Assessing Climate Change Vulnerability of Breeding Birds in Arctic ...

Glick, P., A. Staudt, and B. Stein. 2009. A new era for conservation: Review of climate change adaptation literature.National Wildlife Federation, Reston, VA.Glick, P., B.A. Stein, and N.A. Edelson, eds. 2011. Scanning the Conservation Horizon: A Guide to Climate ChangeVulnerability Assessment. National Wildlife Federation, Washington, D.C.Hammer, O., D.A.T. Harper, and P.S. Ryan. 2001. PAST: Palentological statistical software package for educationaland data analysis. Palaentologia Electronica 4: 9 pp.Ims, R.A., and E. Fuglei. 2005. Trophic interaction cycles in tundra ecosystems and the impact of climate change.BioScience 55: 311-322.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation andVulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panelon Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, eds.,Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp. Available: http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg2.htm.Johnson, J.A., R.B. Lanctot, B.A. Andres, J.R. Bart, S.C. Brown, S.J. Kendall, and D.C. Payer, D.C. 2007.Distribution of breeding shorebirds on the Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska. Arctic 60: 277-293.Johnson, S.R. and D.R. Herter. 1989. The birds of the Beaufort Sea, Anchorage: British Petroleum Exploration(Alaska), Inc.Jones, B.M., C.D. Arp, M.T. Jorgenson, K.M. Hinkel, J.A. Schmutz, and P.L. Flint. 2009. Increase in the rate anduniformity of coastline erosion in Arctic Alaska. Geophys. Res. Letters 36, L03503.Keppel, G., K.P. Van Niel, G.W. Wardell-Johnson, C.J. Yates, M. Byrne, L. Mucina, A.G.T. Schut, S.D. Hopper,S.E. Franklin. 2012. Refugia: identifying and understanding safe havens for biodiversity under climate change.Global Ecology and Biogeography 21: 393-404.King, J.G., and J.I. Hodges. 1979. A preliminary analysis of goose banding on Alaska's Arctic slope. Pages 176-188in R.L. Jarvis and J.C. Bartonek, editors. Management and Biology of Pacific Flyway Geese. Oregon StateUniversity Book Stores, Corvallis, USA.Larned, W.W., R. Stehn, and R. Platte. 2012. Waterfowl breeding population survey, Arctic Coastal Plain, Alaska,2011. Unpubl. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Report, Migratory Bird Management, Soldotna, AK.Liebezeit, J.R., G.C. White, and S. Zack. 2011. Breeding ecology of birds at Teshekpuk Lake: a key habitat site onthe Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska. Arctic 64: 32-44.Littell, J.S., D. McKenzie, B.K. Kerns, S. Cushman C.G. Shaw C.G. 2011. Managing uncertainty in climate-drivenecological models to inform adaptation to climate change. Ecosphere 2:art102. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/ES11-00114.1Martin, P.D., J.L. Jenkins, F.J. Adams, M.T. Jorgenson, A.C. Matz, D.C. Payer, P.E.,Reynolds, A.C. Tidwell, andJ.R. Zelenak. 2009. Wildlife response to environmental Arctic change: predicting future habitats of Arctic Alaska.Report of the Wildlife Response to Environmental Arctic Change (WildREACH): Predicting Future Habitats ofArctic Alaska Workshop, 17-18 November 2008. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Fairbanks, Alaska, USA.Martin, T.G., M.A. Burgman, F. Fidler, P.M. Kuhnert, S. Low-Choy, M. McBride, K. Mengersen. 2011. Elicitingexpert knowledge in conservation science. Conservation Biology 26: 29-38.McCune, B. and M.J. Mefford. 1999. PC-ORD. Multivariate Analysis of Ecological Data, Version 4. MjM SoftwareDesign, Gleneden Beach, OR, USA.34