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Shell energy scenarios to 2050 - Manicore

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Three Hard Truths4Scenariotimeline1Step-change in<strong>energy</strong> use2Supply willstruggle <strong>to</strong>t keeppace3Environmentalstresses areincreasingBlueprintsWorldwide emission tradingscheme evolving post Kyo<strong>to</strong>Nuclear slowdownGlobal CO2 trading schemeCCS deployed commerciallyElectric vehicles entermass marketNuclear revivalCentralised solar PVNon-OECD reaches two-thirdsof world primary <strong>energy</strong>demandA fifth of all coal and gasfired power generationequipped with CCS201520202030ScrambleChina overtakes U.S. asmajor CO2 emitterFlight in<strong>to</strong> coalStrong growth in CO2 emissionsWind takes offMandated biofuelsStrong growth in unconventionalsModest nuclear growthCoal hits constraintsCO2 emissions moderateFurther rise in biofuelsCO2 emissions on the rise againSolar expansion38

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