The Economist - 19_25 April 2014

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76 The Economist April 19th 2014Economic and financial indicatorsEconomic data% change on year ago Budget InterestIndustrial Current-account balance balance rates, %Gross domestic product production Consumer prices Unemployment latest 12 % of GDP % of GDP 10-year gov't Currency units, per $latest qtr* 2014 † latest latest 2014 † rate, % months, $bn 2014 † 2014 † bonds, latest Apr 15th year agoUnited States +2.6 Q4 +2.6 +2.8 +3.0 Feb +1.5 Mar +1.7 6.7 Mar -379.3 Q4 -2.1 -2.9 2.62 - -China +7.4 Q1 +5.7 +7.3 +8.8 Mar +2.4 Mar +2.8 4.1 Q4 § +188.6 Q4 +1.7 -2.2 4.16 §§ 6.22 6.19Japan +2.6 Q4 +0.7 +1.2 +7.0 Feb +1.5 Feb +2.6 3.6 Feb +21.3 Feb +0.5 -8.1 0.61 102 98.0Britain +2.7 EconomicQ4 +2.7 data +2.9 +2.7 Feb +1.6 Mar +1.9 7.2 Dec †† -111.7 Q4 -3.3 -5.4 2.67 0.60 0.65Canada +2.7 Q4 +2.9 +2.3 +3.4 Jan +1.1 Feb +1.5 6.9 Mar -58.9 Q4 -2.8 -2.6 2.39 1.10 1.02Euro area +0.5 Q4 +0.9 +1.1 +1.7 Feb +0.5 Mar +0.9 11.9 Feb +298.0 Jan +2.3 -2.5 1.47 0.72 0.76Austria +1.1 Q4 +1.8 +1.3 +5.0 Jan +1.5 Feb +1.7 4.8 Feb +11.2 Q4 +3.1 -3.0 1.71 0.72 0.76Belgium +1.0 Statistics Q4 +2.0 on +1.2 42 economies, +3.7 Jan plus +0.9 Mar a closer +1.1 8.5 Feb -8.0 Dec -0.8 -2.5 2.09 0.72 0.76France +0.8 look Q4 at taxing +1.2 +0.8 wages -0.8 Feb +0.6 Mar +1.1 10.4 Feb -33.0 Feb -1.6 -4.2 1.95 0.72 0.76Germany +1.4 Q4 +1.5 +1.8 +4.8 Feb +1.0 Mar +1.3 6.7 Mar +278.5 Feb +6.8 +0.5 1.47 0.72 0.76Greece -2.3 Q4 na nil +1.6 Feb -1.3 Mar -1.0 27.5 Dec +1.6 Jan +1.4 -3.5 6.29 0.72 0.76Italy -0.9 Q4 +0.3 +0.5 +0.4 Feb +0.4 Mar +0.7 13.0 Feb +19.7 Jan +1.0 -3.3 3.11 0.72 0.76Netherlands +0.8 Q4 +3.7 +0.9 +5.2 Feb +0.8 Mar +1.0 8.8 Feb +83.1 Q4 +9.9 -3.0 1.87 0.72 0.76Spain -0.1 Q4 +0.7 +0.8 +3.2 Feb -0.1 Mar +0.4 25.6 Feb +10.0 Jan +1.4 -5.8 3.12 0.72 0.76Czech Republic +0.8 Q4 +7.5 +1.6 +6.8 Feb +0.2 Mar +1.0 8.3 Mar § -2.9 Q4 -1.2 -2.9 1.99 19.9 19.7Denmark +0.5 Q4 -2.3 +1.2 -0.2 Feb +0.4 Mar +1.3 5.3 Feb +24.8 Feb +6.2 -1.7 1.51 5.40 5.70Hungary +2.7 Q4 +2.2 +2.1 +8.0 Feb +0.1 Mar +1.4 8.6 Feb §†† +3.9 Q4 +1.9 -3.0 5.64 223 225Norway +1.1 Q4 -0.7 +2.1 +4.4 Feb +2.0 Mar +2.1 3.5 Jan ‡‡ +54.5 Q4 +12.1 +12.0 2.85 5.95 5.73Poland +2.7 Q4 na +3.2 +5.3 Feb +0.7 Mar +1.3 13.6 Mar § -5.8 Feb -1.4 -3.5 4.12 3.03 3.13Russia +2.0 Q4 na +1.2 +1.3 Mar +6.9 Mar +6.0 5.6 Feb § +36.1 Q1 +1.3 -0.2 9.23 36.1 31.4Sweden +3.1 Q4 +7.1 +2.5 +1.7 Feb -0.6 Mar +0.6 8.5 Feb § +34.6 Q4 +6.0 -2.0 2.03 6.57 6.38Switzerland +1.7 Q4 +0.6 +2.0 +0.4 Q4 nil Mar +0.3 3.2 Mar +84.4 Q4 +11.3 +0.5 0.88 0.88 0.93Turkey +4.4 Q4 na +2.2 +4.9 Feb +8.4 Mar +9.1 10.1 Jan § -62.2 Feb -6.0 -2.7 10.22 2.14 1.79Australia +2.8 Q4 +3.2 +2.7 +2.8 Q4 +2.7 Q4 +2.8 5.8 Mar -44.2 Q4 -2.9 -1.9 3.99 1.07 0.97Hong Kong +3.0 Q4 +4.4 +3.4 +0.5 Q4 +3.9 Feb +3.6 3.1 Feb ‡‡ +5.6 Q4 +2.9 +1.4 2.23 7.75 7.76India +4.7 Q4 +3.2 +6.0 -1.9 Feb +8.3 Mar +8.0 9.9 2012 -49.2 Q4 -2.6 -5.1 8.96 60.2 54.6Indonesia +5.7 Q4 na +5.4 +3.8 Feb +7.3 Mar +6.9 5.8 Q4 § -28.5 Q4 -3.5 -2.3 na 11,430 9,712Malaysia +5.1 Q4 na +5.1 +6.8 Feb +3.5 Feb +3.2 3.3 Jan § +11.7 Q4 +5.3 -4.1 4.09 3.24 3.04Pakistan +6.1 2013** na +3.9 +2.6 Jan +8.5 Mar +6.9 6.2 2013 -4.0 Q4 -2.1 -6.3 12.85 ††† 96.0 98.3Singapore +5.1 Q1 +0.1 +4.2 +12.8 Feb +0.4 Feb +2.7 1.8 Q4 +54.4 Q4 +19.6 +0.7 2.42 1.25 1.24South Korea +3.6 Q4 +3.6 +3.3 +4.3 Feb +1.3 Mar +1.6 3.9 Mar § +83.6 Feb +4.6 +0.5 3.54 1,041 1,121Taiwan +2.9 Q4 +7.3 +3.2 +7.0 Feb +1.6 Mar +1.1 4.1 Feb +57.4 Q4 +11.3 -2.1 1.58 30.2 29.9Thailand +0.4 Q4 +2.4 +2.5 -4.4 Feb +2.1 Mar +2.7 0.9 Feb § -2.8 Q4 +2.6 -2.3 3.65 32.3 29.0Argentina +5.5 Q3 -0.7 -0.7 -0.5 Feb — *** — 6.4 Q4 § -4.3 Q4 -0.1 -2.4 na 8.00 5.15Brazil +1.9 Q4 +2.8 +1.8 +5.0 Feb +6.2 Mar +6.2 5.1 Feb § -82.5 Feb -3.6 -4.0 12.69 2.23 1.98Chile +2.7 Q4 -0.3 +3.8 +2.6 Feb +3.5 Mar +3.3 6.1 Feb §‡‡ -9.5 Q4 -3.9 -1.2 4.91 554 472Colombia +4.9 Q4 +3.3 +4.7 +3.6 Feb +2.5 Mar +2.8 10.7 Feb § -12.7 Q4 -3.6 -0.9 6.29 1,931 1,835Mexico +0.7 Q4 +0.7 +3.0 +0.7 Feb +3.8 Mar +4.5 4.7 Feb -22.3 Q4 -1.6 -3.7 7.75 13.1 12.2Venezuela +1.1 Q3 -0.8 -1.9 +0.8 Sep +57.4 Feb +61.0 7.2 Feb § +6.9 Q3 +1.6 -12.0 12.77 6.29 6.29Egypt +1.4 Q4 na +2.0 -8.2 Feb +9.9 Mar +9.9 13.4 Q4 § -3.3 Q4 -2.4 -12.5 na 6.98 6.89Israel +3.7 Q4 +3.2 +3.4 +1.7 Jan +1.3 Mar +1.5 5.8 Feb +7.2 Q4 +2.9 -2.8 3.46 3.47 3.63Saudi Arabia +3.8 2013 na +4.0 na +2.6 Mar +3.2 5.6 2013 +134.3 Q4 +13.0 +1.9 na 3.75 3.75South Africa +2.0 Q4 +3.8 +2.5 +1.6 Feb +5.9 Feb +5.7 24.1 Q4 § -20.5 Q4 -6.2 -4.3 8.33 10.6 9.12Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. † The Economist poll or Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. § Not seasonally adjusted. ‡ New series. **Year ending June. †† Latest 3months. ‡‡ 3-month moving average. §§ 5-year yield ***Official number not yet proven to be reliable; The State Street PriceStats Inflation Index, February 32.22%; year ago 25.71% ††† Dollar-denominated bonds.
