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Wood-Chip Heating Systems - Biomass Energy Resource Center

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Figure 7.3<br />

Existing Gas Cost/ccf<br />

$3.00<br />

$2.75<br />

$2.50<br />

$2.25<br />

$2.00<br />

$1.75<br />

$1.50<br />

$1.25<br />

$1.00<br />

$0.75<br />

$0.50<br />

$0.20<br />

$0.00<br />

<strong>Wood</strong> <strong>Chip</strong> System Cost Effectiveness Potential<br />

Likely Cost Effective<br />

Possibly Cost Effective<br />

Unlikely Cost Effective<br />

13,750 27,500 41,250 55,000<br />

Annual ccf Gas Heat Consumption<br />

analysis of the question. The data and assumptions<br />

used to develop these graphs are found in Appendix<br />

E. The cost-effectiveness criteria of these graphs were<br />

based on life-cycle costing.<br />

Figure 7.1 shows the electricity price and level of<br />

annual heating energy consumption at which it might<br />

be cheaper to install a new wood-chip system in a<br />

school, rather than continue with an electric resistance<br />

heating system. It illustrates two important points.<br />

First, the cost-effectiveness of wood-chip heating<br />

systems is very site-specifi c and diffi cult to predict,<br />

particularly for small schools — as evidenced by the<br />

breadth of zone B on the left side of the graph. For<br />

a school consuming about 340,000 kilowatt-hours<br />

(kwh) for heating each year, a wood-chip system is<br />

probably cost-effective at electricity prices greater<br />

than 16.5 cents/kwh, probably not cost-effective at<br />

electricity prices less than 5 cents/kwh, and it may<br />

or may not be cost-effective in between. This is not a<br />

very enlightening conclusion, since few schools in the<br />

Northeast face electricity prices either less than 3.5<br />

cents/kwh or greater than 16.5 cents/kwh.<br />

Second, Figure 7.1 demonstrates that wood-chip<br />

systems are more cost-effective at higher levels of<br />

electricity consumption. For a school consuming in<br />

excess of 1,000,000 kwh/year for heating, a wood-chip<br />

system is likely to be cost-effective at electricity prices<br />

greater than 10 cents/kwh, and may be cost-effective<br />

at prices as low as 4.0 cents/kwh. Most schools in the<br />

Northeast pay more than 7.0 cents/kwh for electricity,<br />

right in the middle of the range in which a wood system<br />

might be cost-effective.<br />

Finally, Figure 7.2 suggests that given current<br />

oil prices in the Northeast, it is less likely to be costeffective<br />

to convert from oil to wood chips than it is to<br />

convert from electric heat to a new wood-chip system.<br />

Figure 7.3 provides a similar analysis for natural<br />

gas. It shows that for schools with a low gas usage for<br />

heat (less than 15,000 ccf/year) and that pay less than<br />

75 cents/ccf, wood-chip systems are highly unlikely<br />

to be cost-effective. There is not a high likelihood of<br />

a cost-effective conversion from natural gas to wood<br />

until the fuel price rises above $1.25/ccf. When gas<br />

consumption for heat is above 50,000 ccf/year and gas<br />

prices are about $1/ccf, there will be some cost-effective<br />

opportunities.<br />

Be careful about drawing defi nitive conclusions<br />

from these graphs; they are products of a number<br />

of simplifying assumptions that may or may not be<br />

applicable to any specifi c situation. For example, the<br />

graphs compare the cost of a new wood-chip system<br />

with the cost of continuing to operate an existing oil,<br />

gas or electric heat system. If you are building a new<br />

facility and are comparing a new wood-chip system<br />

with a new oil, gas or electric system, the woodchip<br />

system will look more cost-effective than these<br />

illustrations indicate.<br />

Despite these limitations, Figures 7.1, 7.2 and<br />

7.3 provide useful insights into the potential costeffectiveness<br />

of wood-chip heating systems. They<br />

confi rm that at prevailing electric, oil and natural gas<br />

prices, wood-chip systems can be cost-effective for<br />

WOOD CHIP HEATING SYSTEMS<br />

68,750<br />

43

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