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Assessing Climate Change Vulnerability of Breeding Birds in Arctic ...

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vulnerable” for the Yellow-billed Loon isconsidered “low” because the simulationresults are almost evenly distributedbetween the highly vulnerable, moderatelyvulnerable and presumed stable categories.In contrast, the confidence <strong>in</strong> the result forthe Semipalmated Sandpiper is considered“high” because over 80% <strong>of</strong> the simulationoutcomes fell <strong>in</strong> the presumed stablecategory.Figure 3.3. The numerical vulnerability scores and<strong>in</strong>dex categories as assigned by the CCVI tool us<strong>in</strong>gthe <strong>in</strong>itial climate scenario as the exposure <strong>in</strong>puts(Temp: SNAP 5-model composite/Moisture: CW 5-model average (SNAP models).Index Score <strong>Vulnerability</strong> Category>10.0 Extremely vulnerable (red)7.0-9.9 Highly vulnerable (orange)4.0-6.9 Moderately vulnerable (yellow)-2.0-3.99 Presumed stable (blue)

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