The Economist April 19th 2014 Economic and financial indicators 77Markets% change onDec 31st 2013Index one in local in $Apr 15th week currency termsMarketsUnited States (DJIA) 16,262.6 nil -1.9 -1.9China (SSEA) 2,200.4 +0.2 -0.6 -3.3Japan (Nikkei 225) 13,996.8 -4.2 -14.1 -11.2Britain (FTSE 100) 6,541.6 -0.7 -3.1 -2.1Canada (S&P TSX) 14,303.9 -0.5 +5.0 +1.6Euro area (FTSE Euro 100) 1,011.5 -2.7 -0.8 -0.5Euro area (EURO STOXX 50) 3,091.5 -2.7 -0.6 -0.2Austria (ATX) 2,440.4 -2.4 -4.2 -3.9Belgium (Bel 20) 3,047.1 -1.6 +4.2 +4.6France (CAC 40) 4,345.4 -1.8 +1.1 +1.5Germany (DAX)* 9,173.7 -3.3 -4.0 -3.7Greece (Athex Comp) 1,187.0 -8.7 +2.1 +2.4Italy (FTSE/MIB) 20,817.5 -3.9 +9.8 +10.1Netherlands (AEX) 392.7 -2.5 -2.3 -2.0Spain (Madrid SE) 1,033.6 -3.6 +2.1 +2.5Czech Republic (PX) 996.0 +0.4 +0.7 +0.7Denmark (OMXCB) 611.8 -2.6 +8.1 +8.4Hungary (BUX) 17,345.6 -3.9 -6.6 -9.7Norway (OSEAX) 609.5 +0.1 +1.1 +3.1Poland (WIG) 51,263.9 -2.3 nil -0.6Russia (RTS, $ terms) 1,143.0 -4.4 -12.9 -20.8Sweden (OMXS30) 1,329.3 -2.4 -0.3 -2.5Switzerland (SMI) 8,280.5 -1.7 +0.9 +2.1Turkey (BIST) 72,438.0 -2.0 +6.8 +7.2Australia (All Ord.) 5,380.3 -0.5 +0.5 +5.5Hong Kong (Hang Seng) 22,671.3 +0.3 -2.7 -2.7India (BSE) 22,484.9 +0.6 +6.2 +9.1Indonesia (JSX) 4,870.2 -1.0 +13.9 +21.3Malaysia (KLSE) 1,853.9 +0.1 -0.7 +0.3Pakistan (KSE) 29,095.8 +1.5 +15.2 +26.2Singapore (STI) 3,246.3 +1.3 +2.5 +3.2South Korea (KOSPI) 1,992.3 nil -0.9 +0.4Taiwan (TWI) 8,916.7 +0.3 +3.5 +2.3Thailand (SET) 1,389.2 +0.7 +7.0 +8.9Argentina (MERV) 6,316.4 -2.6 +17.2 -4.6Brazil (BVSP) 50,454.4 -2.3 -2.0 +3.6Chile (IGPA) 19,010.3 +1.4 +4.3 -1.2Colombia (IGBC) 13,808.3 nil +5.6 +5.7Mexico (IPC) 40,481.8 -1.0 -5.3 -5.3Venezuela (IBC) 2,472.5 -2.0 -9.7 naEgypt (Case 30) 8,026.9 +4.2 +18.3 +17.8Israel (TA-100) 1,266.6 -1.1 +4.9 +5.0Saudi Arabia (Tadawul) 9,505.0 -0.6 +11.4 +11.4South Africa (JSE AS) 47,789.8 -0.6 +3.3 +2.5Taxing wagesThe “tax wedge”, the difference betweentotal labour costs to the employer andemployees’ take-home pay, rose by 0.2percentage points to 35.9% in 2013. Ofthe 34 mostly rich countries in the OECD,25 reported a rise in the tax burden in thepast three years. The largest increase inthe tax wedge was in Portugal. America’swedge also grew as reductions in employees’Social Security contributions expired.Overall, there has been littlechange in taxation for single workers,which in all OECD countries