering the future Global Market
Page 5 and 6: 12 16 42 60 124 Executive Summary D
Page 7 and 8: the expression the “miracle of fl
Page 9 and 10: today, whilst having an aviation in
Page 11: 4 Very Large Aircraft connecting th
Page 14 and 15: Executive summary ExEcutivE suMMary
Page 16 and 17: Executive summary The Fleet and Del
Page 19 and 20: Demand for air travel
Page 21 and 22: China, India and the USA - the most
Page 23 and 24: The world is moving toward better s
Page 25 and 26: Long-haul traffi c 500% 400% Year-o
Page 27 and 28: There are cities that traditionally
Page 29 and 30: A large portion of long-haul traffi
Page 31 and 32: Long-haul traffi c by regional flow
Page 33 and 34: Passed and future liberalisation dr
Page 35 and 36: Impact on air transport according t
Page 37 and 38: Fuel efficiency is the key Greater
Page 39 and 40: Airport capacity constraints - barr
Page 41: Technological innovation Inspiratio
Page 46 and 47: Defi ning demand PassENGEr traFFic
Page 48 and 49: PassENGEr traFFic Air travel has pr
Page 50 and 51: PassENGEr traFFic Air transport fro
Page 52 and 53: PassENGEr traFFic Over the next 20
Page 54 and 55: Passenger Traffic Largest 20 traffi
Page 56 and 57: Passenger Traffic Airlines domicile
Page 58 and 59: Share and volume of 2010 RPKs Passe
Page 61 and 62: Demand for passenger aircraft
Page 63 and 64: the twin-aisle segment, combining,
Page 65 and 66: Load factor, or the efficiency with
Page 67 and 68: Large replacement opportunity for p
Page 69 and 70: Capacity growth accomodated by bigg
Page 71 and 72: Single-aisle 2011-2030 new passenge
Page 73 and 74: Number of new aircraft 2500 2,362 2
Page 75 and 76: In 2010, the A380 served 12 of the
Page 77 and 78: More fl ying Asia and emerging mark
Page 79 and 80: 2010 Mainland China traffic at 260%
Page 81 and 82: Significant growth maintained in As
Page 83 and 84: With the asia-Pacifi c fl eet conta
Page 85 and 86: 100 years of supply Strong and imme
Page 87 and 88: International consolidation As well
Page 89 and 90: GMF results for Europe Globally, we
Page 91 and 92: ecent economic upheaval has also mo
Page 93 and 94:
with only 25% delivered to lccs. Wh
Page 95 and 96:
LCC 10% 7% Other 37% 25% 1991-2010
Page 97 and 98:
Middle Eastern airlines are still e
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2022: Qatar to be center of the foo
Page 101 and 102:
Percentages of Arab and non-Arab wo
Page 103 and 104:
The region will sustain very strong
Page 105 and 106:
according to the iMF, latin america
Page 107 and 108:
Strong growth of Latin America int
Page 109 and 110:
Fleet and deliveries the average ai
Page 111 and 112:
Brazil: football, now aviation, dyn
Page 113 and 114:
GDP and passenger traffic developme
Page 115 and 116:
in order to accommodate strong dema
Page 117 and 118:
a growing regional economy, improvi
Page 119 and 120:
Aviation connecting the African con
Page 121 and 122:
Year-on-year growth rate of the wor
Page 123 and 124:
Intra-regional air traffic below it
Page 125 and 126:
GMF Results for Africa RPK growth:
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summary results Passenger traffic f
Page 130 and 131:
Aircraft segmentation and in servic
Page 132 and 133:
suMMary rEsults GMF Methodology the
Page 134 and 135:
suMMary rEsults Regional & Affiliat
Page 136:
summary results Airline fleet build
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Global Market Forecast 2011-2030 - EADS

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