Graph 9: Persons below <strong>the</strong> poverty l<strong>in</strong>e(<strong>in</strong> percentage)A part of <strong>the</strong> explanation could be that with growth, <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality has been sharper<strong>in</strong> urban areas compared to <strong>the</strong> rural areas, giv<strong>in</strong>g modest results <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> former, <strong>in</strong> terms ofpoverty reduction. More importantly, it is now well recognised that <strong>the</strong> methodology adoptedby <strong>the</strong> Plann<strong>in</strong>g Commission was grossly underestimat<strong>in</strong>g rural poverty. The methodology hasbeen criticized for not tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account social consumption i.e. education <strong>and</strong> heal<strong>the</strong>xplicitly <strong>in</strong> calculat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> poverty l<strong>in</strong>e. It can be argued that <strong>the</strong> state sector played a majorrole <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> provision of <strong>the</strong>se social services particularly <strong>in</strong> rural areas <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> base year of 1972-73, for which <strong>the</strong> poverty l<strong>in</strong>e was worked out <strong>in</strong>itially, <strong>the</strong>re has been withdrawal of publicagencies over <strong>the</strong> past three decades. As a consequence, <strong>the</strong> proportion of education <strong>and</strong>medical care expenditure <strong>in</strong> household’s consumption basket has <strong>in</strong>creased significantly.Assum<strong>in</strong>g implicitly that <strong>the</strong> basket <strong>in</strong> urban areas <strong>in</strong>cluded all items of consumption <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gsuch items like education <strong>and</strong> health-care, <strong>the</strong> Expert Group headed by Tendulkar (Plann<strong>in</strong>gCommission 2009) recommend this basket for adoption <strong>in</strong> rural areas as well. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>in</strong>comput<strong>in</strong>g relative price <strong>in</strong>dices, health <strong>and</strong> educational expenditures are to be taken <strong>in</strong>toaccount, which was never done before. These changes resulted <strong>in</strong> significant upward revision ofpoverty figure <strong>in</strong> rural areas from 29 per cent to 41.8 while urban poverty was taken to rema<strong>in</strong>fixed at 27.8 per cent, suggest<strong>in</strong>g a gap of 14 percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts between <strong>the</strong> two povertyfigures, as shown by <strong>the</strong> dotted l<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> Graph 9.Poverty studies focuss<strong>in</strong>g on spatially disaggregated scenario <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> povertyacross states <strong>and</strong> districts has gone up both <strong>in</strong> rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas (Kundu <strong>and</strong> Mohanan2009). One would, <strong>the</strong>refore, argue that poverty reduction has been relatively less <strong>in</strong> lessdeveloped states such as Bihar, Uttar Pradesh <strong>and</strong> Jharkh<strong>and</strong> than <strong>in</strong> developed states likeKarnataka, Maharashtra <strong>and</strong> Tamil Nadu, report<strong>in</strong>g more modest growth <strong>in</strong> consumptionexpenditure compared to developed states, both <strong>in</strong> rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas. As a result, povertyhas got concentrated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> most backward states <strong>and</strong> with<strong>in</strong> that <strong>in</strong> remote regions that are17
more difficult to access, both for market forces <strong>and</strong> governmental programmes 5 .Underst<strong>and</strong>ably, <strong>the</strong> elasticity of poverty reduction to <strong>in</strong>come growth has been less <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>Eleventh Plan compared to that of earlier plans.Education <strong>and</strong> HealthIn analyz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> levels of educational development across <strong>the</strong> states, it wouldbe important to compute <strong>in</strong>dicators of educational atta<strong>in</strong>ments with reference to specific agegroups. This is because <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> people <strong>in</strong> higher age groups would mean carry<strong>in</strong>g forward<strong>in</strong>equity of <strong>the</strong> earlier generation <strong>in</strong> evaluat<strong>in</strong>g current developmental efforts. Consequently,<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators perta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g to children <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> school go<strong>in</strong>g age group, <strong>the</strong>ir current attendancehave been considered appropriate for <strong>the</strong> study. Also, s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> capacity to earn <strong>in</strong>comesubstantially depends on <strong>the</strong> educational atta<strong>in</strong>ments of <strong>the</strong> work<strong>in</strong>g, education level ofpersons <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> prime work<strong>in</strong>g age group - 25 to 59 years - has been considered for each socialgroup.The percentages of children outside <strong>the</strong> formal education system (Table 4 & 5), despite adecl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> recent years, work out as very high <strong>in</strong> 2009-10 for boys <strong>and</strong> girls <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> both <strong>in</strong> rural<strong>and</strong> urban areas, suggest<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong>re will be significant deficit <strong>in</strong> atta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> MDG goals ofuniversal primary education <strong>and</strong> elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g gender disparity <strong>in</strong> all levels of education by 2015.Importantly, <strong>the</strong> RU disparity <strong>in</strong> this <strong>in</strong>dicator is not very high compared to that <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>percentage of persons with secondary <strong>and</strong> higher education. The latter <strong>in</strong> urban areas is two<strong>and</strong> a half times that <strong>in</strong> rural areas. The low educational atta<strong>in</strong>ment <strong>in</strong> 15-59 age group <strong>in</strong> ruralareas reflects <strong>the</strong> cumulative impact of deprivation <strong>in</strong> earlier years. By both <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators, onewould, however, argue that <strong>the</strong> situation has improved dur<strong>in</strong>g 2005-10. What, however, isdisturb<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> both <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators across <strong>the</strong> states has gone up <strong>in</strong> both urban<strong>and</strong> rural areas.A similar picture is noted <strong>in</strong> case of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators for males <strong>and</strong> females <strong>in</strong> 15-59 age groupacross <strong>the</strong> states (Table 5). The situation has improved for both <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>in</strong>dication thatgender disparity has gone down <strong>in</strong> recent years. This may be <strong>in</strong>ferred from <strong>the</strong> female maleratio <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> percentage of children outside <strong>the</strong> formal system decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g from 1.35 to 1.20.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> male educational atta<strong>in</strong>ment was 63 per cent higher than that of women <strong>in</strong>2001, <strong>the</strong> figure go<strong>in</strong>g down to 53 per cent only <strong>in</strong> 2011. In case for <strong>in</strong>terstate <strong>in</strong>equality,however, <strong>the</strong> trend is <strong>the</strong> opposite. For men <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality has gone up dist<strong>in</strong>ctly <strong>in</strong> both <strong>the</strong><strong>in</strong>dicators while for women, it has gone up <strong>in</strong> case of children outside <strong>the</strong> formal educationsystem. For educational atta<strong>in</strong>ment, <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality seems to have rema<strong>in</strong>ed stable dur<strong>in</strong>g 2001-11.5 Sivaramakrishnan, Kundu <strong>and</strong> S<strong>in</strong>gh (2005)18