except Mexicoand Chile is higher than it is for thosewith families. Belgium’s tax wedge remainsthe biggest, at 55.8%; that is morethan double the figure in Mexico and NewZealand—and eight times that in Chile.Other marketsOthermarkets% change onDec 31st 2013Index one in local in $Apr 15th week currency termsUnited States (S&P 500) 1,843.0 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3United States (NAScomp) 4,034.2 -1.9 -3.4 -3.4China (SSEB, $ terms) 230.9 +1.1 -6.4 -9.0Japan (Topix) 1,136.1 -3.3 -12.8 -9.8Europe (FTSEurofirst 300) 1,306.9 -2.0 -0.7 -0.4World, dev'd (MSCI) 1,646.7 -1.0 -0.9 -0.9Emerging markets (MSCI) 999.9 -1.1 -0.3 -0.3World, all (MSCI) 405.3 -1.0 -0.8 -0.8World bonds (Citigroup) 940.4 +0.5 +3.7 +3.7EMBI+ (JPMorgan) 681.4 +0.1 +4.6 +4.6Hedge funds (HFRX) 1,224.4 § -0.6 -0.1 -0.1Volatility, US (VIX) 15.6 +14.9 +13.7 (levels)CDSs, Eur (iTRAXX) † 74.4 +4.4 +1.6 +1.9CDSs, N Am (CDX) † 69.0 +1.8 +8.4 +8.4Carbon trading (EU ETS) € 5.6 +13.8 +11.3 +11.7Sources: Markit; Thomson Reuters. *Total return index.† Credit-default-swap spreads, basis points. § Apr 14th.Indicators for more countries and additionalseries, go to: Economist.com/indicatorsGap between labour costs and take-home payAs % of total labour costs*, 2013%-point change since 20100 10 20 30 40 50 60BelgiumGermanyFranceItalyPortugalSpainPolandJapanBritainUnited StatesSouth KoreaMexicoNew ZealandChile-0.10.2-1.00.64.01.01.41.4-1.10.81.33.7-0.1nilSource: OECDOECD AVERAGE*Single person without childrenwith average earningsThe Economist commodity-price index2005=100% change onThe Economist commodity-price one indexoneApr 8th Apr 14th* month yearDollar IndexAll Items 174.1 174.7 +1.3 -0.4Food 204.2 204.2 +0.8 +2.0IndustrialsAll 142.8 144.0 +2.0 -3.7Nfa † 151.2 149.8 -4.0 -7.7Metals 139.2 141.6 +5.0 -1.8Sterling IndexAll items 189.0 189.8 +0.3 -9.0Euro IndexAll items 156.9 157.2 +2.0 -5.4Gold$ per oz 1,309.3 1,328.8 -2.2 -4.4West Texas Intermediate$ per barrel 102.6 103.7 +4.0 +17.0Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Darmenn & Curl; FT; ICCO;ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool Services; Thompson Lloyd &Ewart; Thomson Reuters; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional† Non-food agriculturals.
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The Economist - 19_25 April 2014

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